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March Madness Round 1 Day 1 Odds (Friday, March 19)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Updated Mar 20, 2021 · 12:46 PM PDT

Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Loyola of Chicago's Keith Clemons (5) and teammate Lucas Williamson (1) celebrate following a 75-65 victory over Drake in the championship game of the NCAA Missouri Valley Conference men's basketball tournament Sunday, March 7, 2021, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • The First Round of the NCAA Tournament tips-off Friday (March 19th), with 16 games starting at 12:15 pm ET
  • Loyola Chicago has gone from a 2.5-point favorite to -5.5 over Georgia Tech, the largest spread move on the board
  • See below for analysis on Friday’s First Round odds

The most exciting sporting event of the year is finally here. The NCAA Tournament’s First Round tips-off on Friday (March 19, 12:15 pm ET) with a jammed pack 16-game slate. Odds for the entire First Round were released at the beginning of the week and we’ve seen some significant line movement ahead of Friday’s action.

First Round Odds (Friday, March 19)

Team Spread Moneyline Total Date / Time
(10) Virginia Tech +1.0 (-116) -108 Over 135.0 (-110) Fri. 12:15 pm ET
(7) Florida -1.0 (-106) -108 Under 135.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(14) Colgate +9.5 (-122) +310 Over 161.5 (-105) Fri. 12:45 pm ET
(3) Arkansas -9.5 (+100) -390 Under 161.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(16) Drexel +22.5 (-110) +1300 Over 143.5 (-110) Fri. 1:15 pm ET
(1) Illinois -22.5 (-110) -3000 Under 143.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(11) Utah State +4.0 (-110) +160 Over 131.0 (-110) Fri. 1:45 pm ET
(6) Texas Tech -4.0 (-110) -190 Under 131.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(15) Oral Roberts +16.0 (-106) +980 Over 156.5 (-110) Fri. 3 pm ET
(2) Ohio State -16.0 (-116) -1800 Under 156.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(16) Hartford +25.5 (-116) OFF Over 140.0 (-110) Fri. 3:30 pm ET
(1) Baylor -25.5 (-106) OFF Under 140.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(9) Georgia Tech +5.5 (-110) +200 Over 124.0 (-108)  Fri. 4 pm ET
(8) Loyola Chicago -5.5 (-110) -245 Under 124.0 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(12) Oregon State +8.5 (-110) +350 Over 131.0 (-110)  Fri. 4:30 pm ET
(5) Tennessee -8.5 (-110) -450 Under 131.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(13) Liberty +7.5 (-110) +280 Over 139.0 (-110)  Fri. 6:25 pm ET
(4) Oklahoma State -7.5 (-110) -350 Under 139.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(9) Wisconsin +1.5 (-110) +100 Over 137.5 (-110)  Fri. 7:10 pm ET
(8) North Carolina -1.5 (-110) -118 Under 137.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(15) Cleveland State +20.0 (-110) +1300 Over 134.5 (-110) Fri. 7:15 pm ET
(2) Houston -20.0 (-110) -3000 Under 134.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(13) North Texas +7.5 (-116) +260 Over 126.0 (-110) Fri. 7:25 pm ET
(4) Purdue -7.5 (-106) -320 Under 126.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(10) Rutgers -1.5 (-115) -125 Over 125.5 (-110) Fri. 9:20 pm ET
(7) Clemson +1.5 (-105) +105 Under 125.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(11) Syracuse +3.0 (-110) +136 Over 139.0 (-110) Fri. 9:40 pm ET
(6) San Diego State -3.0 (-110) -162 Under 139.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(14) Morehead State +13.0 (-110) +640 Over 137.0 (-110) Fri. 9:50 pm ET
(3) West Virginia -13.0 (-110) -950 Under 137.0 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total Time
(12) Winthrop +6.5 (-110) +220 Over 143.0 (-110) Fri. 9:57 pm ET
(5) Villanova -6.5 (-110) -270 Under 143.0 (-110)

Odds taken March 18th at FanDuel, DraftKings, Bet365.

No game has seen as much movement as the Georgia Tech versus Loyola Chicago contest. The 9-8 matchup in the Midwest Region opened with the Ramblers favored by 2.5-points, but that number has moved a full 3 points in their favor.

Wright Out Due To COVID

As of Thursday night, 54% of the spread bets and 60% of the spread money is on the Ramblers, while 69% of the moneyline cash is also on Loyola Chicago. The primary reason? ACC Player of the Year Moses Wright has been ruled out for the Yellow Jackets due to a COVID related issue.

Wright was third in the conference in scoring (17.4 ppg), but went on an absolute tear down the stretch. The 6’9 Senior averaged 23.5 points and 10 rebounds over the final six games of the regular season, and was instrumental in the Yellow Jackets’ surprise ACC title run. Georgia Tech hasn’t lost in over a month and is 8-1 ATS over its past nine outings.

The Ramblers meanwhile, went 17-1 over their final 18 games leading into March Madness, which included a dominant run in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. Loyola Chicago won each of its three games by double-digits en route to the title, covering the spread in each outing. They were 16-9-1 ATS overall in 2020-21, and 13-7-1 in league play.

Replacing Wright’s production will not be easy for the Yellow Jackets, and they’ll be hard pressed to rack up points against the Ramblers, who rank first in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric.

Total Shrinking In Liberty vs Oklahoma State

The biggest move to a total on Friday’s slate is also in a Midwest Region game, as the over/under is down from 141.5 to 139 in the Liberty versus Oklahoma State contest. The move is a bit surprising given the 13-4 matchup features two teams who’ve seen a large portion of their games go over the total recently.

Seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games have eclipsed the number, and the over has hit in 68% of their outings this season. Offensively, they’re capable of scoring with anyone, thanks to projected number one overall pick Cade Cunningham, but they’ve struggled at the defensive end recently. Oklahoma State ranks 22nd in adjusted defensive efficiency, but surrendered an average of 80 points over their past seven contests.

The Flames on the other hand, averaged 79 points over their final nine games, and while they held their opposition to just 62 points during that stretch, the over was still 3-0-1 in their last four contests.

Liberty has faced only one team as talented as the Cowboys all season, and it’s important to note that in the four games they played against top-105 ranked competition, the over hit three times.

 

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