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Dodgers (May) vs Padres (Morejon) Game 3 Picks and Odds – Oct. 8th

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 9, 2021 · 12:55 PM PST

Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Walker Buehler delivers a pitch
Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Walker Buehler delivers a pitch during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics in Los Angeles, Thursday, Sept. 24, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Icon Sportswire)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are -180 favorites to win Game 3 of their NLDS on October 8th, 2020
  • Dustin May will start for the Dodgers against Adrian Morejon of the Padres
  • See the odds, analysis, and best bet for Game 3 of the NLDS below

The Los Angeles Dodgers will hand the ball to Dustin May in the hopes that he might put the San Diego Padres out of their October misery. San Diego is countering with Adrian Morejon and the belief that they still have more baseball left in their squad.

LA leads the best-of-five NLDS 2-0 and can close it out with a win Thursday in Game 3. First pitch is slated for 9:13 PM EST.

Dustin May (3-1, 2.57 ERA) gets the start for the Dodgers. Adrian Morejon (2-2, 4.66) will toe the rubber for the Padres.

Oddsmakers seem confident that Los Angeles will sweep San Diego aside. They’ve been established as the -180 favorites in the Dodgers vs Padres odds. LA is 4-0 in the postseason, while San Diego is 2-3.

Padres vs Dodgers Game 2 Odds

Team (Starter) Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers (D. May) -175 -1.5 (-110) O 9 (-114)
San Diego Padres (A. Morejon) +150 +1.5 (-108) U 9 (-107)

Odds taken Oct. 8 at DraftKings.

All games in the series are being played back to back at the neutral site of Globe Life Field in Arlington, Tex. This will be the first game in the set where the Padres are the home team and afforded the last at-bat.

Yo Adrian (Morejon)

With their season on the line, the Padres will turn to 21-year-old Morejon. Just four of his nine appearances this season and nine of his 14 career trips to the hill were for starting assignments.

This will be hist first career posteason start. Morejon has made two playoff appearances this fall.

His small sample size of postseason experience is offering promise. Morejon made two relief appearances in the Wild Card round against the St. Louis Cardinals covering three innings. He struck out two and allowed one hit, posting an .083 opposition batting average and an 0.33 WHIP.

Padres manager Jayce Tingler is hopeful that he’ll be able to squeeze five innings out of the left-hander but that seems optimistic. Morejon has never thrown more than 41 pitches in an appearance this season.

Morejon made one start against the Dodgers this season and it did not go well. He was tagged for the loss Sept. 16 in a 7-5 LA verdict. Morejon allowed two hits, one of them a homer, and two runs in two innings of work.

May Day

In terms of postseason experience, May is light years ahead of Morejon. He’ll be making his fourth playoff appearance. Like Morejon, though, it will be May’s first start.

He’s 1-0 in this year’s playoffs. May worked two scoreless, hitless innings in relief against San Diego in Game 1 to earn the decision. He struck out three.

Through his last seven appearances, May is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA. The right-hander owns a 2.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over that span. Ten of his 12 trips to the mound this season were as a starting pitcher.

In three regular-season appearances against San Diego this season covering 17.1 innings, May is 1-1 with a 2.59 ERA.

Padres’ Last Hope

San Diego threw everything it had at the Dodgers in Game 2. The Padres got to Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw for three runs but still couldn’t complete the task and lost 6-5. They’ve dropped four straight and six of seven to the Dodgers.

Still, there was something symbolic about LA closer Kenley Jansen being unable to seal the deal. Joe Kelly was needed to come on to bail him out.

Since the 2013 playoffs, the Dodgers are just a middling 7-5 in games when they can close out a series.

Pick: San Diego Padres (+150)

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