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Falcons vs Jaguars Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday Morning

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Sep 30, 2023 · 9:25 AM PDT

Analytics are suggesting that Atlanta Falcons QB Desmond Ridder is due to throw a pick against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Aug 27, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder (4) throws a pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Atlanta Falcons clash with the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday morning in London, England on the NFL Week 4 schedule
  • Falcons RB Bijan Robinson is set with a reception yardage over/under of 25.5 yards
  • A look at various  Falcons vs Jaguars player props can be found below with odds and picks

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be playing their 10th NFL regular-season game in England on Sunday when they tangle with the Atlanta Falcons at 9:30am ET at Wembley Stadium. We’re breaking down the top picks from the game in our Falcons vs Jaguars props here.

Defending AFC South champion Jacksonville (1-2) has dropped two in a row at home, to Kansas City and Houston. Detroit beat Atlanta (2-1) in Week 2 by a 20-6 count to knock the Falcons from the ranks of the unbeaten. Read on to see which areas are worth targeting in our NFL prop picks from this game.

Falcons vs Jaguars Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Desmond Ridder (ATL) 18.5 (O +105 | U -135) 185.5 (O -115 | U -115) 0.5 (O -260 | U +195)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 22.5 (O -125 | U -105) 239.5 (O -115) | U -115) 1.5 (O +110 | U -140)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 14.5 (O +100 | U -130) 66.5 (O -110 | U -120) 96.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Travis Etienne Jr (JAX) 16.5 (O +100 | U -130) 68.5 (O -115 | U -115) 91.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 3.5 (O -166 | U +130) 25.5 (O -125 | U -105) 12.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Calvin Ridley (JAX) 5.5 (O +124 | U -160) 64.5 (O -130 | U +110) 22.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Christian Kirk (JAX) 5.5 (O -115 | U -115) 52.5 (O -115 | U -115) 20.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Drake London (ATL) 3.5 (O -135 | U +105) 44.5 (O -115 | U -115) 19.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 3.5 (O +124 | U -160) 32.5 (O -120 | U -110) 15.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Travis Etienne Jr (JAX) 3.5 (O +135 | U -175) 19.5 (O -110 | U -120) 11.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Evan Engram (ATL) 5.5 (O +145 | U -190) 46.5 (O -105 | U -125) 17.5 (O -125 | U -105)

There isn’t much scoring expected from the QBs in this game with Trevor Lawrence being given a passing TD prop of 1.5 and the under being juiced to -140. Meanwhile, the over may be favored for Ridder, but that’s because it’a set at an incredibly low 0.5. The Jaguars are favored by 3 points and the over/under is 43 in the NFL odds. ESPN+ will stream the game.

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Odds as of September 29th at DraftKings.

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Falcons vs Jaguars Props #1: Bijan Robinson Reception Yardage

Considered the most explosive RB available in the 2023 NFL Draft, Atlanta’s Bijan Robinson is living up to that billing. He rambled for 180 yards on the ground as the Falcons upset the Green Bay Packers in Week 2.

Playing Robinson’s rushing yardage  in the NFL props might seem like a no-brainer. But we’re here to tell you that’s not the money move on Bijan.

There’s a catch. A lot of them, in fact. Robinson has gone for at least 27 yards in receptions in each of his three NFL games, over his prop for this game of 25.5 yards. He’s averaging 5.67 targets per game and is going for 7.29 yards per reception.

  • Falcons vs Jaguars Prop Picks: Bijan Robinson Over 25.5 Reception Yards -125 (1 unit)  

Atlanta vs Jacksonville Props #2: Desmond Ridder Interceptions

Falcons QB Desmond Ridder has thrown one interception in 88 attempts this season. However, NFL analytics says he’s overdue for a pick. Turnover worthy play is a stat that assesses a QB’s ability to maintain ball security. Ridder’s turnover worthy rating is currently 6.1%. The worst in NFL history ever recorded over a season is 8.6%.

Ridder’s interception prop is given a total of 0.5. Bet the over at odds of +140, or go with the under at at betting line of -180. The underlying numbers suggest taking the over for your Falcons vs Jaguars picks.

  • Falcons vs Jaguars Prop Picks: Desmond Ridder Over 0.5 Interceptions +140 (1 unit)

Falcons vs Jaguars Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Travis Etienne Jr (JAX) +550 +100
Bijan Robinson (ATL) +650 +100
Calvin Ridley (JAX) +700 +135
Christian Kirk (JAX) +900 +170
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) +1200 +205
Evan Engram (ATL) +1300 +270
Jamal Agnew (JAX) +1300 +285
Drake London (ATL) +1300 +230
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +1300 +245
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +1600 +370

Running backs Travis Etienne Jr of the Jaguars and Atlanta’s Robinson own the shortest anytime touchdown odds for this game of +100.

Falcons vs Jaguars Props #3: Calvin Ridley Anytime Touchdown

Just a hunch here. After a year out of the NFL due to a gambling-related suspension, former Falcons WR Calvin Ridley is back in the league with the Jaguars.

Ridley found the end zone 26 times over his first three NFL seasons. He scored just twice in 2021, his last year in Atlanta and once so far this season. However, you’d have to expect he’s motivated to make a big play against his old club.

Take Ridley to score an anytime TD at a betting line of +135 in your Falcons vs Jaguars props for Sunday.

  • Falcons vs Jaguars Prop Picks: Calvin Ridley Anytime Touchdown Scorer +135 (1 unit)

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