Mariners vs Astros Odds, Picks & Predictions (June 8)

• The Houston Astros are -145 home favorites over the Seattle Mariners in an American League game slated for Wednesday, June 8
• Entering play Tuesday, Seattle was 5-26 straight up in the last 31 games played at Houston
• All of the Mariners vs Astros odds and picks are analyzed in the story below

A strange thing happened when the Seattle Mariners (25-30, 13-20, away) visited Houston Monday to face the Astros (35-20, 14-7 home) in the opener of a three-game series. Seattle didn’t lose. The Mariners fashioned a 7-4 victory.

Over recent years, the Mariners and road defeats against the Astros have gone hand in hand. Even with Monday’s victory, Seattle took a 5-26 straight up mark in the club’s last 31 away contests against the Astros into Tuesday’s game at Minute Maid Field.

It’s hardly shocking then that oddsmakers are backing the Astros as -145 home favorites in Wednesday’s game between the two teams. Seattle is a solid 28-27 against the runline this season. As the away underdog, the Mariners are an even better against the spread club at 15-12.

Mariners vs Astros Odds

Odds as of June 7th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes.

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First pitch at Minute Maid Field for this Wednesday, June 8 game is set to be thrown at 6:40 pm ET. Clear skies, 9 mph wind and a scorching temperature of 102 degrees is in the forecast.

At odds of -145, the Astros are offering an implied probability of victory of 59.18. A successful $10 wager on Houston would be producing a return of $16.90.

In MLB betting trends, both the moneyline and spread splits show public wagering is supporting the Astros at 59%. The public is also backing the over at 59%.

As far as the AL Division odds go, the Astros are overwhelming -350 favorites to retain their AL West crown. Houston is the +340 second betting choice to win the AL in the MLB pennant odds. The World Series odds show the Astros as third pick at odds of +650.

Seattle vs Houston Probable Pitchers

In this showdown of right-handers, both Seattle’s Logan Gilbert and Houston’s Jose Urquidy are bringing 5-2 records to the bump.

Gilbert has won just once since May 2. However, it was a 6-0 home-diamond victory over the Astros on May 28. Gilbert worked seven innings of shutout baseball. He allowed four hits and struck out five.

happy Saturday

last night Logan Gilbert threw the hardest pitch (99.3 MPH) of his big league career

that's pretty cool pic.twitter.com/fqcXMbVxOk

— Jordan Shusterman (@j_shusterman_) June 4, 2022

His ERA in the other five starts over this 1-2 stretch is 4.20.  Gilbert is among the bottom 8% of MLB hurlers in hard-hit percentage (47.7). He’s 3-1 with a stellar 1.96 ERA in seven road starts this season. Gilbert is 1-1 with a 4.71 ERA in four career starts facing Houston.

Gilbert vs Urquidy

Urquidy has lost just once since April 18. However, that one setback was handed him by the Mariners. He was the pitcher of record in that 6-0 loss May 28 at Seattle. Urquidy allowed six runs, five earned, over 4.2 innings pitched.

The Mariners also shelled him on April 17. Urquidy took the loss in a 7-2 road setback. He was victimized for six earned runs over four innings of work. Thus, Seattle is responsible for 100% of Urquidy’s losses this season. He’s 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA against the Mariners. They’re batting .435 off of him, with an OPS of 1.145.

"They always score a lot of runs when you pitch. Do you notice that?"

José Urquidy: "Thank God."

— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) June 4, 2022

Overall, Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.83 ERA in six career appearances against Seattle. Five of those were starts.

While Urquidy rates among the top 4% of MLB pitchers in bases on balls percentage (3.5), the remainder of his analytics are quite alarming. He’s in the bottom 1% in max EV (119.1) and the bottom 2% in xSLG (.597). As well, Urquidy is bottom 6% in xERA (6.09), xwOBA (.395) and xwOBAcon (.467), the bottom 7% in xBA (.309) and the lower 8% in both exit velocity (91.5) and wOBA (.372).

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Several of Houston’s top hitters have had their way with Gilbert. Alex Bregman is is 5-for-8 (.625) with an RBI. Jose Altuve is 6-for-11 (.545) with a solo homer. Michael Brantley is 4-for-11 (.364) with an RBI. Kyle Tucker is 2-for-6 (.333).

Two batters later, Ty France broke things open with a three-run home run off starter José Urquidy. pic.twitter.com/tnjQqpG4bD

— Joe Veyera (@JoeVeyera) April 18, 2022

Seattle’s Ty France is 7-for-15 (.467) with a homer and 5 RBI against Urquidy. Julio Rodriguez is 4-for-6 (.667) with an RBI. Eugenio Suarez (2-for-4) and Adam Frazier (3-for-6) are both .500 hitters. Cal Raleigh is 1-for-3 (.333).

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

Yes, Urquidy is 0-2 against the Mariners this season. But that was in Seattle. Home Urquidy is a different pitcher than road Urquidy. His road ERA this season is 6.61. Urquidy’s home ERA is 1.47.

He’s 7-1 with a 2.95 ERA all-time at Minute Maid Park. That’s an .875 winning percentage.

Pick: Houston Astros ML (-145)