Iowa State vs Texas Odds, Spread and Picks
- The Texas Longhorns host the Iowa State Cyclones in Big 12 action Saturday
- Iowa State has dropped three straight, while Texas just hammered Oklahoma
- See below for odds, analysis and our betting prediction
Well, the good news is we drilled our Texas-Oklahoma props. The bad news is Michigan missed a massive cover, while Hawaii and San Diego State underwhelmed.
No matter, we’re on to Week 7, and a litmus test for those same Longhorns, as they host the Iowa State Cyclones.
Texas absolutely blew the tires off the Sooners in the Red River Showdown, but they’re going up against an Iowa State team that hasn’t lost to Texas since 2018, and feature one of the top defenses in the nation.
It all gets underway Saturday (October 15) at 12pm ET from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, in a game that can be seen live on ABC.
Iowa State vs Texas Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | +16.5 (-110) | +550 | Ov 49.5 (-109) |
| [22] Texas Longhorns | -16.5 (-110) | -910 | Un 49.5 (-112) |
Odds as of October 13 from Barstool Sporstbook. And don’t forget to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code
The college football odds have the Cyclones as big 16.5-point road ‘dogs, in a game that features a total of 49.5.
Weather shouldn’t be an issue, with mostly sunny skies and 68 degrees expected at kickoff.
Cyclones’ Betting Outlook
Who knows how good Iowa State could be if they could just get a little bit of offense. The Cyclones dropped their third straight to 20th-ranked Kansas State 10-9, dropping them to 0-3 in the Big 12.
Hunter Dekkers could not get anything going, throwing 22-for-38 for 198 yards, and failed to lead his offense into the endzone. In fact, they’ve only have one TD in their last 20 possessions.
Xavier Hutchinson with a drop on 4th & 7, and Kansas State is now positioned to win this ballgame. pic.twitter.com/hObG98g0bY
— CJ Vogel (@CJVogel_OTF) October 9, 2022
As a team, the Cyclones pumped out just 78 yards rushing on 24 carries, a paltry 3.3 yard average. About the only bright spot was stud receiver Xavier Hutchinson, who hauled in eight balls for 100 yards, his second straight 100+ yard performance – though he had a key drop late as Iowa State was driving.
Iowa State’s lack of offense spoiled what was another splendid defensive effort, holding Kansas State to 4-for-13 on third downs, and a meager 3.4-yard rushing average.
First Half Highlights: Iowa State trails Kansas State at the half, 7-6. Will McDonald IV has two sacks, to move up to 32.5 in his career.
Full highlights tonight on @weareiowa5news. pic.twitter.com/6l7qnFdgGw
— Jake Brend (@JakeBrendTV) October 9, 2022
On the year, Iowa State ranks 11th in the FBS in total defense. They are surrendering only 277.5 yards per game, a lowly 4.81 yards per play, and holding teams to just 13.7 points per game.
Longhorns’ Betting Outlook
Texas might still be on a high after an absolute carving of OU in the Red River Showdown, blasting them 49-0.
Quinn Ewers, who’d missed the past three games with a collarbone injury, returned and went to work, going 21-for-31 for 289 yards, tossing four touchdowns to just a single interception.
Quinn Ewers is a natural passer! He knows when and how to alternate the speed on his passes. He can layer passes with the right amount of touch!
I’m happy he’s back healthy! https://t.co/R46sxKXGHV
— Full-Time Dame 💰 (@DP_NFL) October 8, 2022
Bijan Robinson was unstoppable, piling up 130 yards on 22 carries, and punched in two TD’s of his own. Josh Whittington caught five balls for 97 yards, while Ja’Tavion Sanders also had five grabs for 71 yards and two touchdowns.
Defensively, they made life miserable for the Sooners’ offense, limiting Davis Beville to 38 yards on 6-for-12 passing and one interception. The ‘Horns held Oklahoma’s running attack to just 156 yards on 42 carries, a 3.7 average.
Bijan Robinson goes untouched into the endzone for his second TD run of the game! pic.twitter.com/MHtiAlDiA2
— Hook'em Headlines (@HookemHeadlines) October 8, 2022
Perhaps most impressive: the Longhorns ended OU’s 167-game streak of scoring at least a touchdown in a game, which was the longest running streak in FBS.
Texas might not be Iowa State-level defense, but they’re a front pager in total D as well, ranking 35th in the nation, and hold teams to 17.8 points per game.
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Iowa State vs Texas Pick
We’re about to find out if this iteration of the Longhorns is different than the one that was locked down 30-7 in the head-to-head a year ago, extending their losing streak to Iowa State to three games.
The Longhorns haven’t been able to put up more than 21 points in each of those losses, but they’ve only been held sub-21 points once this year, and that was to the top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide. They’re also a tidy 4-1 at home this season, averaging 37.5 points per game.
And while the Cyclones are reeling, they have lost three straight games by a combined 11 points. In fact, the last time Iowa State lost by more than two touchdowns was their season opener in 2020 against Louisville, dropping a 31-14 decision. That was 30 games ago.
Expect Texas to take this one, but after the high of the OU win and the Oklahoma State game on the horizon, there’s just enough trap-game vibes to go with the underdogs and that sturdy defense.
The Pick:
- Iowa State +16.5 (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
- Week 6 NCAAF Record: 0-2: Overall: 3-3 ATS, 1-1 o/u; -0.36 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
