Bellarmine vs Jacksonville Picks & Odds (Feb. 22)

• The Bellarmine Knights test the Jacksonville Dolphins in ASUN action on Wednesday, February 20th
• In four all-time meetings, the Dolphins have yet to secure a victory against Bellarmine
• Below, see the Bellarmine vs Jacksonville odds and prediction

Slow and steady basketball is what should be expected when the Bellarmine Knights (13-16, 13-12-1 ATS) pay a visit to the Jacksonville Dolphins (13-14, 10-14 ATS) on Wednesday, February 20th. Tipoff for this ASUN clash is set for 5:00 pm ET from the Swisher Gymnasium.

The over/under total for this matchup sits at 122.5 points. Bellarmine has hit the under in four of their last five road games. Both teams have plodding offenses that rank in the bottom 15% in points per game in the nation.

Bellarmine vs Jacksonville Odds

With moneyline odds of -240, the Dolphins have an implied win probability of 70.59%, while the underdogs’ odds have been set at +195 to win straight up giving them a probability of 33.9% to steal one on the road.

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Bellarmine Knights Betting Trends

According to KenPom, the Knights have an adjusted tempo of 62.5, playing at a snail’s pace with the ball. Only seven teams in all of Division I average fewer possessions per 40 minutes than Bellarmine. One of which is their opponent on Wednesday, the Jacksonville Dolphins.

Only two players on the Knights’ squad average double digits in scoring. Garrett Tipton leads the way with 12.7 points per game, while his partner in the backcourt, Ben Johnson pours in 10.8 points per outing.

GARRETT TIPTON (@GarrettTipton10) WINS IT AT THE BUZZER!! Bellarmine wins 72-71 on his 3 at the buzzer pic.twitter.com/ijaLC3oYJt

— NCAA Buzzer Beaters & Game Winners (@NCAABuzzerBters) January 27, 2023

Sportsbooks have pretty accurately hit the nail on the head in the college basketball odds when it comes to the spread in Bellarmine’s contests, as they are 13-12-1 ATS this year. They’ve been much better keeping things close on the road where they are 9-6 ATS. In addition, they fare well as underdogs, going 10-6-1 ATS when being pegged as the weaker side.

Jacksonville Dolphins Own Lethargic Offense

Out of 363 teams in Division I ball, Jacksonville ranks 359th in adjusted tempo, even worse than their opponents for this battle. That means 98.9% of all teams in the country play at a quicker pace than the Dolphins.

Obviously, that type of play leads to a lot of low scoring contests. In their last eight games, Jacksonville has only cracked the 70-point barrier once, and failed to top 60 points in three of those games. They have hit the under in three consecutive games.

FINAL | LIP 62 JAX 59

Dolphins fall on a buzzer-beating three

Back home to face Bellarmine on Wednesday night at 5PM#JUPhinsUp x #TRUE

— Jacksonville Men’s Basketball 🏀 (@JAX_MBB) February 19, 2023

Jacksonville sits 11th in the conference standings, but have consistently beaten the squads they are supposed to defeat this year. The Dolphins have an overall ranking of 227 according to KenPom and are 5-0 straight up against teams that are ranked 250th or lower. Bellarmine are slotted at 272nd in the overall rankings.

Bellarmine vs Jacksonville Prediction

This isn’t a conference known for teams who are contender in the odds to win March Madness, although Florida Gulf Coast and dunk city garnered some national attention for the ASUN when they made a run to the Sweet 16 a decade ago.

By far, these two sides, play at the slowest tempo in the conference so buckets will likely be hard to come by. Bellarmine have never lost to the Dolphins, although both encounters last season were very close games.

Bellarmine vs Jacksonville Recent Results

Taking into account the lack of buckets each team puts up, you’d figure their over/under records would be heavily weighted towards the under, but Jacksonville is .500 and Bellarmine are pretty even up as well at a 12-13-1 mark.

This is partly because the oddsmakers set the total so low, which is the exact case in this affair. Only once in their last eight games have Bellarmine fallen below 122.5 points.

While Jacksonville have gone under that mark in three straight, it only happened once in their six previous games. No doubt, this won’t be a back and forth, free flowing affair, but our prediction in the Bellarmine vs Jacksonville odds is that these squads combine to go over such a low total when they hook up.

Pick: Over 122.5 (-110)