Opening Bills vs Buccaneers Odds and Betting Lines for Massive Allen vs Brady Showdown in Week 14

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-3) opened up as 3-point favorites over the Buffalo Bills (7-5) in Week 14 (Sunday, Dec. 12th, 4:25 pm ET)
• The Bucs defeated the Falcons 30-17 in Week 13, while the Bills lost to the Patriots 14-10 on MNF
• Read below for analysis on which way the line will move ahead of kickoff

Two of the NFL’s top-five contenders in the Super Bowl 56 futures market square off in Week 14. The defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Buffalo Bills, looking to pad their lead atop the NFC South.

Tom Brady and Co. have won three straight, while Buffalo fell to New England on Monday Night Football, which throws a serious wrench into their AFC East title aspirations.

Bills vs Buccaneers Opening Odds

Odds as of Dec. 6th at FanDuel.

The Buccaneers opened up as a 3-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 52.5. Kickoff is slated for 4:25 pm ET on Sunday (Dec. 12) at Raymond James Stadium, in Tampa Bay, FL, a field where the Bucs are undefeated this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Analysis

For the second time this season, Brady and the Bucs dismantled the Atlanta Falcons in Week 13. Brady threw for 368 yards and 4 TD, as Tampa Bay cruised to a 30-17 victory.

44-year-old Tom Brady is on pace for 5342 passing yards and 48 TDs. (17-game season)

The NFL records are 5477 passing yards and 55 TDs.

— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) December 6, 2021

Brady and Rob Gronkowski connected for two scores, while Brady, the current MVP frontrunner, improved to 10-0 all-time against Atlanta. Chris Godwin hauled in a franchise record 15 receptions for 143 yards, while Leonard Fournette and Cameron Brate also caught touchdowns.

Tom Brady is (+175) to win MVP 👀 pic.twitter.com/T5UDYmbJ8o

— PFF NFL Podcast (@PFFNFLPod) December 6, 2021

The Buccaneers racked up 425 yards of offense, which will only further solidify their number one offensive rating per DVOA. Defensively, Tampa Bay sacked Matt Ryan five times, and also picked him off once. In two games versus Ryan and the Falcons this season, the Buccaneers have compiled 12 sacks, while forcing four turnovers.

It wasn’t all good news for the Bucs however. Cornerback Jamel Dean was knocked out of the game with a concussion, while fellow DB Sean Murphy-Bunting suffered an undisclosed injury. Defensive end William Gholston suffered a leg injury, while RB Ronald Jones left the game due to an illness.

Buffalo Bills Betting Analysis

If you’re a fan of high-scoring, pass heavy games hopefully you didn’t tune into Patriots-Bills on Monday Night Football. In nasty weather conditions, the two teams racked up just 164 passing yards, 145 of which came from Josh Allen. The $258 million dollar man completed only 50% of his passes though, while the Buffalo running game mustered less than 100 yards.

This was a one-play game and Josh Allen and the Bills couldn't make that One Play, especially in the red zone. Josh Allen disappointing, as he too often is.

— Skip Bayless (@RealSkipBayless) December 7, 2021

Defensively, the Bills gave up repeated, big chunk running plays to the Pats, despite New England’s refusal to throw the ball. The Pats ran the ball 46 times, while only attempting three passes.

The Patriots just beat the Bills and only threw the ball 3️⃣ times 🤯 pic.twitter.com/cFyfVmzHZm

— PFF (@PFF) December 7, 2021

Buffalo entered the week league leading in yards allowed, while ranking second in scoring defense, but will be hard pressed to slow down the Bucs’ offense. All-Pro corner Tre’Davious White is done for the season with a knee injury, while the Bills defense has shown cracks in the armour at times. They gave up 34 points to the Titans in Week 6, and 41 points to the Colts in Week 11.

Bills vs Buccaneers Line Movement

The lookahead line for this contest was Bucs -3, and neither team did anything to deserve being up or downgraded. Tampa Bay took care of a terrible Atlanta team like everyone expected, while Buffalo’s game predictably went down the wire. The Bills offense didn’t look great, but they were dealing with 35 mph winds.

EPA per play team rankings, Weeks 4-12:

1. @Colts (.096)
2. Buccaneers (.092)
3. Packers (.076)
4. Cardinals (.069)
5. Bills (.060)

— JJ Stankevitz (@JJStankevitz) December 3, 2021

There’s a chance that Tampa Bay draws some extra action this week not based on Week 13’s results, but rather based on Allen’s play this season. He’s looked nothing like the dominant he player he was in 2020, and has thrown seven interceptions in his last five games.

Next to Brady, Allen’s 3,200 yards and 26 TD passes look pedestrian. We shouldn’t expect much line movement ahead of kickoff, but if it happens it will be towards the Bucs.