Mavericks vs Warriors Odds, Spread & Picks (Feb. 4)
- The Golden State Warriors are a 9.5-point favorite over the Dallas Mavericks Saturday night
- Luke Doncic (heel), has been ruled out of this contest
- Read below for the Mavericks vs Warriors preview with odds and prediction
A Luka Doncic injury plus a visit to Golden State is likely the worst combination for the Dallas Mavericks (28-25, 9-16 away) as they kick off a 5-game road trip against the Warriors (26-26, 19-6 home).
Doncic hurt his heel last time out in a win over the Pelicans, but the NBA’s second-leading scorer isn’t the only prominent Maverick that will be sidelined Saturday (more on that below).
As for the Warriors, they return home after dropping the final two games of a three-game road trip, the most recent a whipping at the hands of the Nuggets.
This one gets underway Saturday (Feb 4) at 8:30pm ET from Chase Center, in a game you can see live on ABC.
Mavericks vs Warriors Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | +9.5 (-108) | +350 | OFF |
| Golden State Warriors | -9.5 (-112) | -450 | OFF |
Odds as of Feb 3 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on the Mavericks vs Warriors game.
The NBA odds have the short-handed Mavericks as hefty 9.5-point underdogs, and +350 on the moneyline.
Golden State is one of the worst road teams in the NBA, and one of the elite at home. Their 19 wins are tied for 3rd-most in the conference, and they have the second fewest losses in the West (6).
In ninth, the Dubs are looking way up the at the Mavericks, who are the 4-seed, despite a pedestrian 9-16 road mark.
Dallas Betting Analysis
Luka is an offensive ecosystem unto himself, and his absence craters the Dallas system.
He has the third largest usage rate of any player in the NBA, and he’s been in the 2023 NBA MVP odds mix all year.
Playing a career-best 36.5 minutes per game, the 23-year-old (!!) is averaging 33.4 points, 8.9 rebounds and 8.2 assists on a crisp 50.4% shooting.
Magic at @AACenter 🪄 pic.twitter.com/SsBEt1MUvl
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) February 3, 2023
He was on fire in his 23 minutes Thursday, racking up 31 points, eight boards and four dimes before leaving midway though the third quarter up 84-57 on the Pelicans.
The Mavericks’ offense barely landed the plane, getting outscored 49-27 the rest of the way as they hung on to a 111-106 win over New Orleans.
Besides Doncic, Christian Wood (thumb), Maxi Kleber (hamstring) and Davis Bertans (calf) are all out, severely hampering the Dallas frontcourt. Spencer Dinwiddie (right knee injury recovery) is questionable.
Golden State Betting Analysis
Golden State used their customary rest pattern last game, which meant Draymond Green (calf) and Klay Thompson (illness) sat out the second night of a back-to-back.
That didn’t help in a 134-117 thumping in Denver to the West-leading Nuggets.
Steph Curry led the way with 28 points, five rebounds and five dimes, while Jordan Poole added 22 points and five assists.
Steph just hit his 50th 4-point play pic.twitter.com/3XZn2CZhsF
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) February 3, 2023
The loss dropped GState a grim 7-20 on the road this season – tied for second-fewest road wins in the NBA.
At home, though, the Dubs have another gear, particularly on the defensive end, where they surrender nearly 10 fewer points per game (113.2) than when away from Chase Center (123.1).
Golden State brings the 5th-best 3-point shooting stroke in the NBA into this one, and they like to get up and down the court, first in pace in the NBA, while averaging 119.6 points per game at home.
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Mavericks vs Warriors Betting Prediction
Dallas hasn’t been a great bet in ‘Frisco, covering once in their last five games in Golden State.
The only stat that matters though is the Doncic DNP. The Mavs might be able to slow it down (they’re 2nd-last in pace) and slug it out with their 7th-best scoring defense, but where will the offense come from?
Green and Thompson are listed as questionable, but are expected to play. Curry (leg) did also find himself on the injury report, but he’s listed as probable.
Assuming Curry’s healthy, this one should be a blowout.
Dallas is 0-6 without Doncic in the lineup this year, losing by an average of 12.5 points.
Pick:
- Warriors -9.5 (-110); 1.5 units to win 1.31 units
- NBA Betting Record: 25-23-1 ATS, 1-1 ML, 4-6 o/u, 0-2 parlays; -4.18 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
