Suns vs Warriors Picks & Odds (Mar. 13)
- The Golden State Warriors are 4.5-point home favorites vs the Phoenix Suns Monday night
- Phoenix is looking for a 4-game regular-season sweep of this head-to-head
- Read below for the Warriors vs Suns odds and predictions
After snapping their three-game losing streak last time out, the Golden State Warriors (35-33, 28-7 home) look to avoid a 4-game regular season series sweep at the hands of the Phoenix Suns (37-30, 15-19 away).
The Suns saw their 4-game win streak come to a halt against the Kings, and they’ll again be without Kevin Durant for a third straight game as he continues to recover from an ankle injury he suffered in warmups of what was to be his home debut vs the OKC Thunder.
Both teams figure prominently in the West’s NBA Playoff Bracket. Phoenix is holding down the 4-spot, 2.5 games ahead of the 6th-seeded Warriors, who are just a game up on both the Timberwolves and Mavericks.
This one goes Monday (March 13) at 10pm ET from Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. You can watch the game live on ESPN.
Suns vs Warriors Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | +4.5 (-105) | +160 | Ov 239 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | -4.5 (-115) | -190 | Un 239 (-110) |
The NBA odds have the Dubs as 4.5-point home favorites. They’re also -190 on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 65.52%, in a game that features a total of 239.
At 28-7 at home, GState is tied with Memphis and Milwaukee for the 2nd-most home wins in the NBA this season. Phoenix is 15-19 on the road, but one of those wins was at Chase, a 125-113 thumping on January 10. In fact, the Suns have won every meeting by double digits.
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Odds as of Mar 12 at DraftKings.
Golden State Betting Analysis
It was all about Steph Curry last game, single-handedly lifting the Warriors to a 125-116 OT win over the Milwaukee Bucks.
The 2-time MVP scored 22 of his 36 points in the fourth quarter and overtime Saturday night. With the Dubs down eight with less than two minutes to play, Curry scored 11 straight points, including a game-tying triple with 18 seconds to play.
Curry outscored the Bucks himself 9-5 in the extra frame, lifting them to a 7th-straight home win.
What a night for Steph Curry 🔥
36 points
6 rebounds
4 assists
6 threesWarriors win a thriller in OT. pic.twitter.com/KvAgtdd5jZ
— NBA (@NBA) March 12, 2023
Klay Thompson chipped in 22 points on 4-for-9 from downtown, while Donte DiVincenzo added 20 points and 10 rebounds, drilling 6-of-12 from distance.
The Warriors are the 2nd-highest scoring team in the NBA, putting up 118.1 per game. They rank fourth in the NBA from downtown, shooting 38.3%, but on the highest attempts in the league (43.4).
Their trademark passing game is again tops in the league at 29.6 assists per game, but they also turn the ball over at the 2nd-worst rate (16.3).
Phoenix Betting Analysis
Phoenix played Sacramento pretty square through much of the contest, but a game-ending 13-4 run by the Kings resulted in 128-119 loss.
Devin Booker led the Suns with 28 points, adding eight assists and four steals. It was the first time he’d failed to crack the 35-point plateau in his last five games. Deandre Ayton had 22 points and 12 boards, while Chris Paul had 16 points, 16 assists and six rebounds.
While making the Durant trade was a no-brainer, it takes away from the depth the Suns once had. With his injury, it’s only magnified. Four of the five starters played over 35 minutes while Torrey Craig played 28.
Book gets the bounce! pic.twitter.com/06QLPeFWbo
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) March 12, 2023
Terrence Ross (23) and Ish Wainwright (15) were the only reserves to play significant minutes. Five other bench players logged seven minutes or less.
Phoenix is only 19th in scoring at 113.4 points per game, but they make up for it with a scoring defense that surrenders only 111.2 points per game, the 4th-best mark in the NBA. They are just middle-of-the-pack defending the arc, tied for 13th allowing a 35.8% clip.
Warriors vs Suns Betting Prediction
Golden State’s depth is also thinned, as they’re still without Andrew Wiggins (personal) and Gary Payton II (thigh), though Draymond Green (ankle), Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) and Andre Iguodala (hip) are all probable.
The Warriors are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games vs teams with a losing road record. Their horrendous home-road splits hide the fact GState allows 111.7 points per game at home, a whopping 12 points better than what they do on the road.
While they are 9-7-1 ATS as a road ‘dog, Phoenix hasn’t been a great bet at Chase, going 1-4 ATS in their last five. Lots of teams struggle there, as the Warriors are 18-11-1 as a home favorite.
As was the problem against a high-scoring side like the Kings, Golden State can fill it up, and Monty Williams doesn’t yet trust his non-core to soak up valuable minutes.
With Golden State set to embark on a 5-game road trip — where wins have been at a premium — look for them to take advantage of home court and salvage at least one in this series.
Pick:
- Warriors -4.5 (-115); 1.5 units to win 1.31 units
- NBA Betting Record: 34-32-1 ATS, 1-2 ML, 7-0 o/u, 0-3 parlays; -9.36 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
