October 19th NBA Betting Trends and Consensus Picks: Heavy Action on Under in Both Lakers vs Warriors, Nets vs Bucks
- The 2021-22 NBA season tips off on Tuesday, October, 19th with the Bucks, Nets, Warriors and Lakers all in action
- The vast majority of money is on the under in both opening night games
- Read below for the key betting trends and consensus picks
The 2021-22 NBA season is finally getting underway on Tuesday night. It’s ring night for the Milwaukee Bucks as they host the Brooklyn Nets at Fiserv Forum, while the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors duel at Staples Center.
Looking at the NBA betting trends every night before placing a wager can assist in your process of picking games.
Bookies cannot split the Nets and Bucks, who went seven games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals just a few months ago. With a new-look roster around LeBron James and Anthony Davis, the Lakers are getting 3.5 points as favorites against Steph Curry and the Warriors.
NBA Betting Trends – October 19th
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | pk | 59% | 60% | Over 237.5 | 19% | 34% | -115 | 77% | 52% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | pk | 41% | 40% | Under 237.5 | 81% | 66% | -105 | 23% | 48% |
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| Golden State Warriors | +3.5 | 54% | 44% | Over 228.5 | 12% | 53% | +145 | 46% | 37% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -3.5 | 46% | 56% | Under 228.5 | 88% | 47% | -165 | 54% | 63% |
Data and odds Provided by DraftKings
Nets vs Bucks Betting Trends
The betting trends are clear for Nets vs Bucks. While the number of bets isn’t particularly alarming in any direction, the money is all heading towards the Nets moneyline and the total going under. Over three quarters of the moneyline handle has backed Brooklyn at -115, while 81% of the money is on the total points under.
Just 52% of moneyline bets have backed the Nets. The sharp money loves Brooklyn for this game.
"What is being mad going to do? We're not going to change his mind…life is amazing so I can't be too mad at somebody making a decision for themselves"
Kevin Durant explains why the Nets aren't upset about Kyrie Irving being absent from the Nets pic.twitter.com/QFBwDMWXly
— Nets Videos (@SNYNets) October 15, 2021
These figures aren’t particularly surprising. Regardless of Kyrie Irving’s status, Brooklyn is the consensus title favorite, and they nearly knocked the Bucks out last season without Irving and while James Harden barely able to move. The Bucks are also without Bobby Portis and Semi Ojeleye, leaving them very thin in the frontcourt. Ojeleye would have been a key option to guard Kevin Durant for short stretches.
It’s a high total, and perhaps bettors are expecting a bit of early season rust on offense from these two teams. Both clubs hit the over more often than not last season, with the Nets’ games landing the under just 47.6% of the time. That figure dropped to 46.2% for the Bucks.
The long wait is over…the Milwaukee Bucks are CHAMPIONS!!
🗓 Ring Night Is TOMORROW!! | PIN-IT USA pic.twitter.com/c9Yyy4Gl29
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) October 18, 2021
Every game of the playoff series was under 237.5. Postseason basketball is different to the regular year, though, and all three regular season meetings went over this total.
These two teams are clearly well-matched. While there’s reason to like Brooklyn straight up, their 21-20 road record last season could push some bettors towards the reigning champions.
Sharp Money on the Unders
A whopping 88% of the handle is on the under in the second game of the night. This is despite the under having only 47% of total bets. Just like in Wisconsin, sharp money is on the under in California as the Lakers and Warriors match up at Staples Center.
Jordan Poole was in his bag 😯 pic.twitter.com/PhKk9lV9ck
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 13, 2021
This trend fits with last season. The Lakers led the league in hitting the under, and the Warriors were third in the same category. Both teams were elite on the defensive end, and both have questions to answer on offense.
All three of their regular season contests in 2020-21 were under 228.5. It’s easy to see why the public has hammered the under here. The Lakers’ potentially clunky fit on offense and Golden State’s lack of firepower outside of Steph Curry could make this into a very low-scoring game.
Good defense leads to good offense 👊 pic.twitter.com/zBrMIlp7M2
— Los Angeles Lakers (@Lakers) October 11, 2021
The flip side, though, is that the Lakers’ defense should be weaker after losing several plus defenders in the offseason. Frank Vogel’s team have holes on the defensive end, and while all the attention will be on Curry, Golden State could take advantage if Jordan Poole picks up where he left off last season and they get one of those nights from Andrew Wiggins.
Add in the Lakers’ size advantage and the potential for easy points inside, and you can talk yourself into backing the over here.
Sam Cox is a freelance writer and sports junkie, who has spent the past several years immersed in the online gaming industry. He has worked with 888sport, Oddschecker, and Colossus Bets to name a few. Based in the UK, Sam also runs Franchise Sports with his brother.
