Rockies vs Reds Picks & Odds (Sep. 2)
- The Cincinnati Reds are -116 home favorites over the Colorado Rockies in a National League game slated for Friday, September 2
- Colorado and Cincinnati have split the last 10 meetings 5-5
- The Rockies swept a three-game series from the Reds April 29-May 1 at Colorado
They could call the competition between the Colorado Rockies (56-76, 20-44 away) and Cincinnati Reds (51-78, 27-38 home) the even-steven series. Over the past 10 meetings, each team shows five victories.
Through the last 12 it’s 6-6 and 7-7 over the past 14 games. The last 16 were split 8-8 and the last 18 games? You guessed it – 9-9.
However, reduce the calculation to games played during the 2022 MLB season and the margin turns heavily toward the Rockies. The Rockies swept a three-game series from the Reds from April 29-May 1 at Colorado. Then again, the last series played at Cincinnati in 2021 was a three-game set swept by the Reds.
Cincinnati is the locale for a three-game series this weekend and the Reds are -116 favorites for the series opener.
Rockies vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | -102 | +1.5 (-200) | O 9.5 (-102) |
| Cincinnati Reds | -116 | -1.5 (+164) | U 9.5 (-120) |
Odds as of September 1 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get the FanDuel Sportsbook bonus code to bet on MLB today.
The MLB lineups for the two teams will see that the first pitch at Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40pm ET on Friday, September 2. Mostly cloudy skies with 4 mph wind and a temperature of 84 degrees are in the weather forecast.
At odds of -116, the Reds have an implied probability of victory of 53.70% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Cincinnati would deliver a payout of $18.60.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Reds at a betting line of +163630 to win the NL Central. Already 34.5 games out with 31 to play, the Rockies are eliminated from NL West contention. The MLB pennant odds show the Rockies at +200000 and the Reds at +400000. In the World Series odds both teams are at a betting line of +500000.
Colorado vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
Rockies left-hander Kyle Freeland is 0-2 through his past four starts. He’s allowed 16 earned runs over 21.2 innings pitched in that span for an ERA of 6.65.
Freeland ranks among the bottom 7% of MLB pitchers in Max EV (115.2), in the bottom 8% in xERA (5.30) and xwOBA (.352), the bottom 9% in xBA (.274) and xSLG (.464) and in the bottom 10% in strikeout percentage (16.2). He also leads National League hurlers in hit batters (15).
Kyle Freeland is a pitcher for the Colorado Rockies
He has averaged 2.79 walks per 9 innings, has given up 155 hits, and has .343 OBP against him this season ⚾#Rockies #MLB pic.twitter.com/IfsLutymkq— Random MLB Stats (@RandomMLBStats_) August 31, 2022
Freeland is 3-5 with a 3.62 ERA in 12 road starts. He’s 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA against the Reds in 2022, but 3-2 with a 7.16 ERA over six career starts facing Cincinnati.
Freeland vs Cessa
| 7-9 | Record | 3-2 |
| 4.88 | ERA | 5.36 |
| 5.30 | xERA | 5.16 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.44 |
| 2.30 | SO/W Ratio | 2.00 |
Recently installed into the depleted Cincinnati starting rotation, Reds right-hander Luis Cessa will be making his fourth start of the season. He worked a season-high four innings in his last start on August 27 as Cincinnati beat the Washington Nationals 6-2.
As Luis Cessa transitions from the @Reds' bullpen to the starting rotation, he's taking things step by step. pic.twitter.com/uPHcr3ulU0
— Bally Sports Cincinnati (@BallySportsCIN) August 27, 2022
That was the first time Cessa had been involved in a Reds victory since June 26. Cincinnati is 11-28 this season when Cessa pitches. He rates among the bottom 10% of MLB pitchers in xERA (5.16) and xwOBA (.438) and the bottom 6% in xSLG (.473).
He’s made two relief appearances against the Rockies this season, allowing two hits and one earned run in two innings of work. Those are Cessa’s only career appearances against Colorado.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Rockies Batters | Batting Average vs Cessa | Reds Batters | Batting Average vs Freeland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon | .000 | Aristides Aquino | .000 |
| Sean Bouchard | .000 | Jose Barrero | .000 |
| CJ Cron | .286 | Stuart Fairchild | .000 |
| Elias Diaz | .000 | Kyle Farmer | .200 |
| Randal Grichuk | .125 | Jake Fraley | .500 |
| Garrett Hampson | .000 | TJ Friedl | .000 |
| Jose Iglesias | .250 | Jonathan India | .333 |
| Connor Joe | .500 | Alejo Lopez | .000 |
| Ryan McMahon | .000 | Colin Moran | .000 |
| Elehuris Montero | .000 | Chuckie Robinson | .000 |
| Brendan Rodgers | .000 | Austin Romine | .000 |
| Brian Serven | .000 | Nick Senzel | .500 |
| Michael Toglia | .000 | Donovan Solano | .467 |
| Alan Trejo | .000 | Spencer Steer | .000 |
Colorado’s Connor Joe is 1-for-2 (.500) facing Cessa. CJ Cron is 2-for-7 with a homer and two RBI. Randal Grichuk is just 1-for-8 (.125) but that one hit was a solo homer.
I can’t wait to attend the Donovan Solano Reds Hall of Fame ceremony
— Claiborne Snowden (@Clay_sno) August 30, 2022
Cincinnati’s Donovan Solano is 7-for-15 (.467) with two homers and four RBI against Freeland. Nick Senzel is 3-for-6 (.500). Jake Fraley is 1-for-2 (.500). Jonathan India is 1-for-3 (.333). Kyle Farmer has one hit in five at-bats (.200) but it was a solo homer.
Rockies vs Reds Prediction
Colorado pounded Cincinnati pitching for 24 runs in that three-game sweep earlier this season. But that was at home.
On the road, the Rockies have won a National League-low 20 games. Thursday’s 3-0 loss at Atlanta dropped Colorado to 5-17 SU over the club’s past 22 away games.
.@LieutenantDans7 at your service!#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/tqQI0iolFg
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 2, 2022
The Rockies have dropped five in a row at Cincinnati. They’ve been outscored 33-13 in those games.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (-116)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
