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Phillies vs Marlins Odds & Picks (July 15)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 14, 2022 · 5:56 PM PDT

Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara throwing a pitch
Jul 10, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) delivers a pitch during the first inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Marlins are -165 home favorites over the Phillies on Friday night
  • Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53) will start for Philadelphia against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73)
  • A look at the Phillies vs Marlins odds can be found below with a pick

Two National League East rivals begin a three-game series when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Miami Marlins at 6:40 p.m. ET Friday at loanDepot Park.

The Phillies (46-43, 22-22 road) are on a four-game losing streak. They were off Thursday after being swept in a two-game series by the Blue Jays in Toronto, including losing 8-2 on Wednesday.

The Marlins (43-45, 22-19 home) beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-2 in 11 innings Thursday at home to salvage a split of a four-game series. The Marlins have won 10 of their last 15 games.

Phillies vs Marlins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Philadelphia Phillies +140 +1.5 (-170) Over 7 (-105)
Miami Marlins -165 -1.5 (+145) Under 7 (-115)

Odds as of July 14th at Caesars Sportsbook

 

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The Marlins are -165 favorites and have a 62.26% implied win probability. Philadelphia has +3500 World Series odds and Miami’s odds are +18000.

The loanDepot Park roof will likely be closed as there is a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Philadelphia vs Miami Probable Pitchers

Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53) is scheduled to pitch for the Phillies against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73). Gibson will be working on five days of rest and Alcantara on four. Alcantara is the favorite in the National League Cy Young Award odds at -105.

Gibson vs Alcantara

Visitor Starter
VS
Sandy Alcantara
4-3 Record 9-3
4.53 ERA 1.73
4.28 xERA 2.54
1.23 WHIP 0.91
3.00 SO/W 3.58

Gibson is winless in his last five starts, notching an 0-1 record and 4.82 ERA.

However, he pitched seven scoreless innings against the Cardinals last Saturday in a no-decision at St. Louis. He surrendered just two hits and did not walk a batter while striking out five.

The Marlins have given Gibson fits as he is 0-2 against them in three career starts with a 6.50 ERA. He has lost both starts at loanDepot Park while compiling a 10.80 ERA.

Gibson is winless in eight road starts this season, going 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA. He has a 2-2 record at night and 4.97 ERA in eight starts. The Phillies have gone 10-8 when he pitches.

Alcantara is on quite a roll with a 7-1 record and 1.24 ERA in his last 12 starts.

Last Sunday, Alcantara pitched seven scoreless innings against the Mets in New York but did not factor in the decision. He allowed six hits, struck out four and walked one.

In 12 career starts against the Phillies, Alcantara has a 6-4 record and 3.03 ERA.

https://twitter.com/MarlinStatMuse/status/1545644785851109377h

Alcantara is 5-2 with a 1.59 ERA in nine starts at home this season and 6-2 with a 1.56 in 11 starts at night. The Marlins have won 12 of his 18 starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Sandy Alcantara
Nick Castellanos .333
Mickey Moniak .333
Kyle Schwarber .308
J.T. Realmuto .300
Alec Bohm .286
Yairo Munoz .250
Didi Gregorius .231
Rhys Hoskins .207
Odubel Herrera .200
Matt Vierling .000
Bryson Stott .000
Marlins Batters Batting Average vs Kyle Gibson
Jesus Sanchez .625
Miguel Rojas .571
Jon Berti .500
Garrett Cooper .500
Joey Wendle .353
Nick Fortes .333
Jesus Aguilar .286
Billy Hamilton .200
Avisail Garcia .156
Bryan De La Cruz .000
Jacob Stallings .000

Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber is 4 for 13 (.308) with two doubles against Alcantara but rookie Bryson Stott is 0-for-6.

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Outlook

Brian Anderson’s two-run triple in the bottom of the 11th inning won it for the Marlins over the Pirates on Thursday.

Joey Wendle had two hits for Miami.

Both Marlins middle infielders left the game early. Second baseman Jon Berti was removed in the second inning with a mild groin struck and shortstop Miguel Rojas exited in the ninth after being struck in the head while tagging out the Pirates’ Oneil Cruz.

Berti and Rojas are considered questionable for Friday.

Marlins designated hitter Garrett Cooper did not start for a second straight game because of a bruised left knee and center fielder Jesus Sanchez was a late scratch because of a personal reason. Both entered the game in the late innings.

Stott accounted for all the Phillies’ scoring with a two-run homer Wednesday in their loss to the Blue Jays. That was just one of two hits for Philadelphia.

Catcher J.T. Realmuto and third baseman Alec Bohm will return to the active roster Friday. Both were placed on the restricted list for the two-game series in Toronto as they were unable to enter Canada because of their vaccination status.

The Marlins have won four of seven games from the Phillies this season and the teams split a four-game series in April at loanDepot Park.

Rojas has hit .375 (9 for 24) for the Marlins with two doubles, one triple and one home run while Sanchez is 9 for 26 (.346) with one double and two triples. The Phillies Bohm is 8 for 15 (.533) with a double and Rhys Hoskins is 11 for 26 (.423) with four doubles, a triple and two homers.

Miami is 31-24 against Philadelphia since the start of the 2019 season.

PHI vs MIA Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/15/22 Phillies Marlins PHI, 3-1
6/14/22 Phillies Marlins MIA, 11-9
6/13/22 Phillies Marlins PHI, 3-2
4/17/22 Marlins Phillies MIA, 11-3
4/16/22 Marlins Phillies PHI, 10-3
4/15/22 Marlins Phillies MIA, 7-1
4/14/22 Marlins Phillies MIA, 4-3
10/3/21 Marlins Phillies MIA, 5-4
10/2/21 Marlins Phillies MIA, 3-1
10/1/21 Marlins Phillies PHI, 5-0

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

Alcantara is the NL Cy Young favorite for a reason and it’s hard to bet him against, even at a high price.

Pick: Marlins ML (-165)

 

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