Red Sox vs Orioles Picks & Odds (Sep. 11)
- The Orioles are -120 home favorites over the Red Sox on Sunday
- Rich Hill (6-6, 4.79) will start for Boston against Kyle Bradish (3-5, 5.30)
- A look at the matchup and Red Sox vs Orioles odds can found below with a pick
Clinging to postseason hopes, the Baltimore Orioles host the Boston Red Sox at 1:05 pm ET Sunday in the rubber match of a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles (73-66/40-29 home) were routed 17-4 by the Red Sox on Saturday night for their fifth loss in their last seven games. Boston (68-72/33-37 road) emphatically snapped its four-game losing streak.
The Orioles are now 4.5 games behind the Seattle Mariners for the third American League Wild Card spot.
Red Sox vs Orioles Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | +100 | -1.5 (+155) | Over 8.5 (-105) |
| Baltimore Orioles | -120 | +1.5 (-190) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
Odds as of September 10th at BetMGM.
The Orioles are -120 favorites, giving them a 54.55% implied win probability. In the World Series odds, the Orioles are listed at +10000 and the Red Sox are given a +50000 chance.
The weather forecast calls for a 90% chance of rain and possible thunderstorms with a high temperature of 78 degrees and wind from the southeast from 5-9 mph.
Red Sox vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
Rich Hill (6-6, 4.79) is scheduled to pitch for the Red Sox against rookie Kyle Bradish (3-5, 5.30). Both will be working on four days of rest.
Hill vs Bradish
| 6-6 | Record | 3-5 |
| 4.79 | ERA | 5.30 |
| 4.32 | xERA | 4.72 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 1.51 |
| 2.63 | SO/W | 2.56 |
Hill took his first loss in five starts Tuesday when he was tagged for five runs in four innings by the Tampa Bay Rays in St. Petersburg. He surrendered nine hits while striking out three and walking one.
MLB adopting bigger bases beginning with the 2023 season only made Hill’s week worse.
Rich Hill is not a fan of the news the bases will be slightly larger in 2023… pic.twitter.com/eojGy5S65Q
— NESN (@NESN) September 9, 2022
Against the Orioles, Hill has a 3-1 lifetime record and 3.15 ERA in 17 games (seven starts). He is 2-0 despite a 6.16 ERA in 14 games (nine starts) at Camden Yards.
Hill is 4-3 with a 3.99 ERA in 12 starts on the road this season. He is 3-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 10 starts during the day. The Red Sox have an 11-10 record in Hill’s starts.
Bradish is 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA in his last eight starts.
However, Bradish lasted three innings in his previous start, a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday at home. He was touched for three runs and six hits to go with three strikeouts and two walks.
Bradish will be making his fourth start against the Red Sox. He is 0-2 with a 7.43 ERA against them.
Kyle Bradish, Wicked 89mph Slider. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/R7hZJnYMMI
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 27, 2022
In 10 starts at home, Bradish has struggled to an 0-4 record and 6.46 ERA. He is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three starts in day games. The Orioles are an impressive 12-6 when Bradish takes the hill.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Red Sox Batters | Batting Average vs Kyle Bradish |
|---|---|
| J.D. Martinez | .667 |
| Christian Arroyo | .600 |
| Rafael Devers | .500 |
| Alex Verdugo | .500 |
| Kevin Plawecki | .500 |
| Kike Hernandez | .375 |
| Xander Bogaerts | .167 |
| Trevor Story | .000 |
| Tommy Pham | .000 |
| Orioles Batters | Batting Average vs Rich Hill |
| Adley Rutschman | .500 |
| Jesus Aguilar | .400 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | .375 |
| Jorge Mateo | .333 |
| Ramon Urias | .333 |
| Cedric Mullins | .286 |
| Ryan McKenna | .250 |
| Austin Hays | .111 |
| Rougned Odor | .000 |
| Anthony Santander | .000 |
| Robinson Chirinos | .000 |
The Red Sox’ Christian Arroyo has gone 3-for-5 with a home run off Bradish. Jesus Aguilar of the Orioles is 4-for-10 (.400) against Hill with a double and a homer but Austin Hays is 1 for 9.
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Outlook
Rafael Devers hit a first-inning grand slam and Kike Hernandez had four hits to power the Red Sox’s rout of the Orioles on Saturday. Devers is +25000 in the AL MVP odds.
CRUSHED by Carita. pic.twitter.com/1BtWbXycij
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 10, 2022
Christian Arroyo also homered for Boston, which had 21 hits. Devers finished with three hits and five RBIs while Trevor Story and Arroyo both had two hits and three RBIs.
Red Sox left fielder Tommy Pham left the game in the fourth inning after being hit in the left shin by a pitch and is questionable for Sunday.
The Orioles’ Cedric Mullins hit a solo home run as he had two hits and two RBIs.
SEND IT, CED 👏 pic.twitter.com/InHb5EPwHy
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) September 10, 2022
The Orioles lead the season series 8-6 and have won five of eight games at home. In the previous four seasons, the Red Sox held a commanding 46-21 advantage.
Red Sox vs Orioles Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10/22 | Orioles | Red Sox | BOS, 17-4 |
| 9/9/22 | Orioles | Red Sox | BAL, 3-2 |
| 8/21/22 | Orioles | Red Sox | BAL, 5-3 |
| 8/20/22 | Orioles | Red Sox | BOS, 4-3 |
| 8/19/22 | Orioles | Red Sox | BAL, 15-10 |
| 8/11/22 | Red Sox | Orioles | BOS, 4-3 |
| 5/30/22 | Red Sox | Orioles | BAL, 10-0 |
| 5/29/22 | Red Sox | Orioles | BOS, 12-2 |
| 5/28/22 (2) | Red Sox | Orioles | BAL, 4-2 |
| 5/28/22 (1) | Red Sox | Orioles | BOS, 5-3 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction
Bradish’s struggles at Camden Yards in his rookie season can’t be ignored. However, he continues to improve as the season goes on and is the way to go in this game with the Orioles in desperation mode
Pick: Baltimore Orioles -120 ML
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
