NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Seahawks vs 49ers Wild Card Playoffs
- San Francisco drawing 73% of the ATS money in the Seahawks vs 49ers public betting splits
- The Niners opened as 10.5 point favorites but that line has been bet down a point
- Check out our comprehensive breakdown of Seahawks vs 49ers public betting splits and key trends
Historically, backing underdogs has been a very profitable decision on Wild Card Weekend. Since 2013, underdogs are 23-15-2 against the spread, including 16-8 ATS over the last four years. Read on for Seahawks vs 49ers public betting and money percentages.
Recreational bettors however are not interested in following that trend. Money is coming in fast and furious on San Francisco per the NFL public betting trends, as they get set to host NFC West rival Seattle in the first of six playoff games over the next three days.
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Seahawks vs 49ers ATS Betting Splits
The 49ers, who enter play riding an NFL-high 10-game winning streak, opened up as 10.5 point favorites. Early Seahawks money pushed the line down to -9.5, but since then the Niners have been getting all the love.
San Francisco is currently drawing 73% of the spread handle, and 66% of the ATS tickets. The 49ers were favored twice over Seattle during the regular season, by 8.5 points at home and by a field goal on the road. San Fran covered in both of those games and were 7-1 against the spread as home favorites this season.
Per the Seahawks vs 49ers picks, history is on San Fran’s side. Wild Card home favorites of at least 9 points are a perfect 11-0 ATS in the last 30 years.
Kyle Shanahan is 5-1 against the spread in six career playoff games, including a perfect 3-0 ATS last season. The football world thought the Niners would take a step back once rookie Brock Purdy was thrust into the starting QB role, but that hasn’t been the case.
#SuperWildCardWeekend kicks off this Saturday with @Seahawks vs @49ers at 4:30ET on FOX!
Who gets the first win of the playoffs?? pic.twitter.com/Rte57RTShS
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 13, 2023
Purdy ranks fifth in expected points added per play among QBs since he took over, throwing 13 TD against only 4 INT. He’s connected with tight end George Kittle for seven touchdowns in the past four games, making Kittle an excellent target in the Seahawks vs 49ers player props. Purdy is 4-1 against the spread in five starts, which includes an 8-point win over Seattle a month ago.
As for the Seahawks, they struggled badly to cover games down the stretch. They were 1-7 ATS over their final eight outings, but after failing to cover twice already against San Fran this season maybe the third time is the charm.
Since 2014, underdogs are 8-2 against the spread when divisional opponents meet in the playoffs.
Seattle vs San Francisco Total Betting Splits
Total-wise, the line is currently sitting at 42. The handle is split directly down the middle, while the over is drawing 60% of the bets. Both regular season matchups between Seattle and San Francisco produced 34 points, with the Seahawks failing to clear 13 points each time.
Since 2012, unders are 30-14 in Wild Card games. All three of San Francisco’s playoff contests last year fell short of the number, but their offense was nowhere as explosive as the current version.
The #49ers’ offense averaged 33.6 points per game in the last 5 games of the season.
Last time they had a 5-game season-ending stretch where they scored that many points?
1994 aka last time the 49ers won a Super Bowl.
— Akash Anavarathan (@akashanav) January 12, 2023
The 49ers have scored at least 31 points in seven of their past 10 contests, and rank number one in the conference in EPA per play since Week 7. That leaves the light on for a big offensive performance, but don’t expect Seattle to be able to punch back.
San Francisco boasts the number one defense per DVOA. They grade out first among all NFC teams in coverage, and second in pass rush productivity per Pro Football Focus.
The Seahawks fell short of 20 points in three of their final four games, ranking 24th in EPA per play during that stretch.
Seahawks vs 49ers Moneyline Splits
As far as the moneyline market goes, the action overwhelmingly favors San Francisco. 85% of the moneyline bets and 84% of the handle are on the Niners as -500 favorites.
It certainly isn’t hard to figure out why. For starters, the 49ers boast the shortest Super Bowl 57 odds of any NFC team. Their average margin of victory over their last 10 contests is 14.1 points, and they don’t have any significant injury concerns per the Seahawks vs 49ers injury report.
Seattle, on the other hand, faltered down the stretch and needed a small miracle to even reach this point. Sure, they’re playing with house money, but given how San Fran is playing this game could be over quickly. The Seahawks finished 3-5 straight up down the stretch, losing to all three playoff teams they faced.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
