Mets vs Braves Odds, LInes & Spread (July 13)
- The Braves are -150 home favorites over the Braves on Wednesday
- Chris Bassitt (6-6, 3.94) will start for New York against Charlie Morton (5-3, 4.21)
- A look at the Mets vs Braves odds can be found below with a pick
The top two teams in the National League East will play the decider of their three-game series when the first-place New York Mets visit the second-place Atlanta Braves at 12:20 p.m. ET Wednesday at Truist Park.
The Braves (53-36, 31-19 home) evened the series at a game apiece Tuesday night with a 4-1 victory, giving them four wins in their last five games and 11 in their last 15. The Mets (54-34, 26-19 road) have lost three of their last five games.
Mets vs Braves Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +130 | +1.5 (-160) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Atlanta Braves | -150 | -1.5 (+135) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
Odds as of July 12th at Caesars Sportsbook.
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The Braves are -150 favorites, giving them a 60% expected win probability. The Mets have World Series odds of +750 while the Braves are listed at +900.
While there is a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, they are not expected until after 4 p.m., meaning that the game should go on without a delay. The forecast also calls for a high of 87 degrees, cloudy and southwest wind at 5 mph.
NYM vs ATL Probable Pitchers
Chris Bassitt (6-6, 3.94) is scheduled to pitch for the Mets against Charlie Morton (5-3, 4.21). Both will be working on four days of rest.
Bassitt vs Morton
| 6-6 | Record | 5-3 |
| 3.94 | ERA | 4.21 |
| 3.11 | xERA | 4.03 |
| 1.14 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 3.77 | SO/W | 3.18 |
Bassitt is 1-2 with a 3.66 ERA in his last three outings and took the loss against the Miami Marlins last Friday in New York despite notching a quality start. He allowed two runs and six hits in six innings with three strikeouts and no walks in his first start since coming off the COVID-19 injured list
He was not happy about the IL stint.
"I was never sick. Never had a symptom."
Chris Bassitt talks about his non-injury related IL stint: pic.twitter.com/d9NTgYOPYs
— SNY (@SNYtv) July 7, 2022
This will be Bassitt’s second career start versus the Braves. He faced them May 2 at Citi Field and lost while surrendering three runs in seven innings.
Bassitt has a 4-2 road record in 2022 but a 5.17 ERA in seven starts. He is 3-1 with a 3.45 in five starts during the day. The Mets are 9-7 when Bassitt pitches.
Morton has been pitching well since a rocky start to the season, going 4-0 with a 3.33 ERA in his last 12 rotation turns.
Morton beat the Washington Nationals last Friday at Truist Park. He worked seven innings, giving up two runs and four hits while striking out seven and walking three.
Charlie Morton, Pretty 81mph Back Door Curveball. 😍
3,247 RPMs. pic.twitter.com/BI3p0DyHM8
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 8, 2022
In 15 career games (14 starts) against the Mets, Morton has a 3-4 mark and 3.49 ERA.
Morton is 3-0 at home this season with a 3.77 ERA in eight starts. He has also made eight starts in day games, going 2-2 with a 3.26 ERA. The Braves have a 10-7 record when he starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Charlie Morton |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | .400 |
| Travis Jankowski | .333 |
| Dominic Smith | .250 |
| Starling Marte | .231 |
| Tomas Nido | .200 |
| Luis Guillorme | .167 |
| Eduardo Escobar | .143 |
| Mark Canha | .143 |
| Ender Inciarte | .143 |
| Francisco Lindor | .077 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .000 |
| Patrick Mazeika | .000 |
| Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Chris Bassitt |
| Orlando Arcia | 1.000 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | .667 |
| Austin Riley | .667 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | .333 |
| Eddie Rosario | .333 |
| Robinson Cano | .182 |
| Marcell Ozuna | .000 |
| Matt Olson | .000 |
| Dansby Swanson | .000 |
| Adam Duvall | .000 |
The Mets’ Francisco Lindor has been stymied by Morton, going 2 for 26 (.077) with two doubles. Pete Alonso, though, is 4 for 10 (.400) with a double.
Mets vs Braves Betting Outlook
The Braves used the longball to beat the Mets on Tuesday night.
Matt Olson, who has +10000 National League MVP odds, hit a two-run home run in the sixth inning to put the Braves ahead 2-1. Adam Duvall then hit a two-run shot an inning later to give Atlanta some cushion.
Powerful night at the yard!#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/HKZagwShJc
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 13, 2022
Both teams had just five hits.
Mets right fielder Starling Marte is expected to miss his fourth straight game Wednesday with left groin tightness.
The Braves plan to activate closer Kenley Jansen from the injured list prior to Wednesday’s game. He has been out since June 27 with an irregular heartbeat.
The teams have split six games this season, but the Braves are 44-29 against the Mets since 2018.
NYM vs ATL Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/12/22 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 4-1 |
| 7/11/22 | Braves | Mets | NYM, 4-1 |
| 5/4/22 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 9-2 |
| 5/3/22 (2) | Mets | Braves | NYM, 3-0 |
| 5/3/22 (1) | Mets | Braves | NYM, 5-4 |
| 5/2/22 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 5-2 |
| 10/3/21 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 5-0 |
| 10/2/21 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 6-5 |
| 10/1/21 | Braves | Mets | NYM, 4-3 |
| 7/29/21 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 6-3 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Morton has turned his season around and is again looking like one of the premier pitchers in baseball. Let’s ride with him in this matinee to get the Braves the series victory and keep the heat on the Mets.
Pick: Braves ML (-150)
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
