Ravens and 49ers Favored to Meet in Super Bowl 54; See 3 Long Shot Matchups That Could Pay Out
- Ravens riding 12-game win streak heading into playoffs
- Can Saints shake previous playoff letdowns to make it to the title game?
- Read below to find our longshot Super Bowl matchups
What’s in a top seed in the NFL postseason?
Looking back at the last 10 years, seven top-seeded AFC teams have made it to the Super Bowl, going 3-4 in those games. The NFC has had its top seed rep them in the big game five times, coming away with a 3-2 mark. Five times in the last 10 years have both no. 1’s faced off, the most recent being the Eagles beating the Patriots in Super Bowl 52.
This year, it’s the top-seeded 49ers in the NFC and Ravens in the AFC at the top of the NFL conference odds.
No surprise they’re also the favorite pairing combination of potential Super Bowl matchups.
Super Bowl Final Pairing Odds
Matchup | Odds |
---|---|
Ravens vs 49ers | +375 |
Ravens vs Saints | +600 |
Chiefs vs 49ers | +650 |
Ravens vs Packers | +750 |
Chiefs vs Saints | +900 |
Chiefs vs Packers | +1200 |
Patriots vs 49ers | +1600 |
Patriots vs Saints | +2500 |
Ravens vs Eagles | +2500 |
Ravens vs Seahawks | +2500 |
Patriots vs Packers | +2800 |
Ravens vs Vikings | +2800 |
Chiefs vs Eagles | +2800 |
Chiefs vs Seahawks | +4000 |
Chiefs vs Vikings | +4000 |
Texans vs 49ers | +5000 |
Titans vs 49ers | +5000 |
Bills vs 49ers | +6600 |
Texans vs Saints | +8000 |
Titans vs Saints | +8000 |
Patriots vs Eagles | +8000 |
Patriots vs Seahawks | +10000 |
Texans vs Packers | +10000 |
Bills vs Saints | +10000 |
Patriots vs Vikings | +12500 |
Titans vs Packers | +12500 |
Bills vs Packers | +12500 |
Texans vs Eagles | +15000 |
Texans vs Seahawks | +20000 |
Texans vs Vikings | +20000 |
Titans vs Eagles | +25000 |
Titans vs Seahawks | +25000 |
Titans vs Vikings | +25000 |
Bills vs Eagles | +30000 |
Bills vs Seahawks | +35000 |
Bills vs Vikings | +40000 |
*Odds from December 30
Is it as easy as taking the top seeds and calling it a day? Is that really why you’re here? Let’s explore three long shot dance partner options to tangle in Miami for Super Bowl 54.
Likelihood of 49ers-Ravens
Before we get to our list of candidates, just know that San Francisco-Baltimore would be dynamite.
Baltimore just put the finishing touches on a regular season we’ve never witnessed before. Consensus MVP candidate Lamar Jackson led an offense that was the first to ever average 200+ yards passing and 200+ yards rushing per game. They led the league in scoring at 33.2 points a contest, and Jackson led the league in TD passes while also setting the all-time rushing mark for a QB in NFL history. His 1,206 yards on nearly seven yards per tote was accomplished in just 15 games.
The final 2019 @NFL rankings for @Lj_era8 in his phenomenal, MVP-worthy season. pic.twitter.com/KnndKg1KDW
— Patrick Gleason (@PMGleason) December 30, 2019
But if there is a team that could knock them off, it could be San Francisco. They finished second in the league in scoring at 29.9 points a game, while also relying on a potent run attack, second behind Baltimore at 144 yards a contest. Defensively, they have the horses to at least give the Ravens some resistance. They rank first in passing yards allowed at 169.2 per game, though only a middle-of-the-pack against the run, allowing 112.6 yards.
https://twitter.com/fourth_nine/status/1211496409616138240
The Ravens are no slouches on defense, either. They’re fifth in rush yards allowed at 93.4 and sixth in passing defense, surrendering just 207 yards through the air.
Longshot #1 – Patriots vs Saints (+2500)
After getting absolutely railroaded last year, the Saints shook off the stink of a missed PI call against the Rams in the NFC title game and came back strong, putting together a sparkling 13-3 season, even with Drew Brees gone for five games early in the year nursing a thumb injury.
Whatever it takes!!! Who Dat!!! #Saints #WhoDatNation 🔥🔥💜⚜️🐐@drewbrees @camjordan94 @A_kamara6 @shonrp2 @SeanPayton @JaredCook89 @Saints pic.twitter.com/Ors7IlXBU5
— Saint (@SaintZorbas) December 30, 2019
While their run game has stalled at times this year – they were just 16th in the NFL with 108.6 yards a contest – Michael Thomas has proven to be the best receiver in the NFL, and the Vikings will have their hands full in the Wild Card round. Thomas was targeted 185 times, hauling in an NFL-record 149 balls for a league-best 1,725 yards and 107.8 yards per game. He is as close to automatic as a pass catcher in the NFL.
https://twitter.com/AllSaintsBlog/status/1209209183498915840
Assuming they can get through Minnesota at home, and the Seahawks rip the injury-riddled Eagles, New Orleans gets the Packers. Brees is clearly better indoors than outdoors, but will that matter against a Pack squad that wins so ugly, and can’t put together a full 60-minutes? Get to the Conference Finals and it’s either host Seattle or go to Frisco. At that point, it’s a 50-50 chance.
