Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks, Odds, And Predictions NFL Week 4
- The Philadelphia Eagles are -6.5 favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday
- The Eagles conquered the Commanders last week, while the Jaguars routed the Chargers.
- See the Jaguars vs Eagles picks and odds ahead of their Week 4 clash, and our pick below
So, the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles matchup on Sunday could be a little wet. How wet? The weather forecast calls for the remnants of Ian to hang around a bit. Showery weather could turn more rainy and colder as the game goes on.
It’s a legitimate question as the Eagles are only 6.5-point favorites at home vs Jacksonville.
Granted, the Jaguars are a feel-good story right now. They are 2-1, top the AFC South, and Doug Pederson once brought a Super Bowl championship to Philadelphia back in early 2018.
Both teams have some minor issues with injuries but nothing too impactful.
It all gets started Sunday from Lincoln Financial Field at 1pm ET, in a game that can be seen live on CBS.
Jaguars vs Eagles Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +230 | +6.5 (-110) | Ov 45.5 (-112) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -286 | -6.5(-110) | Un 45.5 (-110) |
Odds as of September 30th from Barstool Sportsbook.
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 ON NFL & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
Philadelphia’s odds actually stayed flat but the total has slid back from 49 to 45.5 due to the inclement weather expected.
Now, the NFL Betting Trends curve a bit toward the road team. A whopping 86% of the bets placed are for the Jaguars to cover the spread and that includes 57% of the money as well.
That movement with the total has had its effect. The over is getting pounded at 84%.
It’s expected to be rainy and breezy, with temperatures only in the mid 50’s at kickoff.
Jaguars Betting Outlook
This was always going to be a game that was significant for Pederson. He probably did not expect Jacksonville to come in to Philadelphia in first place or winning two of their first three contests.
After some missteps in Week 1 against Washington, Jacksonville dominated Indianapolis as they often have the past several years. Then, they went out west and destroyed the Los Angeles Chargers by 28 points. Yes, Justin Herbert was not 100% but it was the most complete game the Jaguars have played in a long time.
“They’ve bought into it and they take pride in it.”
Coach Caldwell on stopping the run and making teams one dimensional. pic.twitter.com/xL8AaXTOsj
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 30, 2022
The Jaguars’ rush defense has been particularly stout, forcing teams to pass more often than they are comfortable. Through three weeks, they have allowed the least amount of rushing yards and yards per carry. It’s been a huge reason why Jacksonville has yielded a mere 12.7 points per contest.
What could really help Jacksonville is if they can contain Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts early. If Hurts gets running, it will be a long afternoon as the Eagles’ other running backs often get more involved. One area Jacksonville could attack is the Eagles’ run defense.
The Eagles have allowed 330 yards on just 61 carries, which averages out to more than five yards a pop.
https://twitter.com/RadarsTrend/status/1575868431315787776
On top of it all, we nearly forgot about Trevor Lawrence. Pederson’s ability with quarterbacks cannot be overlooked. Lawrence is mastering the game better, has 772 yards passing, six touchdowns, and just one interception.
Philadelphia will have its work cut out for them. This is not Carson Wentz that they can just tee off on.
Eagles Betting Outlook
At home, the Eagles have a shot to go 4-0 and extend their lead in the NFC East while the rest of the division struggles a little.
Nick Sirianni has Jalen Hurts playing at an MVP level. Hurts has thrown for 890 yards and a league-leading 8.5 yards per attempt.
The Eagles’ offense leads the NFL in yardage (1341) and rushing touchdowns with six. Hurts has 167 yards and half of those touchdowns by himself.
Continue to climb.@JalenHurts | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/TTRlXyvTtU
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) September 30, 2022
Naturally, this week could be more of a challenge going up against a Jacksonville defense that prides itself on containing the run and forcing quarterbacks to beat them downfield.
Thankfully, the quarterback has some help as AJ Brown and De’Vonta Smith have combined for 556 yards and 38 catches already on the young season. Even Dallas Goedert has 11 more receptions for 168 yards, Each receiver has at least one touchdown.
The Eagles are also one of the best teams at staying on the field. Their third-down conversion rate ranks second in the league at nearly 49%.
The only bad news is that Philadelphia scored most of their points in the second quarter last week against Washington but still won 24-8 anyway.
Sleeping tonight knowing that my Philadelphia Eagles are the only NFL team without a loss this season.
Or in other words, the Eagles are the only undefeated team in the NFL. pic.twitter.com/pDYg75CTaA
— Rob from Chester, Pa (@knoxrob1) September 30, 2022
If any team can play in the muck and rain, it may just be the Eagles. Their ability to adapt is a big reason why they are undefeated.
Get Your First Bet Back - Up To $1,000 On Caesars!
Jaguars vs Eagles Pick
The problem with this matchup is both teams are quite balanced at what they do. They can score points in bunches just enough to make their opponent one dimensional. Jacksonville has a point differential of +46 while Philadelphia’s is +36.
Eagles Vs. Jaguars: Coaching
Doug Pederson has a 44-38 career record and is 4-2 in the playoffs w 1 super bowl.
Nick Sirianni is 12-8 in the regular season and 0-1 in the playoffs.
Advantage: Jaguars (Pederson put together a GREAT staff and has much more expirience) #Jaguars
— Clay Harbor (@clayharbs82) September 30, 2022
The concern for Philadelphia is that Jacksonville, unlike years’ past, has a defensive identity under DC Mike Caldwell.
The worry for Jacksonville is the two-way threat that is Hurts. Weather might help the Jaguars a bit more.
This game has the makings of being a very close one. Jacksonville and 6.5 points is a reasonable wager.
The Pick: Jaguars +6.5 (-110) 1 unit
2022 Record: 2-0; Overall: 2-0, +1.5 units
A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.
