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Rockies vs Nationals Odds & Picks (July 26)

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 25, 2023 · 10:34 PM PDT

Ezequiel Tovar home run trot waving on base path
Jul 25, 2023; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar (14) gestures while rounding the bases after hitting a home run against the Washington Nationals during the third inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Washington Nationals are -130 favorites in their series finale vs the Rockies Wednesday afternoon
  • Washington used an 8th-inning rally to storm back to beat Colorado 6-5 Tuesday
  • Don’t miss the latest Rockies vs Nationals picks and starting pitchers below

After blowing a late lead Tuesday in Washington, the Colorado Rockies (40-61, 17-35 away) have been pushed a little further down the bottom of the ladder in the National League.

The Nationals (42-59, 19-33 home), who own the 2nd-worst mark in the NL, will now look to win the series, giving them W’s in four of their last five outings.

Colorado had won three of four before this late-inning collapse.

Action gets underway Wednesday (July 26) at 12:05pm ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. You can watch the game live on MLB Network.

Rockies vs Nationals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Colorado Rockies +110 +1.5 (-176) Ov 9.5 (-114)
Washington Nationals -130 -1.5 (+146) Un 9.5 (-106)

The MLB odds have the Nationals as -130 betting favorites to take the rubber match in this set. That’s an implied win probability of 56.52%. The over is set at 9.5 runs, a figure these teams have crossed in five of six matchups this season.

Washington won a rain-soaked tilt 6-5 on Tuesday, with Joey Meneses delivering the definitive gut punch: a 3-run jack in the eighth inning to vault the Nats into a lead after trailing 5-2 with just six outs to play.

For the Rockies, Ezequiel Tovar hit his 10th home run of the season, while Elias Diaz added a couple of hits, scoring a run and driving in a run.

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Odds as of July 25 at FanDuel. Don’t forget to claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on Wednesday’s Rockies vs Nationals game and KY bettors can see the latest on FanDuel Kentucky.

Probable Pitchers

The Rockies are turning to righty Peter Lambert, making just his third start all season for Colorado.

Last time out, he earned a W in a 6-1 win over the Marlins. Lambert went five innings, giving up just three hits and no earned runs, walking one and striking out three. It was his longest outing of the season.

He owns a 5.49 ERA on the year in 16 total appearances, pitching 39.1 innings, giving up 44 hits and striking out 39.

Only three Nationals have ever faced him, and none with more than two at-bats.

Lambert vs Irvin Stats

Peter Lambert
VS
Jake Irvin
2-1 Record 3-5
5.49 ERA 4.87
1.53 WHIP 1.43
.355 OBA .346
2.44 SO/W Ratio 1.77

Washington counters with righty Jake Irvin, who has been on a nice little run of late. The 26-year old has picked up wins in two of his last three outings, including his last appearance, a 5-3 win over the Giants.

Irvin went a season-high 6.2 innings, giving up five hits and three earned runs. While he did surrender a pair of dingers, Irvin walked only one and struck out nine.

The nine K’s were a season-high, topping his previous best by three.

No one on the Rockies has an at-bat against Irvin.

Rockies vs Nationals Betting Prediction

Colorado’s 17-34 road mark is the worst in the National League. They’re the only team yet to crack the 20-win plateau on the road.

Perhaps the only things worse than the Rockies on the road might be the Nationals at home.

At 19-33, they own the 2nd-worst home record in baseball, and the worst in the NL. Every other team on the Senior Circuit has at least 22 wins at their home park.

Rockies vs Nationals 2023 H2H Results

Date Away Team Home Team Result
July 25 Rockies Nationals WAS, 6-5
July 24 Rockies Nationals COL, 10-6
April 9 Nationals Rockies COL, 7-6
April 8 Nationals Rockies WAS, 7-6
April 7 Nationals Rockies WAS, 10-5
April 6 Nationals Rockies COL, 1-0

Washington has been a home favorite a grand total of five times all year — the fewest times of any team in baseball — and are 3-2 in that scenario.

The Rockies don’t offer much resistance as a road ‘dog, though, running a 17-35 record on the year, a bottom-5 mark in the bigs.

There’s a reason, however, you should be targeting the total: these teams have struggled to get some good pitching. Colorado allows the highest team batting average in baseball (.280), followed by the Nationals (.276).

Colorado is one of three teams to have an ERA over five (5.47 – 2nd), but Washington is trying to be the fourth, with a 4.96 ERA.

The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. Look for that trend to continue in the series finale.

Pick: OVER 9.5 runs (-114)

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