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Padres vs Rockies Picks & Odds (July 14)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 14, 2022 · 11:12 AM PDT

Jul 13, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Jose Iglesias (11) reacts toward the Rockies dugout after hitting a three-run home run in the sixth inning against the San Diego Padres at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: John Leyba-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Padres are -136 road favorites over the Rockies on Thursday
  • Blake Snell (1-5, 4.66) will pitch for San Diego against fellow lefty Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.70)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The host Colorado Rockies will look to take three of four from the San Diego Padres when the team meet at 3:10 p.m. ET Thursday in the series finale at Coors Field in Denver.

The Rockies (40-49/25-22 home) won for the second night in a row and fifth time in their last seven games with a 10-6 victory on Wednesday night. The Padres (50-40/27-20 road) have lost four of their last five games.

Padres vs Rockies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres -136 -1.5 (+105) Over 12 (-105)
Colorado Rockies +117 +1.5 (-130) Under 12 (-114)

Odds as of July 13th at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

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The Padres have a 57.63 implied win probability as -136 favorites. San Diego has +1800 World Series odds while the Rockies are an extreme longshot at +200000.

The weather forecast calls for a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms right around the scheduled first pitch. It is then expected to be partly sunny and hot with a high temperature of 98 degrees and wind from the north at 6-11 mph.

San Diego vs Colorado Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of left-handers, Blake Snell (1-5, 4.66) is scheduled to start for the Padres against Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.70). Snell will be pitching on five days rest and Freeland on four.

Snell vs Freeland

Blake Snell
VS
Kyle Freeland
1-5 Record 4-7
4.66 ERA 4.70
3.41 xERA 4.86
1.38 WHIP 1.37
2.44 SO/W 2.28

Snell finally got his first win of the season in his ninth start when he beat the San Francisco Giants last Friday at home. Snell had 11 strikeouts in six innings while allowing one run, three hits and two walks.

It also marked the first time the Padres won when Snell started in 2022.

In seven career starts versus the Rockies, Snell has a 2-1 record and 3.89 ERA. He has struggled at Coors Field, though, going 1-1 with a 6.50 ERA in four starts.

Snell is 0-2 on the road this season with a 4.66 ERA in five games (four starts). In the daylight, he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA over three games (two starts).

Freeland has lost both his starts in July while yielding a 7.50 ERA. He gave up six runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings to the Diamondbacks last Saturday in Arizona while striking out three and walking two.

Freeland has a .500 record in 17 lifetime games (15 starts) against the Padres, going 5-5 with a 3.99 ERA.

https://twitter.com/RoxGifsVids/status/1544158793281552384

In nine starts at home this year, Freeland is 3-3 with a 5.23 ERA. He is 1-3 with a 5.55 ERA in six starts in day games. The Rockies have gone 8-9 in Freeland’s outings.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Padres Batters Batting Average vs Kyle Freeland
Luke Voit .333
Manny Machado .313
Jake Cronenworth .278
Eric Hosmer .263
Trent Grisham .235
Jose Azocar .200
Ha-Seong Kim .167
Jorge Alfaro .167
Austin Nola .143
Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Blake Snell
Yonathan Daza .667
C.J. Cron .467
Brendan Rodgers .375
Elias Diaz .333
Jose Iglesias .250
Charlie Blackmon .231
Connor Joe .200
Kris Bryant .167
Randal Grichuk .125
Garrett Hampson .077
Ryan McMahon .000
Brian Serven .000

Padres star Manny Machado is a .313 hitter (10 for 32) against Freeland with six doubles.

The Rockies’ Yonathan Daza is 6 for 9 with a double off Snell and first baseman C.J. Cron is 7 for 15 (.467) with one double and one home run. However, Randal Grichuk has struck out 12 times while going 3 for 24 (.125) with two doubles.

Padres vs Rockies Betting Outlook

Ike Hilliard hit an RBI single in the bottom of the seventh to break a 6-6 tie Wednesday night and Jose Iglesias added a two-run single in the three-run inning to lift the Rockies past the Padres.

Iglesias homered for the Rockies and finished 3 for 5 with six RBIs. Hilliard also had three hits while Charlie Blackmon, Grichuk and Elias Diaz added two each.

Cron (wrist) did not start for the fourth time in five games but had a pinch-hit single in the seventh and finished the game at first base. Reliever Jesus Colome was unavailable with a slightly strained right hamstring but could be ready to return Thursday.

Jake Cronenworth homered for the Padres and went 2 for 3 with a double, three runs scored and two RBIs. Eric Hosmer also had two hits and drove in two runs and Nomar Mazara had two hits.

The Padres activated left-handed relief pitcher Adrian Morejon from the injured list prior to the game and he allowed one run in one inning. Left shoulder inflammation had kept Morejon out of action since June 23. Reiss Knehr was optioned to Triple-A El Paso.

Morejon has had some trouble with the Rockies this season.

The Rockies have won seven of 10 games from the Padres this season, including five of six at Coors Field. The Rockies hold a 94-78 series advantage since the start of the 2013 season.

SD vs COL Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/13/22 Rockies Padres COL, 10-6
7/12/22 Rockies Padres COL, 5-3
7/11/22 Rockies Padres SD, 6-5
6/19/22 Rockies Padres COL, 8-3
6/18/22 Rockies Padres COL, 5-4
6/17/22 Rockies Padres COL, 10-4
6/12/22 Padres Rockies COL, 4-2
6/11/22 (2) Padres Rockies COL, 6-2
6/11/22 (1) Padres Rockies SD, 2-1
6/10/22 Padres Rockies SD, 9-0

Padres vs Rockies Prediction

It has been a rough season for Snell, but he finally put together a dominant outing his next time out and his expected season statistics are solid. Let’s go with him to make it two wins in a row despite the Rockies dominance over the Padres at Coors Field this year.

Pick: Padres ML (-136)

 

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