Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds, Picks & Prediction for NFL Week 4
- The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-point favorites over the Atlanta Falcons in their Sunday, October 1 NFL game scheduled for London, England
- Jacksonville is playing in England for the 10th time, the most of any NFL team. The Jaguars are 4-5 straight up in the previous nine games
- Atlanta is 1-1 SU in two games played in England. See who our best bet is in the Falcons vs Jaguars picks here
Crossing the Atlantic Ocean to square off in England as part of the NFL International Series, both the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2, 1-2 ATS) and Atlanta Falcons (2-1, 1-2 ATS) will be looking to bounce back from disappointment. But it’s the Jags listed as favorites in the Falcons vs Jaguars odds.
The Falcons fell from the ranks of the unbeaten in Week 3 via a 20-6 loss at Detroit, Meanwhile, the reigning AFC South champion Jaguars went down to defeat at home for the second week in a row. They were thumped 37-17 by the Houston Texans.
As they arrive in Merry Old England, it’s the Jaguars who are set as 3-point favorites in the Falcons vs Jaguars odds. Atlanta is 7-1 against the spread in eight meetings with Jacksonville.
Let’s look deeper into this game, break down the Falcons vs Jaguars picks and offer you our prediction for this NFL Week 4 showdown.
Falcons vs Jaguars Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | +130 | +3 (-110) | Over 43 (-110) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -155 | -3 (-110) | Under 43 (-110) |
In the Atlanta vs Jacksonville odds, the Jaguars are -155 moneyline favorites, giving them a 60.78% implied win probability. The total is set at just 43 points. The under has hit in seven of the eight games played between the Falcons and Jaguars.
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Odds as of September 29 at DraftKings. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo to bet the Falcons vs Jaguars in Week 4 NFL action. And if you’re a new Kentucky sports bettor looking to get down on your first NFL bets after the sports betting launched in the Bluegrass State on Thursday. be sure to get your your new customer promo from DraftKings Kentucky as well!
Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS over the last seven games. Atlanta is 4-1 SU through the past five games.
Kickoff for this game at Wembley Stadium on Sunday, October 1, is set for 9:30am ET. The broadcast is being carried by ESPN+ and by DAZN in Canada.
Atlanta vs Jacksonville Betting Trends
In the NFL public betting splits, Jacksonville is garnering 64% of spread handle and 78% of moneyline handle. The Jaguars are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games facing teams from the NFC South.
Jacksonville is 6-1 both SU and ATS through the past seven games. Atlanta is 3-8 ATS over the last 11 games. Head to head, the Falcons have dominated this series. Atlanta is 4-0 SU in the past four games and 6-0 ATS through the last six games.
The under has been the winning play on the total in four of Jacksonville’s last five games and five of Atlanta’s past six games.
Jacksonville is the co-11th betting choice in the Super Bowl 58 odds at +3000. The Falcons are set with a number of 9.5 in the NFL win totals. Play the over or the under and the betting line of -110.
Jaguars are NFL Kings of England
No NFL team has made the trek across the pond to play in the UK more frequently than the Jaguars. They will be playing in England for the record 10th time. In fact, Jacksonville has played more games in Great Britain (nine) than they have against Atlanta (eight).
Happy to be in London Coach?
👍🏼#DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/hhDBYGOZMM
— Jaguars UK and IE (@JaguarsUKandIE) September 29, 2023
While they’re holding the participation record for NFL games in England, the Jaguars aren’t coming out on top when success is a factor. Jacksonville is 4-5 both SU and ATS there. Over the past four visits there, Jacksonville is 1-3 SU and ATS.
As a betting favorite, the Jaguars are 0-2 SU and ATS in England. They’re 4-3 SU and ATS as the underdog. As far as the total, the Jags are also 4-5. Oddly enough, Jacksonville’s first five games in London all went over. Every one of the past four has hit on the under.
Falcons Need Run Game to Click
In Week 2, rookie RB Bijan Robinson went off for 180 yards in rushing as Atlanta upset Green Bay. However, the following week in Detroit, Robinson was checked for 33 yards on 10 carries, just a 3.3 yards-per-carry average.
Bijan Robinson is a big play waiting to happen pic.twitter.com/7ztZT4QQAy
— PFF (@PFF) September 27, 2023
That was forcing second-year QB Desmond Ridder to the air. He threw 38 times. That game plan is not a recipe for success in the Falcons playbook. And targeting interceptions for Ridder in your Falcons vs Jaguars props may be the right approach.
Jacksonville is the NFL’s #7 run defense, allowing 84 yards per game. If the Jaguars front seven can contain Robinson and force Ridder to have to beat them, it bodes well for Jacksonville.
Atlanta vs Jacksonville Prediction
Jacksonville will be missing WR Zay Jones (knee) for the second successive game. He went for a career-high 823 yards in receptions last season.
Atlanta owns a four-game win streak over Jacksonville dating back to 2007. But the Falcons have lost the last six games they’ve played away from Atlanta.
The last nine games are showing the Falcons scoring more than 25 points just once. In NFL scoring offense, Jacksonville is 21st (19.0 PPG) and Atlanta is 23rd (18.3 PPG). Every total trend for this game has under written all over it.
Falcons vs Jaguars Picks: Under 43 points (-110)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
