Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds, Picks & Prediction for NFL Week 7
- The Kansas City Chiefs are set 5.5-point home favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers in their Week 7 NFL game on Sunday, October 22
- LA is 5-1 against the spread in the past six games against KC
- Each of the last four games between the Chiefs and Chargers have been decided by less than a touchdown
When it comes to betting on AFC West clashes between the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1, 4-2 ATS) and Los Angeles Chargers (2-3, 2-3 ATS) there’s two schools of thought in the Chargers vs Chiefs odds.
Moneyline bettors should be going with Kansas City. The Chiefs are winners of three straight outright over LA. However, when wagering on the spread, the Chargers are the play to be making. They are 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings with Kansas City.
At home in Week 7 of the NFL season, it’s the Chiefs that oddsmakers are setting as 5.5-point home favorites in the Chargers vs Chiefs odds. Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in the last eight games within the division.
Looking more deeply into this game, let’s break down the Chargers vs Chiefs picks and offer you our prediction for this NFL Week 7 contest.
Chargers vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | +195 | +5.5 (-110) | Over 48 (-110) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -238 | -5.5 (-110) | Under 48 (-110) |
In the LA Chargers vs Kansas City odds, the Chiefs are -238 moneyline favorites, giving them a 70.41% implied win probability. The total is set at 48 points. That’s the first time in five games between these AFC West rivals that the total has dipped below 50 points.
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Odds as of October 13 at BetMGM. Be sure to claim a BetMGM bonus code to bet the Chargers vs Chiefs picks in Week 7 NFL action.
KC is 9-1 SU in the last 10 home games and 9-0 SU in the past nine meetings with an AFC opponent. The Chargers are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games played at Kansas City.
Kickoff for this game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, October 22, is set for 4:25pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS and by DAZN in Canada.
LA Chargers vs Kansas City Betting Trends
In the NFL public betting splits, the Chargers are getting 60% of spread handle. However, Kansas City is garnering 92% of moneyline handle. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in the last five games.
The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games between these two teams. LA is 4-1 ATS in the last five games played at Kansas City.
Kansas City is the second betting choice in the Super Bowl 58 odds at +500. The Chargers are set with a betting line of +3300 in this market.
Chiefs Playing Dominant Defense
Generally, when you think powerful offense, you think Kansas City. This year, though, the Chiefs are dominating when the other team has the ball.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed points on just 15/61 drives this season (24.6%)
It ranks 2nd in the NFL 💪 pic.twitter.com/kBHVhmHySa
— PFF KC Chiefs (@PFF_Chiefs) October 20, 2023
They’re the NFL’s #2 scoring defense, allowing just 14.7 points per game. The Chiefs are the only NFL team that hasn’t allowed more than 21 points in any game this season.
They’ll be facing a tough test on Sunday. LA is #7 in the NFL in scoring offense (25.4 points per game). The Chargers are also tied for the fewest giveaways (three) of any NFL team.
Bet On There Being Sacks
These are two of the most sack happy defenses in the NFL. The Chargers are tied for third with 21 sacks. LB Khalil Mack had six in one game against the Raiders. He’s tied for third in the NFL with seven sacks.
Los Angeles has counted at least four sacks in four straight games. That’s the longest streak by a Chargers defense since 1964-65. They’ll have their work cut of for them this week, though. KC’s Patrick Mahomes is showing the lowest sack percentage (2.61%) of any NFL QB.
Joey Bosa, Khalil Mack and Tuli Tuipulotu have been on the field together for 19 opponent dropbacks so far this season. #Chargers have five sacks on those plays — a 26.3% rate, per @TruMediaSports.
The league average rate for sacks per dropback this season is 6.9%.
— Daniel Popper (@danielrpopper) October 19, 2023
Posting sacks in each of the past our games, Chargers DE Morgan Fox is tied for the second-longest streak in the NFL. The longest active streak? That would be Chiefs DT Chris Jones. He’s recorded at least one sack in each of his past five games. Kansas City is in a tie for 12th in the NFL with 17 sacks.
LA Chargers vs Kansas City Prediction
The Chiefs are riding a five-game win streak. It’s the 11th successive season in which KC has posted a winning streak of five or more games.
They’ll be making it six in a row, but history says it’ll be a close call. Each of the past four games between these two teams was rendering a decision by a margin of less than a TD. The last two were three-point victories for the Chiefs.
Chargers vs Chiefs Picks: Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 (-110)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
