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Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 13

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Dec 3, 2022 · 3:32 PM PST

Ja'Marr Chase reaches for endzone
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) pulls in a catch for a touchdown in the second quarter of the NFL Week 7 game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Atlanta Falcons at Paycor Stadium in downtown Cincinnati on Sunday, Oct. 23, 2022. The Bengals led 28-17 at halftime. Mandatory Credit: Sam Greene-The Enquirer Atlanta Falcons At Cincinnati Bengals Nfl Week 7
  • We’re making our top against the spread picks for Week 13 here
  • SBD’s NFL experts have ATS picks on nine different teams this weekend
  • Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 13 below

In the expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 13, we have picks spread out across the card. Our experts have made their NFL ATS picks on nine different teams with some going head-to-head in the Steelers vs Falcons and Browns vs Texans games.

After a rough 1-7 combined week in Week 12, our season-long record sits at 62-57-6.

Each week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.

Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 13

Matt McEwan Ryan Metivier Zach Reger Bob Duff
Falcons (+1.5) Texans (+7) Vikings (-3)
Titans (+4.5) Steelers (+1) Browns (-7)
Seahawks (-7) Raiders (-1) Bengals (+2.5)
7-13-1 Season Record 15-19-2 Season Record 21-13-2 Season Record 19-12-1 Season Record

Odds as of December 2. Check out this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

Our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 13 cover many different games with picks on nine different teams as you can see in the table above.

Ryan Metivier

  • Falcons (+1.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Steelers’ QB Kenny Pickett has thrown just one touchdown pass in his past four games and the Steelers’ offense ranks 28th in PPG. Now running back Najee Harris could be slowed by an injury he suffered in Pittsburgh’s MNF win over the Colts.

Pittsburgh will come into this one on a short week and have a huge game on deck next week against division rivals, the Ravens.

The Falcons play all close games with just two of 12 games being decided by over ten points.

I don’t see either team getting too far ahead of the other and will side with the Falcons at home as short home dogs.

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  • Titans (+4.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since Jordan Davis went down with an injury, the Eagles have shown some cracks defensively. They’re getting run on and run on often. They’ve allowed over 100 yards on the ground in each of their past three games. Now as of this writing, Davis has been activated off IR but is still questionable to return this week.

Derrick Henry comes to town in Week 13, meaning that trend should continue. Henry is second in league rushing and third in rushing TDs.

While Philly has the WR advantage with ex-Titans receiver AJ Brown now plying his trade for the Eagles, they are without TE Dallas Goedert who’s on IR.

Tennessee is fifth in pressures, third in yards allowed per game rushing and held Daniel Jones and Josh Allen to a combined 35 yards rushing earlier this season. So they have the ability to slow down Jalen Hurts. Before last week’s loss they had only taken an L once in eight games. And they’re still 8-3 ATS on the year. I see Tennessee keeping this one within the number for my expert NFL picks against the spread.

Seattle has dropped back-to-back results but had won four straight in their previous games. Head coach Peter Carroll is also 19-3-1 ATS after consecutive losses which is good news for the Seahawks’ hopes of getting back in the win column. Seattle is also 4-2 ATS in their past six games.

Seattle scores the fourth-most points in the league at 26.5. Meanwhile, the Rams score the fourth-fewest, ranking 29th with 16.2 PPG.

Now the Rams are missing Cooper Kupp, Matthew Stafford and Aaron Donald. But the injuries don’t end there. WR Allen Robinson II is on IR and WR Lance McCutcheon is questionable as well. So too are a whole host of other offensive and defensive starters.

Third-string QB Bryce Perkins will be tasked with trying to create magic out of nothing, and I don’t see it happening.

Zach Reger

  • Texans (+7) at FanDuel Sportsbook

This is Houston’s Super Bowl. Deshaun Watson is starting his first game in nearly two years and is returning to H-Town to face his former team. Despite a 1-9-1 record, the Texans have fought in many games this season. Watson should be rusty and distractions will be aplenty. A touchdown is way too many points to lay.

  • Steelers (+1) at DraftKings Sportsbookxxxx

Don’t look now but the Steelers have won two of their last three games. Pickett has not turned the ball over in those three games, and the offense showing a little life. The defense on the other hand has been different since TJ Watt made his return. They can stop the run and force turnovers. The Falcons do not have a passing attack, so the Steelers should be able to focus in on stopping the run and win this game.

The Raiders have won back-to-back games on walk-offs. Josh Jacobs has been running all over NFL defenses. He has 463 total yards in the last two games. Now they face the Chargers, who have one of the worst rush defenses in the league. The Chargers are also still facing a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball. The Raiders’ momentum should continue on Sunday.

Bob Duff

  • Vikings (-3) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Minnesota is just 3-3 ATS at home this season. That, coupled with Jets QB Mike White’s impressive display in last week’s win over the Bears, is likely what’s keeping this line so short.

Last season, White was also a standout in his season debut. Then he came crashing down to earth. And the 9-2 Vikings are much better than the Bears.

  • Browns (-7) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Credit to Jacoby Brissett for keeping the Browns in the playoff hunt. Now Cleveland finds out if QB Deshaun Watson was worth the cost and the aggravation.

Of all the places he could come back from his NFL suspension, Houston seems appropriate. Certainly, the treatment he got from the Texans will have rubbed Watson the wrong way. He should be motivated to put a whipping on the NFL’s worst team.

  • Bengals (+2.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Joe Burrow and Cincinnati beat the Chiefs twice last season, including in the AFC Championship Game. Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase went off in last year’s regular-season meeting between these two teams, catching 10 balls for 266 yards, three of them touchdowns. He’ll be back returning from injury for this game.

The Bengals are 8-1 ATS over the last nine games and 75% ATS (3-1) at home, which ranks #2 in the NFL. Kansas City is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite this season.

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