UC San Diego vs UC Davis Picks & Odds (Feb. 20)
- UC Davis are 8.5-point favorites when they host UC San Diego on Monday, February 20th
- The Aggies defeated the Tritons 78-70 when these two teams met in San Diego last month
- Check out the UC San Diego vs UC Davis odds below as well as our best bet and prediction
Having just snapped a five game losing streak, the UC San Diego Tritons (9-18, 12-12-1 ATS) are looking to win two games in a row for just the second time this season when they visit the UC Davis Aggies (15-12, 11-14 ATS) on Monday, February 20th at the University Credit Union Center.
Tipoff for this Big West Conference matchup is set for 6:00 pm ET with UC Davis pegged as 8.5-point favorites. Matched up against UC Irvine on Saturday, UC Davis came back from a 39-31 halftime deficit to make things close but still went down 78-76.
Below, you can find more of the UC San Diego vs UC Davis odds, as well as our view on what is the best bet and pick for this contest.
UC San Diego vs UC Davis Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | +8.5 (-110) | +310 | O 142 (-110) |
| UC Davis Aggies | -8.5 (-110) | -420 | U 142 (-110) |
Odds as of February 19th from Barstool Sportsbook.
Despite losing four of their last six, UC Davis are -420 moneyline chalk which gives them an implied win probability of 80.77%, while the underdogs from UC San Diego have a probability of just 24.39% to win this game.
UC San Diego Tritons’ Solid Road Cover in Betting Odds
In college ball, home court is usually a big advantage for most programs, but the Tritons are one of the exceptions to that trend. So far this season, UC San Diego sports a 5-8 mark as visitors, while going just 4-9 at home.
It’s a stat that should definitely be taken into account when weighing the point spread in the college basketball odds when the Tritons are the road team. For the season, they are 9-4 against the spread when playing on the opposition’s court.
TRITONS WIN!#GoTritons pic.twitter.com/6jofFBJMig
— UC San Diego Men’s Hoops (@UCSDmbb) February 19, 2023
Although they’ve lost five of their last six, only one time did they go down by double digits, keeping close to the end in most of those contests. Recently, they have also been topping the over/under odds with regularity, surpassing the total in four straight games.
UC Davis Aggies Betting Outlook
The Aggies have proven to be the much better squad between these two sides this season with a .556 winning percentage compared to a .333 winning percentage for the Tritons. However, they are just 3-6 ATS at home this year. Additionally, they have never beaten UC San Diego by more than 8.5 points.
UC San Diego vs UC Davis Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/16/2023 | UCSD 70 – UCD 78 | UCD | Over |
| 01/08/2022 | UCD 78 – UCSD 71 | UCD | Over |
| 01/23/2021 | UCSD 71 – UCD 78 | UCD | Under |
| 01/22/2021 | UCSD 89 – UCD 69 | UCSD | Over |
For this matchup, the over/under is set at 142 points, a total that these two squads have combined to exceed every time they’ve faced each other in the past.
On offense, the Aggies are led by standout guard, Elijah Pepper who ranks 5th in the entire nation in scoring, pouring in 22.1 points per game. With that ability to score the ball, he could be considered in the Wooden Award odds if he played on the right team, but is a relative unknown playing for UC Davis.
Men's points per game leaders entering today:
Antoine Davis (@DetroitMBB): 27.8
Jordan Dingle (@PennMBB): 23.3
Max Abmas (@ORUMBB): 22.8
Jordan Walker (@UAB_MBB): 22.7
Elijah Pepper (@UCDavisMBB): 22.1— College Basketball Reference (@collegebb_ref) February 19, 2023
UC San Diego vs UC Davis Prediction
The chase for the Big West regular season title is done for UC Davis and the only chance they have to make the big dance and play one of the best teams in the odds to win March Madness is to run the table in the conference tournament.
On the other hand, it’s unlikely UC San Diego even qualifies for the league tourney. No matter, our prediction is that the underdogs cover the spread in this matchup. The Tritons have proved to be a tough test on the road this year and the Aggies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
Laying 8.5-points is a bit too grand for our taste, so pick UC San Diego to give the Aggies everything they can handle when they face each other on Monday.
Pick: UC San Diego Tritons +8.5 (-110)
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George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.
