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Mets vs Yankees Picks & Odds (Aug 23)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 22, 2022 · 9:35 PM PDT

Mets vs Yankees odds
Jul 27, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; New York Yankees third baseman Josh Donaldson (28) slides into second after hitting a double before New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) is able to attempt a tag in the fifth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York Yankees and New York Mets are both being given -110 odds in their MLB inter-league game slated for Tuesday, August 23
  • The Yankees have lost their last six series and are 6-14 over the past 20 games, while the Mets have won the  past three Subway Series
  • Below, get the Mets vs Yankees odds and picks for Tuesday

As they are facing the New York Mets (79-35, 39-26 away) in another Subway Series, the New York Yankees (75-48, 44-20 home) are playing like they’re aboard a submarine.

The Yankees have dropped six series in a row. They are 6-14 in August.

Relief doesn’t appear to be coming in the form of a showdown with their cross-city rivals. In head-to-head meetings, the Mets have won three in a row. They swept a two-game set from the Yankees at Citi Field last month. However, the Yankees hold a 6-5 edge in the last 11 at Yankee Stadium.

Oddsmakers are billing this one as a toss up. Both the Yankees and Mets are assigned -110 odds. The Mets have gone over the total 62 times this season, tied for the MLB lead.

Mets vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets -110 -1.5 (+155) O 78 (-115)
New York Yankees -110 +1.5 (-180) U 8 (-105)

Odds as of August 22 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code

 

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First pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05pm ET on Tuesday, August 23. Scattered thunderstorms with 8 mph wind and a temperature of 85 degrees are in the weather forecast.

At odds of -110, both clubs have an implied probability of victory of 52.38% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager would create a payout of $19.10.

In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Yankees as the -220 chalk to win the AL East. The Mets are the -255 chalk to take the NL East. In the MLB pennant odds, both teams are showing as the second betting choice. The Yankees at +190 to win the American League and the Mets at +250 to capture the National League. In the World Series odds, the Yankees are +475 and the Mets are +550.

NYM vs NYY Probable Pitchers

The Mets are hurting for starting pitching. Carlos Carrasco (oblique strain) is on the IL. There was a realistic chance that right-hander Taijuan Walker (back) might be joining him. Instead, after going through a workout session Sunday and being assessed Monday, it will be Walker taking the ball for the Mets on Tuesday.

Twice in his past three starts, Walker didn’t get to the third inning. He’s allowed 10 earned runs over his past nine innings of work for an ERA of 10.00. That being said, Walker is 7-1 in his past eight decisions.

He beat the Yankees 6-3 on July 26. Through his career, Walker is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA in seven starts against them. He’s pitched twice at Yankee Stadium and Walker is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA.

Walker vs Montas Stats

Taijuan Walker
VS
Frankie Montas
10-3 Record 4-10
3.36 ERA 3.87
4.18 xERA 4.01
1.20 WHIP 1.21
2.58 SO/W Ratio 3.44

It’s been 13 games since a Yankees starting pitcher won a game for the team. Since arriving from the Oakland A’s via trade, right-hander Frankie Montas is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. He’s allowed six earned runs in two of those three starts.

Over his last five starts for Oakland, Montas was 1-2 with a 2.57 ERA. In three career appearances at Yankee Stadium, Montas is 0-2 with a 5.54 ERA. He’s allowed 12 hits, two of them home runs, and eight earned runs in 13 innings pitched there.

Montas has pitched one inning against the Mets during his MLB career. He allowed a home run and two earned runs for an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.00.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs deGrom Mets Batters Batting Average vs Months
Andrew Benintendi .000 Pete Alonso .000
Oswaldo Cabrera .000 Brett Bay .000
Josh Donaldson .133 Mark Canha .000
Estevan Florial .000 Francisco Lindor .444
Marwin Gonzalez .211 Starling Marte .600
Aaron Hicks .364 James McCann .250
Kyle Higashioka .500 Jeff McNeil .000
Aaron Judge .333 Tyler Naquin .667
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .600 Brandon Nimmo .000
DJ Lemahieu .250 Michael Perez .000
Anthony Rizzo .154 Darin Ruf .000
Gleyber Torres .143 Yolmer Sanchez .000
Jose Trevino .000 Daniel Vogelbach .000

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is 3-for-9 (.333) facing Walker and all three hits were homers. Kyle Higashioka is 1-for-2 (.500) and it was a two-run homer. Aaron Hicks is 4-for-11 (.364) with a solo homer. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is 3-for-5 (.600). Marwin Gonzalez has homered twice off Walker.

Against Montas, Tyler Naquin of the Mets is 2-for-3 (.667). Starling Marte is 2-for-5 (.600). Francisco Lindor is 4-for-9 (.444).

Mets vs Yankees Prediction

Looking at the recent stumbles by each of these starting pitchers, better than trying to figure out which one might get their act together, why not place a wager that neither of them will?

The over is the play on this game. As noted earlier, no MLB team has gone over more this season than the Mets. With 58 wins on the over, the Yankees aren’t far behind.

Pick: Over 8 Runs (-115)

 

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