Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Odds & Picks
- The Green Bay Packers are 3.5-point road favorites against the Detroit Lions
- Green Bay has lost four straight, while Detroit has just one win on the season
- See the Packers vs Lions odds ahead of their Week 9 clash, and our pick below
In almost any situation, the Green Bay Packers shouldn’t be a favorite, let alone on the road.
Unless, of course, that destination is Detroit, where they will enter as 3.5-point favorites against the even more-woeful Lions.
It’s a battle of two teams desperate for win.
The Packers have dropped four straight, and are in danger of dropping five in a row for the first time in 14 years.
The Lions have dropped five straight and have just one win on the season.
Packers vs Lions Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | -195 | -3.5 (-109) | Ov 49.5 (-112) |
| Detroit Lions | +160 | +3.5 (-112) | Un 49.5 (-109) |
Odds as of November 5th from Barstool Sporstbook.
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The NFL Betting Trends show the public wants to trust Green Bay, but are a little gun shy, with only 55% of the betting money taking Green Bay against the spread. A little better on the moneyline, where 64% of the bets are tilting towards the Pack.
It all gets underway Sunday (November 6) from Ford Field at 1pm ET, in a game that you can see live on FOX.
Green Bay Betting Outlook
The trade deadline came and went, and, like clockwork, the Packers did nothing.
Instead, a woeful passing attack that hasn’t produced a 300-yard passing game and has just one pass catcher go for over 100 yards receiving on the season, will have to make due with what they have.
AARON RODGERS 37-YARD BOMB 💣
Packers showing signs of life 👀
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/Ja5LNy8SVu
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 31, 2022
Aaron Rodgers has struggled with the loss of Davante Adams, with a severely-lacking downfield passing game. Rodgers’ average completed air yards is a microscopic 3.9, which ranks las in the NFL, while his yards per pass attempt is a career-low 6.6, which ranks 24th.
Last week, the Packers’ pivot was under 100 yards passing into the fourth quarter of their 27-17 loss to the Bills. He finished 19-for-30 for 203 yards, with two TDs and just his fourth interception of the season.
The Packers pay an aging Rodgers a boatload of money & they don't support him with the necessary pieces. The Packers pay Alexander a boatload of money & they don't put him on the opponents WR1. The Packers have the best RB duo in the NFL and don't use them. Make it make sense.
— Wisconsin Family (@Wisconsin_fam) November 2, 2022
His passing high this season is 255 yards, and he’s only crossed 250 yards passing twice.
If there’s any team that can help them get right, it’s the Lions. Their defense is surrendering 8.4 yards per attempt, and a 108.5 passer rating, which both rank last in the NFL. Pro Football Focus has graded 28th in pass rush and 32nd in coverage.
Detroit Betting Outlook
It’s hard to get a win when you’re surrendering 32 points a game. That’s what the Lions have been giving up during their 5-game slide.
Tua Tagovailoa to Jaylen Waddle again for a Touchdown 🤩🔥pic.twitter.com/5SQULUWjdz
— Alabama DieHards (@DiehardsAlabama) October 30, 2022
The latest loss came at the hands of the Miami Dolphins, blowing a 21-7 lead to lose 31-27. Detroit allowed Tua Tagovailoa to go 29-for-36 for 382 yards and three TD tosses. The Lions allowed 476 yards of offense. They’re dead last in that category, surrendering 421.3 per game.
Jared Goff had a strong performance for the Lions, throwing for 321 yards and a TD, while Jamaal Williams punched in two more scores, giving him the 2nd-best TD total (8) behind just Nick Chubb.
TD No. 7 on the year for Jamaal Williams! #BYUPros | #Lions
— Cougs in the Pros 🤙🏼 (@BYUpros) October 30, 2022
Usually, we’re talking about Green Bay’s depleted receiving group, but Detroit is down pass catchers. DJ Chark is still on IR, but Josh Reynolds (back) is doubtful and they traded away their top pass catcher, tight end TJ Hockenson to the Vikings this week.
They might be better off leaning on a run game that churns out 5.2 yards per carry, the 5th-best mark in the NFL(though they’re a bottom-10 team in rush attempts). The Packers’ run D that has allowed the third-most rush yards in the league, at a health 4.9 yards a tote.
Packers vs Lions Pick
The Pack have dominated the Lions in this head-to-head, sporting an 18-6 mark in the last 24 games Rodgers has started. In fact, Rodgers has thrown 52 TD passes to just eight picks against Detroit.
Rodgers has also dominated NFC North foes, throwing 40 TDs to just one interception in division tilts since 2020.
Aaron Rodgers forcing a free play and then dropping a 60-yard bomb to Donald Driver…
These were the days.pic.twitter.com/hU4pPddf7G
— Eli Berkovits (@BookOfEli_NFL) November 4, 2022
In the present, however, it’s hard to see this Packers’ offense coming to life, even against the Lions, as they’ve yet to cross 30 points in a game this season, and have averaged just 15 points during their losing streak.
Detroit ranks top 10 in both rushing and passing defense, but they’re also potentially down a piece along their dominant offensive line, with Taylor Decker questionable with a groin injury.
Despite the fact the Lions are 0-4 against the spread in their last four, look for them to hang tight with the Pack.
The Pick:
- Lions +3.5 (-112); 1 unit to win 0.89 units
- Overall: 7-6 ATS, 1-0 O/U, -2.15 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