As for the Patriots, until I actually see them out of the playoffs before the final four, they have the potential to get to the dance, full stop.
Longshot #2 – Chiefs vs Seahawks (+4000)
Quietly, playing in the shadow of the Lamar Jackson mega monster that was tearing the league apart, Patrick Mahomes was getting healthy, stacking W’s and not exactly having to do things all by himself for the Chiefs to win. His down year is a season 75% of quarterbacks wish they could have. He completed 65.9% of his passes for over 4,000 yards, while throwing 26 touchdowns to just five interceptions.
Patrick Mahomes threw a DART 🎯
(via @NFL) pic.twitter.com/stPBPHyNmi
— ESPN (@espn) December 29, 2019
He looks finally like the guy that laid waste to the league a year ago, and that’s a scary proposition heading into the playoffs. He also has the luxury of a defense that’s not the worst in the NFL anymore. In fact, since Mahomes’ first game back, when they lost to the Titans in a 35-32 shootout, the defense has been rock solid. In the last six games of the season, KC kept teams under 17 points five times, and held three teams to single-digit scoring.
New Season.
— Russell Wilson (@DangeRussWilson) December 30, 2019
The Seahawks are a wildcard literally (as they visit the Eagles this weekend) and figuratively. Russell Wilson cannot be counted out. Seattle was a whopping 10-2 in one-score games this season, and no matter the personnel around him, Wilson is able to mix in escapability with crisp passing to make the most of his opportunities.
Seattle should handle Philly, and they’ve already walked into Levi’s and beaten the 49ers. Whether they’re in Green Bay or New Orleans, Wilson is not going to be fazed.
Longshot #3 – Titans vs Packers (+12500)
While we’re here, let’s get after it. The mental hurdle the Titans will have to clear is right away, as they try to send the Patriots – the greatest dynasty that the NFL has ever known – packing on Wild Card weekend. Assuming Derrick Henry’s hamstring doesn’t desert him, the Titans have the best running back in the playoffs. He’s a battering ram of a man that can stomp out the resolve of any front seven.
On this play, Derrick Henry went for:
⚔️ 53 yards
⚔️ a TD
⚔️ the 2019 rushing title(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/Fu2pnZ7r7S
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 30, 2019
If Tennessee can establish that run game, that plays right into Ryan Tannehill’s superb play-action passing game, which has lit the league on fire since he took over for Marcus Mariota in Week 7. The emergence of AJ Brown as a big-play, go-to target should also be a tough task for the Patriots to handle.
AJ Brown sets up the Derrick Henry TD with this insane grab on the DIME by Ryan Tannehill! #Titans pic.twitter.com/xzILPzmkly
— NFL on ClutchPoints (@ClutchPointsNFL) December 29, 2019
It’s crazy to think Tennessee can make the Super Bowl, but really, they’re among the best teams going right now. The Titans have soared to 7-3 under Tannehill, and have played well even in losses to the Saints and Texans. They’ll have to knock off the Ravens in the next round, but that same running formula could keep Jackson off the field in a slugfest of running and defense.
#Packers Aaron Rodgers on his non-MVP like numbers this year: "The level of success and the way that I feel I am playing is different in this offense this year. I don't need to throw 40 touchdowns for us to win." Continued 👇 pic.twitter.com/s2kRSNofHi
— Ryan Rodig (@ryanrodig) December 26, 2019
While I did mention the Packers haven’t looked great, they still employ one of the most talented QB’s in the NFL and sit as the 2-seed in an ultra-tough conference. The question is whether Aaron Rodgers can catch lightning in a bottle a la Joe Flacco in 2012. He’s been substandard by his usual lofty numbers, ranking just 21st in QBR, but still passed for over 4,000 yards with 26 TDs to just four picks.
MOMMA THERE GOES THAT MAN!
Aaron Jones TD 🙌The 21-yard TD run gives him his 16th TD of the season!
pic.twitter.com/D95dmW7QwG— Hogg (@HoggNFL) December 15, 2019
Like the Titans, the Packers have a potent running game with Aaron Jones leading the way and Jamaal Williams providing reinforcements. If the Smiths (Za’Darius and Preston) can keep getting pressure up front, and Rodgers could find a little more of his magic, it’s not out of the question for the Pack to hold court at home, then avenge a thumping in primetime in San Francisco.