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Quaker State 400 Odds, Picks & Predictions 2023

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Updated Jul 5, 2023 · 8:09 AM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series driver Ryan Blaney
Jul 1, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Ryan Blaney (12) in the garage area along Grant Park during practice and qualifying for the Chicago Street Race. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports
  • NASCAR rumbles East just outside Atlanta for the Quaker State 400 set to run on Sunday, July 9th, 2023, in Hampton, Georgia
  • The contending favorites include Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch, Ryan Blaney, and Joey Logano
  • Below are the Quaker State 400 predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday evening’s race

NASCAR goes back to the New Atlanta Motor Speedway for the nineteenth race of the 2023 season. The quad-oval speedway is 1.54-miles and features 28-degree banked turns with five degrees on the straightaways. The race distance totals 400 miles (260 laps). What might happen?

This weekend’s race is one week after the Grant Park 220 where Shane Van Gisbergen continued the Trackhouse Racing winning parade taking the Project 91 car home ahead of Justin Haley and Chase Elliott.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Quaker State 400 from outside Atlanta (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Atlanta predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Kyle Busch +1000 +300 +150
Chase Elliott +1100 +320 +160
Ryan Blaney +1200 +350 +175
Joey Logano +1200 +350 +175
William Byron +1400 +400 +200
Denny Hamlin +1400 +400 +200
Brad Keselowski +1400 +400 +200
Ross Chastain +1600 +450 +225
Christopher Bell +1600 +450 +225
Kyle Larson +1800 +500 +250
Chris Buescher +2000 +550 +275
Austin Cindric +2000 +550 +275
Ty Gibbs +2200 +600 +300
Tyler Reddick +2500 +700 +350
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +2500 +700 +350
Martin Truex Jr. +2500 +700 +350
Bubba Wallace +2500 +700 +350
Erik Jones +3000 +850 +425
Aric Almirola +3000 +850 +425
Alex Bowman +3000 +850 +425

Kyle Busch enters this race yet as a +1000 favorite with Chase Elliott not too far behind. However, the first ten drivers come in at +1800 or shorter. With a track that runs like a superspeedway, the numbers do not fall off dramatically.

NASCAR drivers get around the track with a 60-100-100 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday evening race beginning again after 7:00 pm ET on USA.



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Odds as of July 4th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Lock in this DraftKings promo code to bet on the Quaker State 400 or check out other US betting sites

Chase Elliott Really Enjoys Atlanta

So, Hendrick Motorsports Racing nailed it last year at Atlanta. Chase Elliott won the pole, led the most laps, and then topped off the race with a win. However, the superspeedway plays out in a bizarre way. It collects cars and honestly Elliott was lucky because he rode so much in the clean air. That is the key to winning at Atlanta. Avoiding the dirty air and traffic is easier said than done. Again, the races are dwindling and the No. 9 car needs a win.

Yes, Caesars Sportsbook has Logano, Busch, and Elliott as favorites at +1000. For one, Chris Buescher is still +2000, Ty Gibbs is at +2200, and for fun, ten drivers are +1600 or shorter. Most bettors get bailed out by the superspeedway racing with numbers that level out the playing field. This week relies on finding the drivers who can avoid wrecks on a tough and nasty Atlanta course.

Quaker State 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2022 Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2021 Kurt Busch – Chip Ganassi Racing Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kurt Busch – Chip Ganassi Racing

This debut race may feature 10+ cautions potentially. With the slow turns and some cars getting the braking wrong, inevitable expect lots of bumps.

Can Ford Turn the Tables on the Chevy Drivers?

NASCAR Cup Series odds got split with three Chevy’s and two Toyota’s. That is led by Kyle Larson and now Martin Truex Jr. Kyle Busch and William Byron are right there along with Denny Hamlin.

Correlation is irrelevant to the Old Atlanta. Even relying on previous track experience can be rough. The best way to describe Atlanta now is like a miniature version of Daytona or even Talladega. It’s a tough 1.54-mile course which can gobble up cars. Seeing 10+ cautions would not be a surprise at all.

Saturday qualifying begins at 5:30 pm ET. Expect a fast track on Sunday but naturally there is a 50-50 chance of rain on Sunday night. This is where one wants to see if the Ford’s like Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and even Ryan Blaney can turn any early dominance from Atlanta-1 to Atlanta-2.

Quaker State 400 from Atlanta Predictions & Picks

So, Sunday night could be wet, sticky, and warm. Saturday figures to be a little better for qualifying. Drivers should expect the unexpected.

Who can survive the potential carnage on a moist high-banked track? Could Ford win this with a cooler track? Will the race get postponed until Monday.

Watch the weather for Sunday quite often.  For head-to-head driver matchups, wait until qualifying to make wagers here. The last two years showed some conflicting data but one constant was Chase Elliott. Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano can be quite good here with Erik Jones. If Jones gets a top ten, it may just be at Atlanta.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Ryan Blaney to Win (+1200)
  • Other Contenders: Chase Elliott (+1000), Joey Logano (+1200), Kyle Busch (+1000), William Byron (+1400)
  • Longshots:  Chris Buescher (+2000), Alex Bowman (+3000), Martin Truex Jr. (+2500)


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