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Mariners vs Nationals Odds & Picks (July 13)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 12, 2022 · 10:46 PM PDT

Mariners vs Nationals Odds
Jul 10, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners first baseman Carlos Santana (41) high-fives teammates in the dugout following a two-run home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the eighth inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Washington Nationals are -120 home favorites over the Seattle Mariners in the opener of a twi-night doubleheader on Wednesday, July 13
  • It’s the first meeting between these two teams since 2017
  • Below, find the Mariners vs Nationals odds plus picks for the series opener

The Seattle Mariners (45-42, 21-22 away) and Washington Nationals (30-58, 14-31 home) were to begin a three-game MLB interleague series on Tuesday. However, Mother Nature had other ideas.

A torrential rain storm led to the postponement of the game. It will be made up as part of a twi-night doubleheader on Wednesday.

It’s the visiting Mariners, who are in the thick of the American League wild card race. Yet it’s the NL East basement-dwelling Nationals who are being established by oddsmakers as -120 home favorites in the opener of this twinbill.

First pitch at Nationals Park is set for 12:05pm ET on Wednesday, July 13. Clouds with 8 mph wind and a temperature of 88 degrees are the weather forecast.

Mariners vs Nationals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners +100 +1.5 (-195) O 9 (-110)
Washington Nationals -120 -1.5 (+162) U 8 (-110)

Odds as of July 12 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo code

 

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Washington is a -120 favorite, giving the Nationals an implied probability of victory of 54.55% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Washington would deliver a payout of $18.30.

The MLB betting trends are showing that the public is at odds with the oddsmakers. There’s 60% of public wagers on both the moneyline and the runline backing the Mariners. Total bettors are going with the under, also at a 60% pace.

In the MLB Division odds Seattle is showing as the +2800 third betting choice to win the AL West. The MLB pennant odds display the Mariners at +5000. In the World Series odds, Seattle is given a betting line of +7500.

Seattle vs Washington Probable Pitchers

Seattle right-hander Chris Flexen, like the rest of the Mariners, is hotter than blacktop in July. He’s recorded a win in each of his last three starts.

Two of those three wins have come on the road. In his last start on July 4, Flexen twirled 6.2 innings of four-hit shutout ball in an 8-2 win over the Padres at San Diego. Flexen struck out eight against three walks. Overall, though, he’s 2-5 with a 4.07 ERA in nine road starts in 2022.

Consistency has proven to be one of Flexen’s assets. He’s pitched five or more innings in 14 of his 16 starts this season. Flexen is in the bottom 7% of MLB hurlers in Max EV (114.7). He has never previously faced the Nationals.

Flexen vs Gray

Chris Flexen
VS
Josiah Gray
5-8 Record 7-5
4.00 ERA 4.14
5.08 xERA 4.23
1.40 WHIP 1.24
2.06 SO/W Ratio 2.75

Nationals right-hander Josiah Gray is the only pitcher on staff, starter or reliever, with a winning record this season. Acquired late last season in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to the Los Angeles Dodgers, Gray was 2-2 as a rookie in 2021.

Gray is 3-1 in his last four decisions, which have come through his past six trips to the mound. He’s worked at least five innings in each of his past seven starts.

Over 87 innings of work Gray has surrendered 18 home runs. That works out to 1.9 home runs per nine innings. Gray is tied for second in the NL in most home runs allowed.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Nationals Batters Batting Average vs Flexen Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Gray
Ehire Adrianza .000 JP Crawford .000
Tres Barrera .000 Ty France .000
Nelson Cruz .571 Adam Frazier .000
Alcides Escobar .000 Sam Haggerty .000
Maikel Franco .200 Dylan Moore .000
Luis Garcia .000 Cal Raleigh .000
Yadiel Hernandez .000 Carlos Santana .000
Cesar Hernandez .444 Eugenio Suarez .000
Victor Robles .000 Abraham Toro .000
Keibert Ruiz .000 Luis Torrens .000
Juan Soto .000 Justin Upton .000
Lane Thomas .000 Jesse Winker .000

Washington’s Nelson Cruz is 4-for-7 (.571) with an RBI against Flexen. Cesar Hernandez is 4-for-9 (.44) with an RBI. Maikel Franco is batting just .200 (1-for-5) but that one hit off of Flexen was a three-run homer.

No Mariners batter has ever faced Gray in an MLB game.

Mariners vs Nationals Prediction

The Mariners are baseball’s hottest team. They’ve won eight games in a row, including a pair of walk off wins. Seattle is 11-1 SU over the past 12 games. The Mariners are also 12-3 SU over their past 15 road games.

Washington has won a paltry 14 home games all season long. That’s the lowest number of any NL club. The 30 overall victories by the Nationals is also an NL low. Gray is 2-5 with a 6.42 ERA at home this season.

Pick: Seattle Mariners ML (+100)

 

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