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Mets vs Phillies Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 20)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 20, 2022 · 7:20 AM PDT

Mets players celebrating after scoring a run.
Aug 17, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Mets right fielder Starling Marte (6) celebrates with first baseman Pete Alonso (20) after MarteÕs home run against the Atlanta Braves in the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets visit the Phillies for a split doubleheader Saturday
  • The first game is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and the nightcap for 7:15 p.m. ET
  • A look at the odds and matchups can be found below with predictions

Two National League East foes will play a split doubleheader Saturday when the Philadelphia Phillies host the first-place New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park.

The first game is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and the nightcap at 7:15 p.m. ET.

The Mets (74-46/37-24 road) won the opener of the four-game series 7-2 on Friday night for their second win in their last three games. The Phillies (65-53/32-27 home) have lost four of their past six games.

The Mets lead the NL East by 3.5 games over the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies are in third place in the division, 11 games behind the Mets, but hold the second NL wild card.

Mets vs Phillies Game 1 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets +140 +1.5 (-150) Over 8 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies -165 -1.5 (+130) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of August 19th at Caesars.

As -165 favorites, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 62.26%. The Mets have World Series odds of +500 and the Phillies are listed at +3500.

It should be a warm afternoon in Philadelphia with an expected high temperature of 90 degrees with mostly sunny skies and wind at 5-10 mph from the south. There is a 20% of thunderstorms or showers after 3 p.m.

Mets vs Phillies Game 1 Probable Pitchers

Trevor Williams (2-5, 3.02) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Zack Wheeler (11-6, 2.92). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Williams vs Wheeler

Trevor Williams
VS
Zack Wheeler
2-5 Record 11-6
3.02 ERA 2.92
3.79 xERA 3.09
1.16 WHIP 1.06
3.41 SO/W 4.90

Williams will be making his first start since July 7 but has since pitched 13 scoreless innings over six relief appearances.

In his last outing, Williams worked two innings against the Phillies last Sunday in New York. In his last start, Williams pitched two-hit ball over seven scoreless innings for the win while striking out seven and walking none.

Williams has an 0-2 lifetime record against the Phillies with a 5.95 ERA in five games (three starts). His lone start at Citizens Bank Park came in 2018 and he had a no-decision while yielding two runs in six innings.

Williams is 0-4 with a 4.18 ERA on the road this season in 10 games (four starts). He is 0-2 with a 3.65 ERA in nine games (three starts) during the day. The Mets have split Williams’ eight starts.

The Mets ended Wheeler’s three-start winning streak last Sunday when they tagged him for six runs and nine hits in six innings. He had five strikeouts and one walk.

Wheeler is 4-3 with a 3.03 ERA versus the Mets in 11 career starts. He has +2500 NL Cy Young Award odds.

At hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park this season, Wheeler is 6-2 with an outstanding 1.57 ERA in 11 starts. He has a 3-4 record and 4.82 ERA in seven starts during the day. The Phillies are 12-10 when Wheeler gets the ball.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mets Batters Batting Average vs Zack Wheeler
Pete Alonso .409
Tyler Naquin .333
Starling Marte .313
Brandon Nimmo .290
Francisco Lindor .250
Mark Canha .250
James McCann .211
Daniel Vogelbach .143
Jeff McNeil .130
Darin Ruf .000
Yolmer Sanchez .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Trevor Williams
Darick Hall 1.000
Bryson Stott 1.000
Jean Segura .500
J.T. Realmuto .400
Nick Castellanos .350
Kyle Schwarber .345
Rhys Hoskins .200
Alec Bohm .000
Bradley Zimmer .000
Brandon Marsh .000
Matt Vierling .000

The Mets’ Pete Alonso is 9 for 22 (.409) with two doubles against Wheeler but Jeff McNeil is 3 for 23 (.130). The Phillies’ Nick Castellanos has gone 7 for 20 (.350) with four doubles and a home run off Williams and Kyle Schwarber is 10 for 29 (.345) with two doubles and four homers.

Mets vs Phillies Game 2 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets -117 -1.5 (+140) Over 8.5 (-120)
Philadelphia Phillies +100 +1.5 (-177) Under 8.5 (+102)

Odds as of August 19th at Barstool Sportsbook.

