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Yankees (Garcia) vs Rays (Glasnow) Game 2 Picks and Odds – Oct. 6th

Jordan Horrobin

by Jordan Horrobin in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 9, 2021 · 1:12 PM PST

Rays outfielder Kevin Kiermaier rounding the bases
Kevin Kiermaier and the Rays seen their World Series odds surge. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr).
  • Trailing 1-0 in the ALDS, the Tampa Bay Rays enter Game 2 of the series as moneyline favorites over the New York Yankees on Tuesday, Oct. 6, at 8:10 pm ET in San Diego
  • Yankees are starting Deivi Garcia, somewhat surprisingly, opposite Rays’ righty Tyler Glasnow
  • Check out the article below for the odds, matchup analysis, and best bets for the Game 2 of the series

In a matchup that can be loosely distilled as offense versus defense, the Yankees’ bats overpowered the Rays on Monday in Game 1 of the ALDS. Both as the teams turn around for Game 2 on Tuesday, oddsmakers are siding with the Rays and their pitching prowess.

Tampa Bay is the moneyline favorite on the current Yankees vs. Rays odds, as displayed below.

Rays vs Yankees Game 2 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total
Tampa Bay Rays -116 -1.5 (+176) Over 8.0 (-102)
New York Yankees +102 +1.5 (-210) Under 8.0 (-120)

Odds as of Oct. 6. 

About Last Night

The score doesn’t show it, but Game 1 of this series was actually a very tight game.

Nursing a one-run lead as the ninth inning began, the Yankees exploded for five in the final frame — including a grand slam courtesy of Giancarlo Stanton.

Prior to that, the Rays actually held a 3-2 lead at the game’s halfway mark. A very messy final frame is discouraging, but it’s something a successful team like the Rays should be able to flush heading into an important Game 2.

Pitching Matchup

Some thought the Yankees might roll a veteran to start Game 2, but instead manager Aaron Boone announced Monday that it’ll be 21-year-old rookie Deivi Garcia, who has never faced Tampa Bay. He will be the youngest starter in Yankees playoff history.

When Boone revealed the decision Monday, he was brief on specifics regarding how Garcia will be used. Given the Rays’ versatile lineup, loaded with both left- and right-handed hitters, the Yankees might get creative in how they roll out their pitchers on Tuesday.

Garcia, for example, might be a short-inning opener that gives way to someone like J.A. Happy or Jordan Montgomery, depending on what matchups the Rays’ lineup presents.

“We’re in a sort of all-hands-on-deck kind of situation now, even though we’re just getting started in the series,” Boone told reporters. “We’ll do what we’ve got to do to try and win ballgames.”

The Rays’ situation is much more conventional. Tyler Glasnow went 1-1 with a 3.77 ERA in three starts against the Yankees this season. His lone outing this postseason was a six-inning start against the Blue Jays, in which he allowed two runs while striking out eight and earning the win.

That’s a carry-over from Glasnow’s late-season success: he went 4-0 with a 3.07 ERA in his final five starts of the year.

Glasnow Up For Tall Task

Here’s the deal: the Yankees’ offense looks like a runaway freight train right now. They have scored 31 runs on 38 hits in their three postseason games so far. That’s unsustainably good, even for a team this power-packed.

In non-pandemic times, Tyler Glasnow would get to attack the New York lineup from the comfort of his home Tropicana Field. Then again, perhaps it’s better that he’s on the road.

In six starts away from The Trop this year, Glasnow is 3-0 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.085 WHIP. He’ll need to mimic numbers like that if he wants to limit the Yankees and give his guys a chance — and he certainly has the talent to pull it off.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays (-116)

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