Twins vs Brewers Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 27)
- The Brewers are -195 home favorites over the Twins on Wednesday
- Chris Archer (2-4, 3.41) will start for Minnesota against Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.20)
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
Two division leaders complete their quick two-game series when the Minnesota Twins visit the Milwaukee Brewers at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field.
The National League Central-leading Brewers (54-44/25-20 home) won the opener 7-6 on Tuesday night for their fourth victory in the last five games. The American League Central-leading Twins (52-45/25-23 road) had won back-to-back games.
Twins vs Brewers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | +163 | +1.5 (-132) | Over 8 (-109) |
| Milwaukee Brewers | -195 | -1.5 (+107) | Under 8 (-109) |
Odds as of July 26th at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Brewers have a 66.1% win probability as -195 favorites. Milwaukee’s World Series odds are +2000 and the Twins are listed at +5500.
With the weather forecast calling for a high of 83 degrees with sunny skies and a west wind from 5-10 mph, the American Family Field roof should be open.
Twins vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
Chris Archer (2-4, 3.41) is scheduled to pitch for the Twins against Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.20). Archer will be working on nine days rest and Burnes on four.
Burnes has +550 NL Cy Young odds after winning the award last season.
Archer vs Burnes
| 2-4 | Record | 7-4 |
| 3.41 | ERA | 2.20 |
| 4.83 | xERA | 2.82 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 0.93 |
| 1.68 | SO/W | 4.81 |
Archer is 1-2 in his last five starts despite a fine 2.91 ERA.
Archer last pitched on July 17 and lost to the Chicago White Sox at home. He allowed four runs and five hits in 4.2 innings with five strikeouts and one walk.
With NFL training camp opening, perhaps Archer can be a modern-day Bo Jackson.
Chris Archer getting ready for his start tonight 🏈 pic.twitter.com/AoFzK9LWLh
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) June 8, 2022
In five career starts against the Brewers, Archer is 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA. He is winless in two decisions and three starts at American Family Field and has an 8.31 ERA.
Archer is 0-1 in eight road starts this season despite a 2.70 ERA. He is 0-4 with a 5.12 ERA in eight starts in the day. The Twins have gone 7-9 with Archer on the mound.
Burnes is undefeated in his last seven starts with a 4-0 record and 1.76 ERA.
In his previous start last Friday, Burnes had a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies at home. He gave up two runs on six hits in five innings while striking out five and walking two.
Burnes is 1-1 with a 1.46 ERA versus the Twins lifetime in three games (two starts).
Corbin Burnes is nasty. 😱 pic.twitter.com/iOHktt5KmL
— MLB (@MLB) June 21, 2022
Burnes is 3-3 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 starts in Milwaukee this season. In the day, he is 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA in seven starts. The Brewers are 12-7 when he pitches.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Twins Batters | Batting Average vs Corbin Burnes |
|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | .200 |
| Byron Buxton | .200 |
| Miguel Sano | .200 |
| Jorge Polanco | .000 |
| Max Kepler | .000 |
| Brewers Batters | Batting Average vs Chris Archer |
| Andrew McCutchen | .667 |
| Kolten Wong | .500 |
| Victor Caratini | .200 |
| Omar Narvaez | .200 |
| Christian Yelich | .143 |
| Hunter Renfroe | .000 |
The Twins’ Jorge Polanco is hitless in five at-bats against Burnes.
The Brewers’ Andrew McCutchen is 4 for 6 with a double off Archer and Kolten Wong is 4 for 8 with a double and home run. Meanwhile, Christian Yelich is just 2 for 14 (.143) with a double and homer.
Twins vs Brewers Betting Outlook
Luis Urias’ sacrifice fly in the bottom of the ninth inning gave the Brewers a walk-off win over the Twins on Tuesday night.
You know you wanna hear Ueck call that walk off.
MLB x @CapitalOne pic.twitter.com/dI7lZXWpYO
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 27, 2022
Urias also homered and had three RBIs while teammates Hunter Renfroe and Wong also went deep. Renfroe, who hit a three-run shot, has homered in four of the Brewers’ five games since the All-Star break.
Byron Buxton and Gio Urshela hit home runs for the Twins. Rookie Jose Miranda finished with three hits.
Buxton returned to the lineup after missing the first two games after the All-Star break in the aftermath of getting a platelet-rich plasma injection in his knee.
First baseman Miguel Sano was activated from the injured list and went 0 for 2 before being lifted for a pinch hitter. He had been out since May 1 because of a torn meniscus in his right knee that required surgery.
https://twitter.com/TwinsDingers/status/1552140796488519680
Right fielder Max Kepler was held out with a mildly displaced fracture of his right pinky toe. He is expected to return Wednesday. Kepler was injured Sunday when hit by a pitch.
The Brewers have won two of three meetings this season, but the Twins hold a 9-6 edge since 2020.
Twins vs Brewers Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/26/22 | Brewers | Twins | MIL, 7-6 |
| 7/13/22 | Twins | Brewers | MIN, 4-1 |
| 7/12/22 | Twins | Brewers | MIL, 6-3 |
| 8/29/21 | Twins | Brewers | MIL, 6-2 |
| 8/28/21 | Twins | Brewers | MIN, 6-4 |
| 8/27/21 | Twins | Brewers | MIN, 2-0 |
| 4/4/21 | Brewers | Twins | MIN, 8-2 |
| 4/3/21 | Brewers | Twins | MIN, 2-0 |
| 4/1/21 | Brewers | Twins | MIL, 6-5 |
| 8/20/20 | Twins | Brewers | MIN, 7-1 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
Burnes has gotten on a roll for the Brewers and it seems hardly the time to bet against him, even with a big number.
Pick: Brewers -195 ML
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
