There Is One Trend That Says the Detroit Lions Are Super Bowl Bound
- According to one betting trend connected to the ATS NFL Power Rankings, there’s a scenario in which the Detroit Lions reach the Super Bowl this season
- The Lions have never played in a Super Bowl game
- Detroit has won one playoff game since capturing the 1957 NFL Championship
The Detroit Lions may be Super Bowl bound this season. No, really. It could happen.
Remember that old saying about how there are lies, damn lies and statistics? Well, in this case, perhaps substitute trends for statistics.
According to a betting trend associated with SBD’s against the spread NFL Power Rankings, there is a scenario that could play out this season that ends up with the Lions finding themselves in the Super Bowl.
The SBD ATS NFL power rankings differ from traditional power rankings. They factor into the calculation both SBD Editor-in-Chief Matt McEwan’s NFL strength of schedule calculations, in combination with the +/- of the team’s total betting odds from the opening lines of every game for the 2022 season. This system is rooted in numbers and data and eliminates the element of pure speculation.
NFL Power Ranking Trend Says Lions Will Make the Super Bowl
Okay, here’s the deal, the scenario in which the Lions find themselves playing for the Lombardi Trophy in Super Bowl 57.
The ATS NFL Power Rankings show the Buffalo Bills earning the top spot with a -85 total. That’s the lowest number to lead the rankings since 2016. This emphasizes how much parity is in existence in the NFL heading into the 2022 season.
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In 2016, it was the Green Bay Packers topping the charts of the ATS NFL Power Rankings with a rating of 77. That season, the Atlanta Falcons, situated 25th overall in the rankings, reached the Super Bowl game.
This season, it’s the Lions at +49 who rate 25th in the ATS NFL Power Rankings. So there you go. Start making those Super Bowl plans, Lions fans.
Lions At Long Odds In Super Bowl Futures
In NFL betting, the Lions are currently the co-24th choice to win in the Super Bowl odds at a betting line of +12500. In other NFL futures bets, Detroit is the co-12th choice in the NFC Championship odds at a betting line of +6000.
The implied probability of the Lions getting to the Super Bowl at those +6000 odds is 1.64%. Bet $10 on Detroit to be NFC champions and the payout will be $610.00.
NFL ATS Power Rankings Trend
| Team | NFL ATS Power Ranking | Super Bowl Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -85 | +600 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -77 | +750 |
| Los Angeles Rams | -61 | +1200 |
| Green Bay Packers | -56 | +1100 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -55 | +1500 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -53 | +1100 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -39 | +2200 |
| Baltimore Ravens | -35.5 | +2200 |
| Indianapolis Colts | -35 | +2500 |
| San Francisco 49ers | -34 | +1600 |
| Denver Broncos | -32 | +1600 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -28 | +2800 |
| Cleveland Browns | -19.5 | +2500 |
| Dallas Cowboys | -18.5 | +2000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | -7 | +3000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | -6 | +4000 |
| Tennessee Titans | -5.5 | +3500 |
| Miami Dolphins | -3.5 | +4000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +7.5 | +3500 |
| New England Patriots | +9 | +4000 |
| Washington Commanders | +12 | +8000 |
| New Orleans Saints | +12.5 | +4000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +39.5 | +8000 |
| New York Giants | +40.5 | +10000 |
| Detroit Lions | +49 | +12500 |
| Chicago Bears | +50.5 | +15000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +57 | +12500 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +63 | +15000 |
| New York Jets | +65 | +12500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +68.5 | +12500 |
| Houston Texans | +86 | +30000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +90.5 | +25000 |
Odds as of August 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim this Caesars Sportsbook promo code before betting
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In the Super Bowl era, the Lions have played in one NFC Championship Game. Detroit lost 41-10 to Washington in the 1991-92 season. That was also the only year since 1957 in which the club won an NFL playoff game.
That’s right. Detroit’s last NFL title came during the Eisenhower Administration. Then again, if you’re a fan of the Honolulu Blue and Silver, you already knew that.
Super Bowl Participants Often Come from Off the Pace
There are other trends that can perhaps reinforce this hopeful thought among Lions fans that Detroit could finally end the drought and play in a Super Bowl game.
A team ranked between 18th and 25th of the ATS +/- has made the Super Bowl in four of the last seven seasons – it was the 30th-ranked Cincinnati Bengals last year who made the run. As well, a team ranked between 18th and 25th of the ATS +/- has made their respective conference championship in five of the last seven years. However, it’s the last two seasons that are the two where this did not come true.
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— Detroit Lions (@Lions) August 2, 2022
The Lions do have an intriguing head coach in Dan Campbell. He speaks in clever catchphrases, which as New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick has proven over two decades, is a vital component of NFL success. Detroit does have a QB in Jared Goff who’s led a team (the Los Angeles Rams) to the Super Bowl.
In actuality, the Lions look to be somewhat dangerous at the offensive skill positions. It’s their defense that tends to strike more fear in the team’s fan base than the opposing offense.
In closing, to paraphrase the immortal words of Lloyd Christmas, what all this is saying is there’s a chance for the Lions. Then again, if your NFL betting strategies are built around the success of Detroit’s team, you might want to step back and reassess.
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
