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Sun Belt Tournament Picks, Odds & Schedule 2023

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Basketball

Updated Feb 27, 2023 · 4:17 PM PST

Marshall Thundering Herd guard Taevion Kinsey drives around a defender
Nov 27, 2021; Bloomington, Indiana, USA; Marshall Thundering Herd guard Taevion Kinsey (24) dribbles the ball against Indiana Hoosiers guard Parker Stewart (45) in the second half at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Sun Belt Conference Tournament will be held from Tuesday (Feb. 28) to Monday (Mar. 6) in Pensacola, Florida
  • Southern Miss is the top seed but Marshall is favored
  • A look at the Sun Belt Conference odds with analysis and a pick can be found below

Southern Miss is the top seed in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament, which begins Tuesday night (Feb. 28) and runs through next Monday, March 6, at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.

All 14 of the Sun Belt’s teams are in the field. Georgia State is the defending champion but finished in last place during the regular season in 2022-23.

Southern Miss won the regular-season title with a 14-4 record. The Golden Eagles finished one game ahead of Marshall and Louisiana.

Sun Belt Conference Tournament Odds

Team Odds
#3 Marshall (24-7) +220
#4 James Madison (21-10) +350
#2 Louisiana (23-7) +350
#1 Southern Miss (25-6) +400
#8 South Alabama (16-15) +1000
#5 Troy (19-12) +1200
#6 Old Dominion (19-11) +2200
#9 App State (16-15) +5000
#7 Georgia Southern (16-15) +5000
#10 ULM (11-20) +10000
#12 Coastal Carolina (11-19) +10000
#13 Arkansas State (12-19) +10000
#11 Texas State (13-18) +10000
#14 Georgia State (10-20) +10000

Marshall is favored at +220 despite being the #3 seed, giving it an implied win probability of 31.25%, and is in the projected March Madness bracket. Top-seeded Southern Miss is listed at +400 with an IWP of 20%.

 

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Odds as of February 27th at BetMGM.

Sun Belt Tournament Schedule

There are two first-round games on Tuesday with Coastal Carolina playing Arkansas State at 5 p.m. ET and Texas State facing Georgia State at 7:30.

The second-round matchups on Thursday include South Alabama vs App State, Troy vs Coastal Carolina-Arkansas State winner, Old Dominion vs Texas State-Georgia State winner and Georgia Southern vs ULM.

Southern Miss, Louisiana, Marshall and James Madison have byes into the quarterfinals on Saturday. The semifinals are set for Sunday and the championship game is at 6 p.m. next Monday and will be televised by ESPN2.

Marshall Sun Belt Tournament Favorite

Marshall (24-7) has the top two scorers in the Sun Belt in senior guards Taveion Kinsey (22.2) and Andrew Taylor (20.2).

Kinsey (5.4) and Taylor (4.8) also rank 2-3 in assists. Kinsey’s 54.5 field goal percentage is second in the conference and Taylor stands second in steals with an average of 2.1 a game.

Freshman center Micah Handlogten is a force in the middle for the Thundering Herd. He is averaging a Sun Belt-best 9.9 rebounds along with 7.7 points and 2.3 blocked shots.

Junior guard Kamdyn Curfman (11.1) also has a double-digit scoring average for Marshall, which ended the regular season with a 71-67 to Old Dominion on the road. The Thunder Herd had won their previous five games.

Other Sun Belt Tournament Contenders

James Madison and Louisiana are the second choices at +350. Southern Miss is next at +400.

James Madison has won four of its last five games, including routing visiting Georgia State 90-69 on Saturday. The Dukes have four players scoring in double figures with sophomore wing Terrence Edwards (12.8) and senior guard Vado Morse (12.3) leading the way.

Louisiana junior forward Jordan Brown (19.8) is the Sun Belt’s third-leading scorer, and his 57.5 field goal percentage is top of the conference. Sophomore guard Themus Fulks is pulling down a Sun Belt-best 6.1 rebounds a game despite standing 6-foot-1 and has a 9.3 scoring average.

The Rajun’ Cajuns beat South Alabama 74-64 at home to finish the regular season with three wins in their last four games.

Though it finished first in the conference, Southern Miss split its last four games. The Golden Eagles beat Texas State 79-69 on the road Saturday.

Junior guard Austin Crowley is Southern Miss’ top player. He is fourth in the Sun Belt in steals (2.0) and fifth in both scoring (16.2) and field goal percentage (47.2).

Sun Belt Tournament Sleeper

South Alabama won five games in a row and eight of its last nine before losing at Louisiana. Before going on their hot streak, the Jaguars were just 8-13.

South Alabama has one of the top players in the Sun Belt in senior guard Isiah Moore. He is all over the conference leaderboard, standing third in field goal percentage (53.3), fourth in scoring (18.5) and fifth in assists (4.5). Moore has scored at least 20 points in six of his last 10 games.

Sun Belt Conference Tournament Prediction

Don’t be fooled by South Alabama being just one game above .500. The Jaguars are as hot as any team in the Sun Belt and Moore has been on fire down the stretch.

Let’s go with a bit of a longshot.

Pick: South Alabama (+1000)

 

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