Yankees vs Guardians Game 3 Picks & Odds

• The New York Yankees are -120 road favorites over the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their ALDS series on Saturday, October 15
• Cleveland rallied for a 4-2 victory in Game to pull even at 1-1 in this best-of-five set
• The Yankees are 3-0 straight up in the past three postseason games they’ve played at Progressive Field

The Cleveland Guardians (3-1, 2-0 home) brought to an end one skid against the New York Yankees (1-1, 0-0 road). Now they’ll be looking to halt another one.

Cleveland’s 4-2 victory in Game 2 of their ALDS series knotted the best-of-five set at 1-1. It also concluded New York’s six-game postseason win streak over the Guardians.

However, as the series switches locales to Cleveland’s Progressive Field, the Yankees are 3-0 straight up in the last three playoff games they’ve contested there.

Oddsmakers are backing the Yankees as -120 road favorites to keep on rolling through Cleveland. The Guardians are 2-6 SU in their past eight home playoff games. Both wins came in this season’s AL Wild Card against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Yankees vs Guardians Odds

Odds as of October 14 from Caesars Sportsbook. Get the Caesars Sportsbook bonus code and see the latest on Ohio sports betting.

At moneyline odds of -120, The Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 54.55% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $18.30.

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First pitch at Progressive Field goes at 7:37 pm ET on Friday, October 15. The weather forecast is for partly cloudy skies, 19 mph wind and a temperature of 57 degrees. New York is a -160 favorite to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket. TBS is carrying broadcast of the game.

MLB betting trends are displaying that public moneyline support is going heavily to the Yankees. However, runline bettors are of two minds. New York is drawing 64% of bets. Runline handle wagering is giving Cleveland a slight 51-49 edge. The public is hitting the over on the total of 6.5 runs at a rate of 55% of handle and 69% of bets.

The Guardians are the +1600 sixth choice in the World Series odds, while the Yankees are at third at +650. As far as the MLB pennant odds are concerned, Cleveland is the third pick in this betting market at +650 and New York is second in the odds at +240.

Cleveland vs New York Yankees Probable Pitchers

In the MLB lineups, Yankees right-hander Luis Severino won as many games in 2022 (seven) as he appeared in combined over the 2020 and 2021 seasons due to injury. Shoulder and elbow ailments limited him to just 18 innings of work over those two years.

Severino also was missing for two months this season due to a lat muscle strain. He returned to the mound Sept. 25 and went 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA over three starts.

Luis Severino, get ready for your biggest start in three years

— Max Mannis (@MaxMannis) October 14, 2022

The two-time American League all-star will be making his second MLB postseason start against Cleveland. Severino got the win in Game 4 of the 2017 ALDS, allowing three earned runs in seven innings of work.

In five career starts against Cleveland, Severino is 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. He’s lost his last three postseason decisions. Severino is 0-1 with a 2.50 ERA in four postseason starts on the road.

Severino vs McKenzie Stats

Guardians right-hander Triston McKenzie won more games this season (11) than he did over his first two MLB seasons combined (seven). He also was establishing career highs in innings pitched (191.1), strikeouts (190) and WHIP (0.95).

McKenzie’s second career MLB postseason appearance went much better than his first. He worked six innings of two-hit, shutout baseball in Game 2 of the ALWS against Tampa Bay.

Guardians Game 3 starter Triston McKenzie dominated his one start vs. the Yankees during the regular season. He went 7 scoreless innings, allowing just one hit and one walk while striking out seven in Cleveland’s 2-0 win July 3.

— Christopher Smith (@SmittyOnMLB) October 14, 2022

His playoff debut came in a relief appearance during the 2020 ALWS. Over 1.2 innings he walked two and served up a home run for a 10.80 ERA. And that was while facing the Yankees.

McKenzie has faced the Yankees twice in regular-season play. He’s 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cleveland’s Jose Ramirez absolutely crushes it against Severino. He’s 5-for-16 (.313) with three homers and five RBI and a 1.228 OPS.

#Guardians 3B Jose Ramirez hits .313 with an .875 slugging % and a 1.228 OPS vs tomorrow’s starter Luis Severino in 16 career ABs.

— MoreForYouCleveland (@MoreForYou_CLE) October 14, 2022

For the Yankees, Marwin Gonzalez is 1-for-3 (.333) with a homer and two RBI. Josh Donaldson is 3-for-10 (.300) with a pair of doubles. Isiah Kiner-Faleza is 1-for-3 (.333).

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is 0-for-8 with a seven strikeouts and a walk in the series. He needs to snap that slump. In three playoff series against Cleveland, Judge is 2-for-37 with 27 strikeouts.

Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton slugged his 10th postseason homer in Game 2. Severino threw seven no-hit innings in his final regular-season start.

Cleveland’s Oscar Gonazlez is turning in Mr Game 2. He drove in the winning run in Game 2 of this series. His walkout homer won Game 2 of the ALWS.

Pick: New York Yankees ML (-120)