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Astros (TBA) vs Rays (Snell) Game 1 Picks and Odds – Oct. 11

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 5, 2021 · 11:58 AM PST

Blake Snell on the mound
Blake Snell had nine strikeouts in Game 2. Will he approach that number in Game 3? (Photo by Mark LoMoglio/Icon Sportswire)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays are -147 favorites over the Houston Astros in Sunday’s opener of the ALCS
  • Houston (+136) is playing in the ALCS for the fourth successive season
  • Tampa Bay (1-0) has never lost an ALCS

When it comes to the ALCS, the Houston Astros have been there and done that, while the Tampa Bay Rays have never been done in.

The Astros are defending AL champions and are in the ALCS for the fourth successive season. The Rays made their lone appearance in the ALCS in 2008, defeating the Boston Red Sox to advance to the World Series, where they lost to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The two teams met in last year’s ALDS, which Houston won in five games.

Blake Snell (1-1, 3.38 ERA) takes the mound for Tampa Bay in Game 1 on Sunday. Houston will counter with either Lance McCullers Jr or Framber Valdez.

The Rays are given -147 favorite’s odds. Houston is a +136 underdog.

Astros vs Rays Game 1 Odds

Team (Starter) Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros (TBA) +136 +1.5 (+160) O 8.5 (-105)
Tampa Bay Rays (B. Snell) -147 -1.5 (+140) U 8.5 (-115)

Odds taken Oct. 10 .

All games in the series are being played back to back at the neutral site of Petco Park in San Diego. The Rays own home-field advantage and will be afforded the last at-bat in Games 1, 2, 6 and 7. First pitch Sunday is at 7:30 pm ET.

Rays Turn To Well-Rested Snell

It will be the third straight playoff round that Snell gets the Game 1 start for Tampa Bay. He took the loss in Game 1 of the ALDS against the New York Yankees. The left-hander allowed four runs over five innings.

In the Wild Card round against the Toronto Blue Jays, Snell worked 5.1 scoreless innings. He struck out a postseason career-high nine batters and got the win

With Rays manager Kevin Cash opting to go to Tyler Glasnow in Game 5 as an opener on two days’ rest, it means Snell will pitch on five days’ rest.

Snell pitched in three games against the Astros in last year’s ALDS. The Game 2 starter, he allowed one run in 3.1 innings. He also made two relief appearances in the series. Working two scoreless innings out of the bullpen, Snell recorded the only save of his MLB career.

Astros Weighing Options

Righthander McCullers got the start against Oakland in Game 1 of the ALCS and it didn’t go well. Making his first postseason start since the 2017 World Series, he was touched for five runs – four earned – and three home runs in five innings of work.

He’s 1-0 with a 3.25 ERA in 12 playoff appearances, including five starts. In three career starts against the Rays, McCullers is 1-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.

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Lefty Valdez is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in the postseason. He worked five innings of scoreless relief in Game 1 of the Wild Card round against Minnesota. That earned him a start in Game 2 of the ALDS against the A’s.

Valdez went seven innings, allowing a pair of solo homers in a 5-2 victory.

Bad Blood Boiling?

Celebrating their ALDS Game 5 series-clinching victory over the New York Yankees on Friday, the Rays devoted a little time to trolling their upcoming opponents. Rays first baseman Ji-Man Choi and took a dig at the Astros by banging on a garbage can.

An off-season MLB investigation found evidence that the Astros stole signs from opponents using electronic equipment during the 2017 and 2018 seasons. They banged on trash cans to relay pitch information to hitters.

Houston manager AJ Hinch and GM Jeff Luhnow were suspended a year and later fired.

Will this fire up the Astros and give them extra incentive, or have they just grown accustomed to being called cheaters?

Pick: Houston Astros (+136).

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