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Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 2 Picks & Odds

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 8, 2022 · 3:04 AM PDT

Julio Rodriguez
Oct 7, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Seattle Mariners center fielder Julio Rodriguez (44) celebrates with catcher Cal Raleigh (29) after being driven in on an RBI in the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays during game one of the Wild Card series for the 2022 MLB Playoffs at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Blue Jays are -159 home favorites over the Mariners on Saturday in Game 2 of their AL wild card series
  • Lefty Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71) will pitch for the Mariners against the Blue Jays’ Kevin Gausman (12-10, 3.35)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The visiting Seattle Mariners will try to close out the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of their American League wild card series at 4:07 p.m. ET Saturday at Rogers Centre.

The Mariners (91-72/45-37 road) won 4-0 in Game 1 on Friday for their fifth straight victory and eighth in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays (92-71/47-35 home) have lost two of their last three games following a four-game winning streak.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners +138 +1.5 (-167) Over 7.5 (-104)
Toronto Blue Jays -159 -1.5 (+135) Over 7 (-115)

“Odds as of October 8th at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code.

The Blue Jays are -159 favorites, giving them an implied win probability of 61.39% while the Mariners have a 42.02% implied win probability as +138 underdog. In the World Series odds, Toronto is listed at +1300 and Seattle is at +2800.

The Rogers Centre roof will likely be closed as the weather forecast is for partly cloudy and a high of 53.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71) is scheduled to pitch for the Mariners against Kevin Gausman (12-10, 3.35). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Ray vs Gausman

Robbie Ray
VS
Home Starter
12-12 Record 12-10
3.71 ERA 3.35
3.59 xERA 3.34
1.19 WHIP 1.24
3.42 SO/W 7.32

Ray finished the season a sour note by going 0-4 with a 5.27 ERA in his last five starts. That included losing to the Athletics last Sunday at home when he was tagged for six runs (five earned) and eight hits in 5.2 innings with three strikeouts and three walks.

In three career games (one start) against the Blue Jays, Ray is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA. He won the Cy Young Award with Toronto last season before signing with the Mariners in free agency and has a 4-2 record and 2.49 ERA at Rogers Centre in 10 starts.

Ray has gone 6-6 on the road with a 4.69 ERA in 14 starts this season. In the day, Ray is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA in 11 starts. The Mariners are 17-15 when he toes the slab.

Ray has made one start and two relief appearances in the postseason during his career, going 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA.

Gausman Clear to Play

Gausman has been cleared after leaving his last start with a cut on his right middle finger last Sunday against the Boston Red Sox at Toronto. He pitched three innings and gave up two runs and four hits with four strikeouts and no walks.

Gausman is 4-1 with a 3.78 ERA in his last nine starts.

Against the Mariners, Gausman has a 1-3 lifetime record despite a fine 2.74 ERA in eight games (seven starts).

Gausman is 4-7 with a 4.57 ERA in 16 starts at Rogers Centre this season. He has a 4-5 mark and 3.99 ERA in 13 games during the day. The Blue Jays are 18-13 when Gausman starts.

This will be Gausman’s seventh career postseason game and second start. He is 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Kevin Gausman
Cal Raleigh .500
Ty France .429
Adam Frazier .406
Curt Casali .364
Carlos Santana .200
Eugenio Suarez .200
J.P. Crawford .167
Mitch Haniger .167
Dylan Moore .000
Taylor Trammell .000
Abraham Toro .000
Julio Rodriguez .000
Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Robbie Ray
Danny Jansen 1.000
George Springer .400
Raimel Tapia .333
Teoscar Hernandez .250
Whit Merrifield .200
Matt Chapman .143
Bo Bichette .000
Cavan Biggio .000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .000
Alejandro Kirk .000
Jackie Bradley Jr. .000
Santiago Espinal .000

The Mariners’ Adam Frazier has hit .406 (13 for 32) against Gausman with three doubles while Curt Casali is 4 for 11 (.364) with a double and a homer. The Blue Jays’ George Springer is 6 for 15 (.400) with two doubles and two homers off Ray.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Outlook

Cal Raleigh hit a two-run home run in a three-run first inning as the Mariners took control of Game 1 early. Eugenio Suarez added two hits and two RBIs for Seattle.

The Blue Jays got two hits each from Springer and Matt Chapman.

Springer is expected to play in Game 2 after being hit on the left wrist by a pitch in the eighth inning. Springer stayed in the game and X-rays were negative.

The Mariners are 6-2 against the Blue Jays this season and 14-6 since 2019. The teams have split four games this year in Toronto.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Last 10 Games

10/7/22 Blue Jays Mariners SEA, 4-0
7/10/22 Mariners Blue Jays SEA, 6-5
7/9/22 Mariners Blue Jays SEA, 2-1
7/8/22 Mariners Blue Jays SEA, 5-2
7/7/22 Mariners Blue Jays SEA, 8-3
5/18/22 Blue Jays Mariners SEA, 5-1
5/17/22 Blue Jays Mariners TOR, 3-0
5/16/22 Blue Jays Mariners TOR, 6-2
8/15/21 Mariners Blue Jays TOR, 8-3
8/14/21 Mariners Blue Jays SEA, 9-3

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

The cut on Gausman is a concern. However, Ray struggled at the end of the regular season so much that fading him is the way to go in Game 2.

Pick: Blue Jays -159 ML

 

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