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Yankees vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions (Sep. 13)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 12, 2022 · 9:25 PM PDT

New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole watches from the dugout
Sep 4, 2022; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) looks on against the Tampa Bay Rays during the fifth inning at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -165 home favorites over the Red Sox on Tuesday night
  • Gerrit Cole (11-7, 3.20) will start for New York against Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.12)
  • A look at the Yankees vs Red Sox odds can be found below with a pick

Two longtime American League East rivals meet when the New York Yankees visit the Boston Red Sox at 7:10 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a two-game series at Fenway Park.

The division-leading Yankees (85-56, 35-34 road) have won six of their last eight games, including beating the Tampa Bay Rays 10-4 on Sunday at home. The Red Sox (69-72, 35-34 home) won for the seventh time in their last 11 games Sunday when they blanked the Orioles 1-0 in Baltimore.

The Yankees hold a 5.5-game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays in the AL East.

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -165 -1.5 (+100) Over 8 (-115)
Boston Red Sox +140 +1.5 (-120) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of September 12th at BetMGM.

The Yankees are -165 favorites, giving them a 62.26% implied win probability in a  game that will be televised by TBS. New York has +550 World Series odds while the Red Sox are listed at +50000.

 

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The weather forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers, a temperature of 73 degrees at the scheduled first pitch with a low of 61 and south wind at 9 mph.

New York vs Boston Probable Pitchers

Tuesday’s MLB lineups show that Gerrit Cole (11-7, 3.20) is expected to pitch for the Yankees against Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.12). Both will be working on five days of rest. Cole has AL Cy Young odds of +50000.

Cole vs Pivetta

Gerrit Cole
VS
Nick Pivetta
11-7 Record 9-11
3.20 ERA 4.29
3.12 xERA 4.37
1.02 WHIP 1.32
5.19 SO/W 2.51

Cole has followed a four-game losing streak by going 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts.

In his last outing last Wednesday, Cole beat the Minnesota Twins in New York in the second game of a doubleheader. He struck out 14 in 6.2 innings while allowing one run on five hits and two walks.

Cole has a 7-5 career record against the Red Sox and a 4.50 ERA in 15 starts. He is just 2-5 with a 6.00 ERA in nine games at Fenway Park.

On the road this season, Cole is 6-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 13 starts. He is 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA at night in 18 starts. The Yankees are 17-11 when Cole pitches.

Pivetta is 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his last four starts, including taking a tough loss to the Tampa Bay Rays last Wednesday in St. Petersburg. He gave up only one run on two hits in five innings while striking out three and walking three.

Pivetta is 0-3 with a 9.67 ERA lifetime against the Yankees in six games (five starts).

He can be dominant at times, though.

At home this year, Pivetta is 4-6 with a 4.76 ERA. He has a 6-6 record at night and a 4.36 ERA in 19 games. The Red Sox have a 13-15 record when the Canadian starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Nick Pivetta
Jose Trevino .500
Giancarlo Stanton .400
Aaron Judge .375
Marwin Gonzalez .167
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .167
Gleyber Torres .000
Aaron Hicks .000
Kyle Higashioka .000
Red Sox Batters Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole
Abraham Almonte 1.000
Kevin Plawecki .500
Kike Hernandez .429
Tommy Pham .370
Christian Arroyo .333
Rafael Devers .286
Alex Verdugo .261
Rafael Bogaerts .229
J.D. Martinez .206
Trevor Story .177
Reese McGuire .000
Rob Refsnyder .000

The Yankees’ Giancarlo Stanton is 8 for 20 (.400) against Pivetta with one double and three home runs but Gleyber Torres in hitless in five at-bats with three strikeouts. The Red Sox’s Kike Hernandez is 6 for 14 (.429) with two doubles and a homer off Cole. Reese McGuire, though, is 0 for 9.

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends

Torres homered twice and Stanton and Oswaldo Cabrera once each as the Yankees scored 10 runs in the first two innings of its win over the Rays on Sunday.

Ten of New York’s first 14 batters reached. Torres hit a three-run homer in the first and a solo shot in the second. New York took a 10-1 lead with a seven-run second inning.

All-Star catcher Jose Trevino will rejoin the Yankees on Tuesday night after being reinstated from the paternity list Monday.

Despite being held to four singles, the Red Sox eked out a win over the Orioles on Sunday.

The Red Sox scored the game’s lone run in the top of the first inning. Tommy Pham singled, stole second, moved to third on a groundout and scored on Xander Bogaerts’ sacrifice fly.

Second baseman Trevor Story left the game with left heel pain and is questionable for Tuesday.

The Yankees lead the season series 7-6 but the Red Sox have won four of seven at Fenway Park. Stanton is hitting .303 (10 for 33) against Boston with one double and four home runs. Rafael Devers has gone deep six times against New York in 40 at-bats.

The series is even at 16-16 since the start of last season.

NYY vs BOS Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/14/22 Red Sox Yankees BOS, 3-0
8/13/22 Red Sox Yankees NYY, 3-2
8/12/22 Red Sox Yankees BOS, 3-2
7/17/22 Yankees Red Sox NYY, 13-2
7/16/22 Yankees Red Sox NYY, 14-1
7/15/22 Yankees Red Sox BOS, 5-4
7/10/22 Red Sox Yankees BOS, 11-6
7/9/22 Red Sox Yankees BOS, 6-5
7/8/22 Red Sox Yankees NYY, 12-5
7/7/22 Red Sox Yankees BOS, 6-5

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

Fenway Park has been Cole’s house of horrors at times, but the Yankees always prove to be a nightmare matchup for Pivetta. Thus, we’ll go with the chalk here.

Pick: Yankees ML (-165) 

 

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