Blazers vs Mavericks Odds, Spread & Predictions (Nov. 12)

• The Dallas Mavericks are 4.5-point home favorites against the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday night
• Portland has won three straight, and are wrapping up a 6-game road trip
• Read below for the Trail Blazers vs Mavericks preview, with odds and predictions

The Portland Trail Blazers are cooking as they wrap up their 6-game road trip.

They’ll look for their fourth straight win as they visit the Dallas Mavericks — who are a far more formidable home foe than they are on the road.

Portland (9-3, 6-1 away),  currently has the best road record in the league at 6-1. No other team has more than four wins. Dallas (6-5, 5-1 home) has the second-most home wins in the West, trailing only the Phoenix Suns for most wins.

It all gets underway Saturday (Nov 12) at 8:30pm ET from the American Airlines Center in a game you can see live on NBA League Pass.

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Odds

Odds as of Nov 11 at DraftKings. Claim the Draftkings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Blazers vs Mavericks game.

Perhaps it’s because it’s the final game of a lengthy road trip, but the NBA odds have the ‘Blazers as 4-5point road ‘dogs, in a game that features a total of 214.5.

The Mavericks swept the season series last year, averaging 131.7 points per game in their three victories.

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Portland Betting Outlook

Finally, after all these years of tinkering with their roster, the Portland Trail Blazers appear to have finally connected on the right mix of talent to surround star Damian Lillard.

How else can you explain Portland’s torrid run to start the season, even with plenty of man games lost across their first 11 ?

Last game’s 106-95 win over the New Orleans Pelicans is a great example. With Lillard out to rest a calf injury he’s been dealing with, Jusuf Nurkic missing with an adductor injury and rookie Shaedon Sharpe missing the game with a finger injury, Portland still found a way to grind to victory.

🎥 Every angle of Jerami Grant's crossover and slam! #RipCity pic.twitter.com/pD8Conpzuo

— NBA (@NBA) November 11, 2022

Jerami Grant, who had missed last game with an ankle injury, led the way with 27 points, eight rebounds, four assists and four steals. Anfernee Simons chipped in with 23 points and six assists, while Nasir Little added a spark off the bench with 15 points and four boards.

Defensively, it’s the second straight game Portland has held a team under 100 points. Against NOLA, they forced the Pels into 17 turnovers and held them to 41.8% shooting for the game.

While Lillard is expected back Saturday, Grant is considered day-to-day, Nurkic and Sharpe are questionable and Justice Winslow (ankle) is probable, while Gary Payton II (abdomen) won’t be playing until at least Nov. 15

Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction

These two teams compare favorably to each other.

Dallas puts up 109.9 points per game, which ranks 22nd, with the Blazers right behind them at 109.1 points.

They’re both among the NBA’s stingiest defenses: Portland allows 106.6 points pre game, which is the third best mark in the league, while the Mavs round out the top four, at 106.7 points.

Dallas hasn’t been a great bet as of late, as they’re just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 4-0 ATS over their last four when playing on one day’s rest.

Portland’s road weariness and shuffled roster, coupled with Dallas’ level of play at home make this a difficult game to call between two good teams sitting in the West’s top seven.

Let’s look a the total instead. Portland has lived at the under, hitting on five straight following a straight-up win. But in this matchup, the over has hit in nine of the previous 11 head-to-head meetings. And the Mavericks score at a better clip at home, dropping 112 points per game.

As well, Dallas is 5-0 in their last five following a SU loss.

Pick:

• OVER 214.5 points (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
• NBA Betting Record: 5-5 ATS, 1-0 ML, 1-0 o/u; +0.94 units