Mets vs Yankees Picks & Odds (Aug 23)
- The New York Yankees and New York Mets are both being given -110 odds in their MLB inter-league game slated for Tuesday, August 23
- The Yankees have lost their last six series and are 6-14 over the past 20 games, while the Mets have won the past three Subway Series
- Below, get the Mets vs Yankees odds and picks for Tuesday
As they are facing the New York Mets (79-35, 39-26 away) in another Subway Series, the New York Yankees (75-48, 44-20 home) are playing like they’re aboard a submarine.
The Yankees have dropped six series in a row. They are 6-14 in August.
Relief doesn’t appear to be coming in the form of a showdown with their cross-city rivals. In head-to-head meetings, the Mets have won three in a row. They swept a two-game set from the Yankees at Citi Field last month. However, the Yankees hold a 6-5 edge in the last 11 at Yankee Stadium.
Oddsmakers are billing this one as a toss up. Both the Yankees and Mets are assigned -110 odds. The Mets have gone over the total 62 times this season, tied for the MLB lead.
Mets vs Yankees Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New York Mets | -110 | -1.5 (+155) | O 78 (-115) |
New York Yankees | -110 | +1.5 (-180) | U 8 (-105) |
Odds as of August 22 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code.
First pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05pm ET on Tuesday, August 23. Scattered thunderstorms with 8 mph wind and a temperature of 85 degrees are in the weather forecast.
At odds of -110, both clubs have an implied probability of victory of 52.38% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager would create a payout of $19.10.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Yankees as the -220 chalk to win the AL East. The Mets are the -255 chalk to take the NL East. In the MLB pennant odds, both teams are showing as the second betting choice. The Yankees at +190 to win the American League and the Mets at +250 to capture the National League. In the World Series odds, the Yankees are +475 and the Mets are +550.
NYM vs NYY Probable Pitchers
The Mets are hurting for starting pitching. Carlos Carrasco (oblique strain) is on the IL. There was a realistic chance that right-hander Taijuan Walker (back) might be joining him. Instead, after going through a workout session Sunday and being assessed Monday, it will be Walker taking the ball for the Mets on Tuesday.
Buck Showalter says that Taijuan Walker will pitch for the Mets tomorrow, if the weather cooperates: pic.twitter.com/6IRRSPtDpc
— SNY (@SNYtv) August 22, 2022
Twice in his past three starts, Walker didn’t get to the third inning. He’s allowed 10 earned runs over his past nine innings of work for an ERA of 10.00. That being said, Walker is 7-1 in his past eight decisions.
He beat the Yankees 6-3 on July 26. Through his career, Walker is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA in seven starts against them. He’s pitched twice at Yankee Stadium and Walker is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA.
Walker vs Montas Stats
10-3 | Record | 4-10 |
3.36 | ERA | 3.87 |
4.18 | xERA | 4.01 |
1.20 | WHIP | 1.21 |
2.58 | SO/W Ratio | 3.44 |
It’s been 13 games since a Yankees starting pitcher won a game for the team. Since arriving from the Oakland A’s via trade, right-hander Frankie Montas is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. He’s allowed six earned runs in two of those three starts.
"I want to go out there and do my best. This is not my best. I haven't done my best"
– Frankie Montas pic.twitter.com/En03QFXIZN
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) August 19, 2022
Over his last five starts for Oakland, Montas was 1-2 with a 2.57 ERA. In three career appearances at Yankee Stadium, Montas is 0-2 with a 5.54 ERA. He’s allowed 12 hits, two of them home runs, and eight earned runs in 13 innings pitched there.
Montas has pitched one inning against the Mets during his MLB career. He allowed a home run and two earned runs for an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.00.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs deGrom | Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Months |
---|---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi | .000 | Pete Alonso | .000 |
Oswaldo Cabrera | .000 | Brett Bay | .000 |
Josh Donaldson | .133 | Mark Canha | .000 |
Estevan Florial | .000 | Francisco Lindor | .444 |
Marwin Gonzalez | .211 | Starling Marte | .600 |
Aaron Hicks | .364 | James McCann | .250 |
Kyle Higashioka | .500 | Jeff McNeil | .000 |
Aaron Judge | .333 | Tyler Naquin | .667 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | .600 | Brandon Nimmo | .000 |
DJ Lemahieu | .250 | Michael Perez | .000 |
Anthony Rizzo | .154 | Darin Ruf | .000 |
Gleyber Torres | .143 | Yolmer Sanchez | .000 |
Jose Trevino | .000 | Daniel Vogelbach | .000 |
Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is 3-for-9 (.333) facing Walker and all three hits were homers. Kyle Higashioka is 1-for-2 (.500) and it was a two-run homer. Aaron Hicks is 4-for-11 (.364) with a solo homer. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is 3-for-5 (.600). Marwin Gonzalez has homered twice off Walker.
Which is more likely to happen this year: Aaron Judge breaks the AL record with his 62nd HR or Albert Pujols reaches 700 homers? #ULTRAMoment pic.twitter.com/J6sPWXVsuv
— MLB (@MLB) August 22, 2022
Against Montas, Tyler Naquin of the Mets is 2-for-3 (.667). Starling Marte is 2-for-5 (.600). Francisco Lindor is 4-for-9 (.444).
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
Looking at the recent stumbles by each of these starting pitchers, better than trying to figure out which one might get their act together, why not place a wager that neither of them will?
Ballgame. It's a 4-2 #Yankees win over the Mets in the Subway Series.
The Yanks have won consecutive games for the first time in August.
— Bryan Hoch ⚾️ (@BryanHoch) August 23, 2022
The over is the play on this game. As noted earlier, no MLB team has gone over more this season than the Mets. With 58 wins on the over, the Yankees aren’t far behind.
Pick: Over 8 Runs (-115)
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