Packers, Who Are 6-2 ATS, Take on Chargers as 3.5-Point Road Favorites – Picks & Odds
- 88% of the ATS bets and 79% of the ATS money is on Green Bay
- 79% of the sharp ATS bets are on the Chargers
- All five of the Chargers losses have come by one score (5.4 points per loss).
The Green Bay Packers will visit the Los Angeles Chargers this week in what appears to be a mismatch on paper. As a result, the Packers, who have won seven of their eight games this season, are one of the heaviest bet sides of the week at one prominent sportsbook. However, the sharps like the Chargers. What’s the best bet in this game?
Packers vs Chargers Spread and Money Breakdown
| Team | Spread | ATS Money % |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | -3.5 (-106) | 79.0% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3.5 (-114) | 21.0% |
Odds taken Nov. 2, 2019.
Packers Coming Off Primetime Win
Last we saw the Green Bay Packers, they were coming off a big win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Sure, the Chiefs were without Patrick Mahomes, but the Packers still went on the road to Arrowhead Stadium, got the win and improved to 7-1. They’ve now won four in a row, averaging 32.5 points per game.
When you add those two factors together, it’s easy to see why the Packers are receiving a ton of action. 88% of the ATS bets are on the Packers and 79% of the ATS money is on them too at one prominent sportsbook. However, the sharps seem to love the Chargers as 79% of the ATS sharp money is on LA in this spot.
Chargers Have Played Plenty Of Close Games
Say what you want about the Chargers (there aren’t many good things to say) but they’ve been competitive this season. Sure, they could easily be a one-win team but they’ve also been in every single game they’ve played. All five of their losses have been by one score (seven points or less) with their average margin of defeat being 5.4 points.
In this spot, we’re looking at a 3.5-point spread, which might seem a bit low when you consider how well the Packers have been playing, but the Chargers simply don’t get blown out. This again figures to be another scrappy contest and even if Green Bay is up by 10 late, there is a back-door opportunity for a Chargers team that’s always hanging around.
What’s The Best Bet?
I’m expecting a bit of a sleepy effort from the Packers in this one. It’s their second straight road game and this one is an afternoon start on the West Coast. The Chargers might have a slew of injuries but their defense has been mostly competent this season.
They allow the sixth-fewest passing yards per game. They’ve also compiled a healthy 18 sacks so far and have allowed just 12 passing touchdowns. In terms of points, they’re allowing just 19.6 points per outing this season.
At the end of the day, I do expect the Packers to win and cover. There isn’t much of a home-field advantage for these Chargers as they’re 0-3-1 ATS at home this season. I’m looking for them to come out fighting in the first half but fade down the stretch – as they usually do.
For over 15 years, Dave has been working in mainstream media and sports betting. He hosted a station on Sirius Satellite Radio for four years, and is currently a senior writer for AskMen. He's interviewed hundreds of hundreds of high-profile sports stars like Shaquille O'Neal and Floyd Mayweather.
