Canadiens vs Leafs Game 5 Odds and Picks

• The Maple Leafs and Habs play Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on Thursday, May 27th
• Toronto has won three straight games to push Montreal to the brink of elimination
• Read below for the odds, game preview, and betting pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs have the chance to advance onto the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the first time since 2004. The Leafs have won three straight games against the Montreal Canadiens to take a 3-1 series lead in their first-round playoff series.

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Toronto is being listed as heavy favorites to eliminate the Habs in Game 5 on Thursday, May 27th at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST. The game will be broadcast on NBCSN.

Are the Habs good value to start a series comeback, or should you bet on Auston Matthews’ Leafs to close this out?

Canadiens vs Leafs Game 5 Odds

Odds as of May 26th

Leafs Take Series Stranglehold 

Toronto has taken a stranglehold over Montreal in the series thanks to three straight impressive victories. The Maple Leafs have outscored the Canadiens 11-2 over the last three games and are getting contributions from every line. William Nylander has scored in four straight games, while Alex Galchenyuk had a breakout in Game 4 with three points.

Toronto is known for its electric offense, but the defense is doing a good job shutting down Montreal’s top scorers. Tyler Toffoli and Brendan Gallagher have been held without a goal this series, whole rookie Cole Caufield has been held pointless since being inserted into the lineup for Game 3.

William Nylander (@wmnylander) has been heating up lately. 🔥 #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/L0RIKCDOx6

— NHL (@NHL) May 26, 2021

It’s no surprise the Leafs are now extremely heavy favorites to win the series. Teams that hold a 3-1 lead are 292-29 (91.0 percent) all-time winning a best-of-seven NHL playoff series.

Canadiens vs Leafs Series Odds

Habs Will Be Desperate 

Montreal is staring down a gauntlet as they look to keep their season alive. The Habs are tasked with winning three straight games against the NHL’s top team in the North Division. The Canadiens are 4-8-1 against the Leafs this year, including the regular season. Montreal coach Dominique Ducharme said Wednesday that his club needs to take their “desperation to another level.”

Dominique Ducharme répond en direct aux questions des médias.

Dominique Ducharme is live taking questions from reporters.#GoHabsGo https://t.co/GJzigqd8jo

— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) May 26, 2021

If the Habs want to extend the series, they will need big performances from their top players. Gallagher is due for a big game, while Toffoli could provide some inspiration based on his past experience. Toffoli was on the LA Kings’ team that went down 3-0 to the Sharks in Round 1 of the 2014 Playoffs. The Kings won four straight games to take the series.

If Habs can count on one thing in Game 5, it’s goaltending. Carey Price owns a .920 save percent this postseason despite managing only one win. He plays his best hockey on the biggest stage and is capable of stealing a game on any given night.

Injury Updates

The Habs will be without a couple key players for Thursday’s Game 5. Ducharme confirmed Wednesday that both Artturi Lehkonen and Jake Evans will not make the trip to Toronto. Both forwards are reportedly dealing with upper-body injuries.

Artturi Lehkonen and Jake Evans are not traveling to Toronto with the Canadiens.

— Arpon Basu (@ArponBasu) May 26, 2021

The Maple Leafs remain without their captain John Tavares. The former Islander is dealing with a concussion and knee injury and is out indefinitely. The positive is that he visited the team in their practice facility after their Game 4 victory. The Leafs are also without Nick Foligno (lower-body). Sheldon Keefe said Foligno is day-to-day, and his Game 5 availability is “up in the air”.

Canadiens vs Leafs Game 5 Best Bet

Toronto has dominated this series, but the Habs should have some fight left. Veterans like Gallagher, Toffoli, Jeff Petry, Shea Weber, and Corey Perry have been in this situation before and aren’t going to go down without a fight. When Carey Price is your goaltender, all you need to win is a couple goals.

Public money is pouring in on Toronto given how well they’ve performed over the last three games. Montreal actually outchanced Toronto at 5-on-5 in Game 4 and generated nine high-danger chances. There’s value betting on Price to deliver another big performance and Montreal’s big guns to breakthrough.

Pick: Canadiens ML (+195)

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