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Cardinals vs Pirates Odds, Lines & Predictions (Oct. 3)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 3, 2022 · 7:24 AM PDT

Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller winding up
Sep 22, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller (23) delivers a pitch against the Chicago Cubs during the first inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cardinals are -175 road favorites over the Pirates on Monday night
  • Miles Mikolas (12-13, 3.30) will start for the Cardinals against the Pirates’ Mitch Keller (5-12, 3.92)
  • The matchup and odds for Cardinals vs Pirates can be found below with a pick

The National League Central champion St. Louis Cardinals will continue gearing up for the postseason when they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:35 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at PNC Park.

The Cardinals (92-67, 39-39 road) lost to the Pirates 7-5 on Sunday in the finale of a three-game series in St. Louis after winning three of their previous four games. The Pirates (60-99, 32-46 home) have won four of their last six games.

The Cardinals begin postseason play Friday.

Cardinals vs Pirates Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
St. Louis Cardinals -175 OFF OFF
Pittsburgh Pirates +145 OFF OFF

Odds as of October 3rd at BetMGM.

St. Louis is a -175 favorite for a 63.64% implied win probability. The Cardinals have +2200 World Series odds.

The weather forecast is for mostly cloudy, a gametime temperature of 60 with a low of 43 and calm wind.

 

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St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Probable Pitchers

Miles Mikolas (12-13, 3.30) is scheduled to pitch for the Cardinals against Mitch Keller (5-12, 3.92). Both will be working on five days of rest.

Mikolas vs Keller

Miles Mikolas
VS
Mitch Keller
12-13 Record 5-12
3.30 ERA 3.92
3.90 xERA 4.24
1.03 WHIP 1.39
3.92 SO/W 2.29

Mikolas ended a three-start losing streak last Tuesday by beating the Brewers in Milwaukee when he gave up one run and four hits in six innings. Mikolas struck out nine and walked one in helping the Cardinals clinch the division title.

In 18 career games (16 starts) against the Pirates, Mikolas has a 5-5 record and 3.05 ERA. At PNC Park, he is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in eight games (seven starts).

Mikolas is 6-10 with a 4.13 ERA in 18 starts on the road this season. He has an 8-8 mark and 3.06 ERA in 20 starts at night. The Cardinals are 18-14 when Mikolas pitches.

Keller is 1-4 in his last eight starts despite a 3.02 ERA. He had a no-decision in his last start last Tuesday against the visiting Cincinnati Reds, allowing one run on five hits in five innings while striking out five and walking three.

This will be Keller’s eighth career start versus the Cardinals. He is 2-1 against them with a 3.35 ERA.

Keller is just 1-7 at home this season with a 3.73 ERA in 16 games (15 starts). At night, he is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 19 games (18 starts). The Pirates are 9-19 in Keller’s starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cardinals Batters Batting Average vs Mitch Keller
Lars Nootbaar .600
Andrew Knizner .500
Tommy Edman .313
Nolan Arenado .273
Paul Goldschmidt .250
Yadier Molina .231
Brendan Donovan .200
Paul DeJong .143
Dylan Carlson .111
Corey Dickerson .111
Albert Pujols .000
Juan Yepez .000
Alec Burleson .000
Pirates Batters Batting Average vs Miles Mikolas
Cal Mitchell 1.000
Oneil Cruz .667
Ke’Bryan Hayes .500
Jason Delay .500
Bryan Reynolds .308
Kevin Newman .167
Ben Gamel .125
Rodolfo Castro .000
Jack Suwinski .000
Diego Castillo .000

The Cardinals’ Lars Nootbaar has a .667 on-base percentage against Keller as he is 3 for 5 with three walks. However, future Hall of Famer Albert Pujols is 0 for 6.

The Pirates’ Ke’Bryan Hayes is 4 for 8 with a double off Mikolas but Kevin Newman is hitting just .167 (3 for 18) with two doubles.

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Cardinals vs Pirates Betting Trends

Ben Gamel and Bryan Reynolds homered to lift the Pirates over the Cardinals on Sunday.

Gamel’s blast came with two men on base. Reynolds hit a solo shot, his team-high 27th, and broke an 0-for-16 skid.

Reynolds and rookies Oneil Cruz and Ji-hwan Bae had two hits each for the Pirates.

Pujols hit his 702nd career home run while finishing with two hits and three RBIs. He raised his career RBI total to 2,214, tying Babe Ruth for second all-time in MLB behind Hank Aaron (2,297).

Juan Yepez also had two hits for the Cardinals.

The Cardinals lead the season series 12-4, including winning five of six at PNC Park. Since 2014, St. Louis has a 97-62 record against the Pirates.

STL vs PIT Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
10/2/22 Cardinals Pirates PIT, 7-5
10/1/22 Cardinals Pirates STL, 13-3
9/30/22 Cardinals Pirates STL, 2-1
9/11/22 Pirates Cardinals STL, 4-3
9/10/22 Pirates Cardinals STL, 7-5
9/9/22 Pirates Cardinals PIT, 8-2
6/15/22 Cardinals Pirates PIT, 6-4
6/14/22 (2) Cardinals Pirates STL, 9-1
6/14/22 (1) Cardinals Pirates STL, 3-1
6/13/22 Cardinals Pirates STL, 7-5

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction

The Cardinals have nothing to play for, but Mikolas will certainly want to enter the postseason on a good note. Let’s ride with him against Keller, who is pitching well but never wins at home.

Pick: Cardinals -175 ML

 

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