Guardians vs Yankees Game 5 Predictions & Odds
- In the Guardians vs Yankees Game 5 on Monday, New York is a -150 home favorite over Cleveland
- Cleveland is 0-4 straight up in the last four MLB postseason games with a chance to eliminate the Yankees
- See the Game 5 Guardians vs Yankees predictions and odds, below
So far in their ALDS series with the New York Yankees (2-2, 1-1 home), the Cleveland Guardians (4-2, 1-1 away) have ended their six-game MLB postseason losing streak to the Yankees and their three-game home losing skid against New York.
Another long playoff slide is staring the Guardians in the face as they return to the Bronx for the decisive Game 5 of this set. Cleveland is 0-10 straight up in the last 10 games facing elimination. The last time the team won when it was a win or go home game was Game 6 of the 1997 World Series.
Oddsmakers aren’t liking Cleveland’s chances of ending this slump. The Yankees are set as -170 home favorites for Game 5. New York is 3-7 SU in the club’s last 10 games when facing elimination.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | +143 | +1.5 (-155) | O 7.0 (+100) |
| New York Yankees | -170 | -1.5 (+130) | U 7.0 (-120) |
Odds updated from Caesars Sportsbook on Oct 18 after the Oct 17 postponement. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code and see the latest on Ohio sports betting.
At moneyline odds of -150, The Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 60% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $16.70.
First pitch at Yankee Stadium goes at 7:07pm ET on Monday, October 17. The weather forecast is calling for rain with 11 mph wind and a temperature of 64 degrees. New York is a -150 favorite to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket.
MLB betting trends are displaying that bettors are backing the Yankees heavily to win the series. New York is drawing 93% of handle and 86% of bets in the runline public splits. Moneyline bettors are banking on the Yankees with 84% of handle and 77% of bets. On the total, 70% of handle and 56% of bets are leaning toward the over.
In the World Series odds, the Yankees are fourth in the odds at +600. The Guardians are the fifth betting choice at +1300. As far as the MLB pennant odds are concerned, Cleveland is the third in this betting market at +600 and New York is second in the odds at +280.
Cleveland vs New York Yankees Probable Pitchers
In the MLB lineups, right-hander Aaron Civale takes the ball for his MLB postseason debut. He hasn’t been on the bump in a game since a six-inning stint Oct. 5 against Kansas City.
The single most important piece to tomorrow night’s puzzle is Aaron Civale, because IF he gives Cleveland 4 clean innings, the setup is there for the Guards to win. If Civale is off, advantage New York. The deeper the game gets, the closer it is, advantage CLE.
Goodnight.
— John Fanta (@John_Fanta) October 17, 2022
Civale was a winner in his last three starts. Since the beginning of September, Civale is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA over four starts.
The righty lost both his starts against The Yankees this season. Civale surrendered six earned runs in three innings of a 10-2 loss on April 24. He gave up four earned runs in six innings of a 6-1 loss on July 2 at Cleveland. The Yankees took Civale deep three times in nine innings of work.
Civale vs Cortes Stats
| 5-6 | Record | 12-4 |
| 4.92 | ERA | 2.44 |
| 3.80 | xERA | 2.70 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 0.92 |
| 4.45 | SO/W Ratio | 4.29 |
The Yankees are going with Nestor Cortes for Game 5 now that he’s had an extra day of rest thanks to Monday’s postponement. He’s still only pitching on four days’ rest, however.
| Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Civale | Guardians Batters | Batting Average vs Cortes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | .200 | Andres Gimenez | .500 |
| Kyle Higashioka | .250 | Oscar Gonzalez | .333 |
| Aaron Judge | .231 | Gabriel Arias | .500 |
| Anthony Rizzo | .500 | Steven Kwan | .167 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | .400 | Josh Naylor | .286 |
| Gleyber Torres | .444 | Jose Ramirez | .000 |
| Jose Trevino | .250 | Amed Rosario | .667 |
Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo is 5-for-10 against Civale with two homers and three RBI. Giancarlo Stanton is 2-for-5 (.400) with a solo homer. Gleyber Torres is 4-for-9 (.444).
Anthony Rizzo gets the Yankees on the board!
(via @Yankees) pic.twitter.com/YC7WhlyN1Q
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) October 16, 2022
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction
If you’re a trendsetter, Cleveland has won the odd-numbered games (1 and 3) in this series, while the Yankees were winners of Games 2 and 4.
Bader Blast 😤 pic.twitter.com/ZaFyYcTvVY
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 16, 2022
Cleveland and New York have played two previous ALDS that went the full five-game distance. Each team won once. Both of those games were played at Cleveland.
Since 2010, The Yankees are 4-4 in elimination games. They’re 3-2 in elimination games played at Yankee Stadium.
Pick: New York Yankees ML (-150)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
