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Chiefs vs Saints Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Dec 19, 2020 · 4:02 PM PST

New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees warming up his arm before a game.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) warms up before an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers in New Orleans, Sunday, Nov. 15, 2020. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • The 12-1 Kansas City Chiefs face the 10-3 New Orleans Saints in a potential Super Bowl 55 preview
  • Current record: 20-18, +3.34 units won
  • The best prop wagers to play out of this tilt are listed below

The defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are 12-1 and hold the best record in the AFC. The 10-3 New Olreans Saints will clinch the NFC South title with one more victory.

This matchup offers the potential for offensive fireworks. Kansas City owns the best point differential (+122) in the AFC. New Orleans owns the best point differential in the NFC (+103) and welcome back quarterback Drew Brees from injury.

The Chiefs are 3-point road favorites for the game with a 4:25pm EST kickoff. Check out our updated injury reports, as well as other betting options. Let’s start with the lines for player props.

Chiefs vs Saints Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 26.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 315.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130)
Drew Brees (NO) 21.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 239.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -152 | Un +122)
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Receiving and Rush Yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 11.5 (Ov +110 | Un -133) 39.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111) 61.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
Le’Veon Bell (KC) N/A 16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118) 29.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) N/A 15.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110) N/A
Alvin Kamara (NO) 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 58.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110) 109.5 (Ov -120 | Un +100)
Latavius Murray (NO) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 35.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105) 48.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Travis Kelce (KC) 6.5 (Ov -152 | Un +122) 85.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 25.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 2.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 10.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 6.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) 77.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 26.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120)
Sammy Watkins (KC) 3.5 (Ov +128 | Un -159) 39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Demarcus Robinson (KC) 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) 24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Mecole Hardman (KC) 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118)
Le’Veon Bell (KC) 1.5 (Ov -148 | Un +118) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118) N/A
Latavius Murray (NO) 1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 8.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Alvin Kamara (NO) 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -105) 48.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105) 16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
Jared Cook (NO) 2.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un +104) 50.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Tre’Quan Smith (NO) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -120) 42.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118)

All props taken Dec. 19th from DraftKings/FanDuel/BetMGM

Prop #1: Kelce Is The Gift That Keeps On Giving

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has caught a minimum of eight passes in six straight games. His receptions have accumulated over 100 yards in five of Kansas City’s past six games.

In terms of price, the betting line on receiving yardage pays off better than the odds on total receptions.

Pick: Travis Kelce over 85.5 yards in receptions (-112), 1 unit.

Prop #2: Kamara To Come Up Big

There’s been an evident drop in the numbers of Saints’ all-purpose running back Alvin Kamara during the past six games. He’s averaging 48.6 yards rushing and 23.8 yards receiving per game over that span.

During New Orleans’ first seven games, Kamara went for 61.6 yards per game on the ground and 79.4 yards per game through the air.

 

However, he was targeted 10 times last week against the Eagles. Kamara saw a combined 14 targets over the previous four games.

This week, Brees, who loves to get the ball to Kamara, is back under centre. As well,  the Chiefs defense has allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per attempt (4.6) and the fourth-most yards per target (6.5) to RBs during the 2020 season.

Pick: Alvin Kamara over 48.5 yards in receiving (-118), 1 unit.

Chiefs vs Saints Touchdown Props

Player Odds To Score First TD Odds To Score Any TD
Alvin Kamara (NO) +550 -167
Tyreek Hill (KC) +550 -162
Travis Kelce (KC) +700 -112
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +1050 +130
Taysom Hill (NO) +1500 +200
Jared Cook (NO) +1600 +240
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) +1600 +210
Tre’Quan Smith (NO) +1600 +210
Sammy Watkins (KC) +1800 +260
Latavius Murray (NO) +2200 +325
Mecole Hardman (KC) +2200 +325
Le’Veon Bell (KC) +2200 +350
Demarcus Robinson (KC) +2200 +350
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +2800 +400
Tommylee Lewis (NO) +4000 +600
Drew Brees (Mia) +5000 +750

Who Are the Best Bets To Score a Touchdown?

There’s a couple of Hills to die on in this game. Chiefs receiver Tyreek Hill has scored an NFL-leading 16 touches on 89 touches this season. That means he finds the end zone every 5.65 times he has his hands on the football.

Taysom Hill might be out as New Orleans’ starting QB, but that doesn’t mean the man crush that Saints head coach Sean Payton has one him is diminshed. It would be just like Payton to draw up a red zone play to get Hill to break the plane.

  • First touchdown scorer Taysom Hill +1500
  • Anytime touchdown scorer Tyreek Hill -162
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