NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Raiders vs Chiefs Monday Night Football
- The public is all over KC in the Raiders vs Chiefs public betting splits ahead of tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup to close out Week 5
- A whopping 79% of the spread bets, and 69% of the ATS money is backing KC -7
- The complete rundown of the Raiders vs Chiefs public betting splits for MNF can be found below, along with detailed analysis
The highest totalled game on the Week 5 slate comes to us on Monday Night Football as the Raiders (1-3, 0-2 away) visit the Chiefs (3-1, 1-0 home).
Kansas City typically draws a ton of public action, and that is being amplified thanks to the prime time nature of this contest. Money has come pouring in on Patrick Mahomes and Co. all week per the NFL public betting trends, and oddsmakers are now forced with a decision to make about increasing the spread.
Raiders vs Chiefs Betting Splits
| Game | Spread | ATS Handle % | ATS Bet % | Total | O/U Handle % | O/U Bet % | Moneyline | ML Handle % | ML Bet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | +7 | 31% | 21% | O 52 | 51% | 68% | +275 | 14% | 10% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -7 | 69% | 79% | U 52 | 49% | 32% | -330 | 86% | 90% |
Splits from DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on MNF.
The Chiefs are currently 7-point favorites at DraftKings, although the juice is currently -115 on KC. Other online sportsbooks have already made the decision to go to Chiefs -7.5, and the rest might join them by kickoff.
Las Vegas vs Kansas City ATS Splits
As of Monday afternoon, 79% of the spread wagers and 69% of the ATS money is backing KC. That means the public is hammering the Chiefs. On the flip side, the fact that only 31% of the ATS handle is coming from 21% of the spread tickets suggests sharps are on Las Vegas. If this line does move to 7.5, expect even more action from the big money bettors on the Raiders.
You can’t fault the public too much for their infatuation with KC. The Chiefs are 10-5 against the spread in their past 15 games, and are fresh off a double-digit victory over Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, who are supposed to be Super Bowl contenders.
Good morning. The Chiefs and Raiders are not a rivalry. pic.twitter.com/e422rt1SdI
— 🗣🎙‼️ (@LanceTHESPOKEN) October 10, 2022
Las Vegas on the other hand, is coming off its first and only cover of 2022, beating Denver by 9 as the 2.5 point chalk. In two meetings last season, the Raiders were outscored 89-23 by Kansas City, while the Chiefs have covered in four of the past five matchups between these two AFC West rivals.
Raiders vs Chiefs Total Betting Splits
There’s another public versus sharps divide when it comes to the total in this contest. Over 52 is currently drawing 68% of the over/under bets, but those tickets only make up 51% of the money wagered on the total. That means small bettors, ie. the majority of the public, are expecting a high scoring game, much like one of our experts in the Raiders vs Chiefs picks.
Sharps meanwhile, are in total disagreement. Only 32% of the over/under tickets are backing the under, but those wagers make up 49% of the over/under handle.
Hunter Renfrow is off the Raiders vs Chiefs injury report after missing the past two games, meaning there are no major injuries influencing sharp bettors. There are at least a few statistical reasons however, to believe this game could underwhelm in the box score.
Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow will play Monday night against the Chiefs after missing the past two weeks with a concussion. pic.twitter.com/0mG5kztYXB
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 8, 2022
KC is playing much slower than in years past. They’re still throwing a ton, but they’re moving methodically up and down the field which chews up clock. After years of being at the top of the league in plays per game, the Chiefs are merely league average in 2022.
Las Vegas on the other hand, has been extremely inefficient on offense. Only 20% of their drives are resulting in touchdowns, while the team ranks 27th converting red zone trips into touchdowns.
LV vs KC Moneyline Splits
The Raiders moneyline is drawing virtually no action. The Chiefs are drawing 90% of the moneyline bets, most of which are likely tied up in parlays, and 86% of the moneyline handle. Reason number one for these splits is Mahomes’ mastery of Las Vegas over his career.
Heading into tonight’s Raiders-Chiefs game, Patrick Mahomes is 22-3 vs. AFC West teams, the most wins by any QB in his first 25 divisional starts. He has been particularly strong against Las Vegas. During Mahomes’ eight starts vs. the Raiders, the Chiefs have averaged 37.4 PPG.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 10, 2022
Mahomes is 7-1 all-time against the Raiders, with KC averaging 37.4 points per game in those outings. He averages over 37 pass attempts against Las Vegas, which means there’s value on his attempts prop in the Raiders vs Chiefs player props.
As for Derek Carr against the Chiefs? It’s not pretty. Carr is 3-13 all-time versus KC, averaging only 201 passing yards, and over one interception per matchup.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