The Mets are -117 favorites and have a 53.92% implied win probability.

The gametime temperature is forecast for 85 degrees at first pitch with a low of 69 to go with partly cloudy skies and wind from the south at 5-10 mph.

Mets vs Phillies Game 2 Probable Pitchers

The Mets plan to call left-hander David Peterson (6-2, 3.30) up from Triple-A Syracuse to start the second game. The Phillies also plan to go with a starter from Triple-A as Bailey Falter (0-3, 4.85) will be recalled from Lehigh Valley.

Peterson vs Falter

David Peterson
VS
Bailey Falter
6-2 Record 0-3
3.03 ERA 4.85
4.04 xERA 5.30
1.28 WHIP 1.38
2.39 SO/W 3.36

Peterson last pitched Sunday for Syracuse and lost to Buffalo. In four innings, he gave up two runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.

In his last major league start, Peterson beat the Atlanta Braves on Aug. 6 in New York in the first game of a doubleheader. He worked 5.1 scoreless innings, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out five.

Peterson is 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA lifetime against the Phillies in six games (five starts). He is 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA in three games (two starts) at Citizens Bank Park.

On the road this season, Peterson has a 2-1 record and 2.51 ERA in nine games (seven starts). He is 3-0 with a 1.41 ERA in six starts in day games. The Mets have gone 10-4 in Peterson’s starts.

Falter will be looking for his first win of the season in his 12th game and eighth start.

Falter was outstanding in his last start for Lehigh Valley on Aug. 10 against Charlotte. He pitched six scoreless innings and allowed one hit to get the win to go with eight strikeouts and two walks.

In his last major league start, a no-decision July 29 against the Pirates in Pittsburgh, Falter gave up two runs on five hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking two.

Falter is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two games (one start) at home this season. In six games (four starts) at night, he has an 0-1 record and 4.71 ERA. The Phillies are 5-2 when Falter starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mets Batters Batting Average vs Bailey Falter
Pete Alonso .500
Jeff McNeil .500
Mark Canha .333
Starling Marte .333
Brandon Nimmo .000
Francisco Lindor
Tyler Naquin
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs David Peterson
Nick Castellanos 1.000
Brandon Marsh 1.000
Nick Maton .500
Rhys Hoskins .462
Jean Segura .429
Alec Bohm .182
J.T. Realmuto .143
Kyle Schwarber .000
Matt Vierling .000

Mets hitters are a combined 5 for 14 (.357) against Falter. The Phillies’ Rhys Hoskins is 6 for 13 (.462) with two doubles and two home runs off Peterson but Schwarber is 0 for 5 with four strikeouts.

Mets vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Alonso hit his 30th home run and surpassed 100 RBIs to lead the Mets over the Phillies on Friday night. Alonso finished with two hits and three RBIs.

Francisco Lindor had three of the Mets’ 11 hits. Starling Marte had two hits and a steal of home while rookie Brent Baty drove in two runs.

The Phillies’ J.T. Realmuto had three hits. Schwarber added two knocks and a pair of RBIs after starting for the first time in a week after being limited to two pinch-hitting appearances because of a right calf strain.

The Mets are 12-4 against the Phillies this season, including 5-2 at CBP. New York holds a slim 33-31 advantage in the series since 2019.

Mets vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/19/22 Phillies Mets NYM, 7-2
8/14/22 Mets Phillies NYM, 6-0
8/13/22 Mets Phillies NYM, 1-0
8/12/22 Mets Phillies PHI, 2-1
5/29/22 Mets Phillies NYM, 5-4
5/28/22 Mets Phillies NYM, 8-2
5/27/22 Mets Phillies NYM, 8-6
5/8/22 (2) Phillies Mets NYM, 6-1
5/8/22 (1) Phillies Mets PHI, 3-2
5/5/22 Phillies Mets NYM, 8-7

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

Doubleheaders are hard to sweep and this one between contenders has split written all over it. Let’s play the chal in both.

Picks: Phillies -165 ML in Game 1, Mets -117 ML in Game 2

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