Upcoming Match-ups
Tmrw
27
Apr
1:00 PM
CLE
ORL
+2
-2
201.5
3:30 PM
OKC
NO
-1
+1
209.5
6:00 PM
BOS
MIA
-9
+9
204
8:30 PM
DEN
LAL
-3
+3
216.5
Sunday
28
Apr
1:00 PM
NY
PHI
+5
-5
207.5

The 3 Best Premier League Over/Under Point Totals for the 2020/21 EPL Season

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer News

Updated Sep 11, 2020 · 11:08 AM PDT

Jose Mourinho
Jose Mourinho led Tottenham Hotspur to a very respectable 13-7-6 record in 26 games last season. Photo by Aleksandr Osipov (Wiki Commons).
  • The 2020-21 English Premier League season begins on Saturday, Sept. 12
  • Defending champions Liverpool will be hard-pressed to match their 99 points from last season, but can they beat their over/under of 86.5?
  • Read on for a full look at all the over/under point totals for the new season, along with three best bets

Nothing ever stands still in the English Premier League, so the new season which begins on Saturday, Sept. 12, will usher in yet another unpredictable season of soccer. Liverpool will naturally be looking to repeat as champions, with Manchester City aiming to reclaim the title, and Chelsea, Manchester United, Arsenal and more aiming to show that the millions they’ve spent have not been in vain.

A number of teams underperformed last year, and while there are myriad reasons for that, that also throws up the opportunity to take advantage of value bets in the point total over/unders. We’re going to take a closer look at three teams in particular, but before we get to that, here are all 20 EPL teams with their predicted point totals and respective odds.

2020-21 EPL Over/Under Point Totals

Team Point Total at DraftKings Over Odds Under Odds
Arsenal 63.5 -134 -106
Aston Villa 37.5 -118 -118
Brighton & Hove Albion 40.5 -167 +120
Burnley 40.5 -139 +100
Chelsea 72.5 -182 +130
Crystal Palace 37.5 -139 +100
Everton 51.5 -167 +120
Fulham 33.5 -118 -118
Leeds United 45.5 -139 +100
Leicester City 56.5 +110 -155
Liverpool 86.5 -118 -118
Manchester City 90.5 +110 -155
Manchester United 73.5 +100 -139
Newcastle United 36.5 -182 +130
Sheffield United 42.5 -139 +100
Southampton 47.5 -167 +120
Tottenham Hotspur 62.5 +100 -139
West Bromwich Albion 34.5 -118 -118
West Ham United 42.5 -118 -118
Wolverhampton Wanderers 57.5 -106 -134

Odds taken Sept. 11

Gunners Poised to Ignite

Last season: 56 points

He’s only been in charge at the Emirates for nine months, but the effect that manager Mikel Arteta has had on this slumbering giant has been nothing short of incredible. Arsenal had lost their way over the waning years of Arsene Wenger’s 22-year reign, but they were flat out clueless under Unai Emery, who neither seemed to know what he wanted to do nor had the communication skills to impart that information to the players.

Enter the former Gunners’ captain, who had been learning his trade alongside Pep Guardiola at Man City. Not only has Arteta led Arsenal to a couple of trophies in the shape of the FA Cup and Community Shield, but he has somehow solidified Arsenal’s backline, and managed to make them a force against the top-six teams again.

Under Emery, the team had three wins, six draws and eight losses in games against top-six clubs, conceding 2.3 goals per game. Arteta has improved those stats to four wins, two draws and three losses, giving up just 1.2 goals per game.

And Arteta’s defensive core will be even more solid with the addition of Brazilian Gabriel Magalhaes and the return of William Saliba from his loan spell in France. But most crucially of all, it looks as though he has also secured the services of club captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for another three seasons, with the Gabon international the EPL’s leading scorer since he made his debut in February 2018.

Pick: Over 63.5 (-134)

2024 English Premier League Odds Tracker
Read More

Leeds In for Rude Awakening

Last season: 93 points (Championship)

The commonly held theory is that Leeds were too good for the Championship, and while there is some truth to that statement, it is also true that the gulf between the EPL and the second tier of English soccer is greater than it has ever been.

So just because Leeds cruised to promotion with a club-record 93 points last term, it is by no means guaranteed that they are on easy street now that they are up.

Two things will work against the Lillywhites in the EPL. One is the lack of crowds, which will deprive them of the famous home-field advantage of a roaring, raucous Elland Road stadium for as long as the pandemic keeps supporters away.

The second may well be goal-scoring. While Patrick Bamford scored 16 goals in the promotion charge last year, he was well below his expected goals rate of 24.34, and 16 strikes required 121 shots, meaning he took more than 13 shots for every goal scored. Compare that with one of the best strikers in the EPL – Aubameyang – who took just over three shots for every one of the 22 goals he scored last term.

Consequently, there is a lot of pressure on Rodrigo, Leeds’s new $33-million forward from Valencia. But he wouldn’t be the first foreign player to take some time to settle into the higher-tempo pace of the EPL.

Pick: Under 45.5 (+100)

Mourinho In Full Effect

Last season: 59 points

Though Manchester United may be the sexier pick, with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team having spent over $51-million on Donny van de Beek and its continued flirtation with Jadon Sancho, that same value on a +100 ‘over’ bet can be found with the former manager down in London.

Jose Mourinho will benefit from his first full (albeit short) off-season as the Tottenham manager, as well oft-injured but crucial players such as Harry Kane.

As Mourinho himself has pointed out, Spurs would have finished fourth if the season had actually started the day he was appointed manager on November 20, 2019, rather than three months prior. As it was, he finished with a very respectable record of 13 wins and six draws from 26 EPL games, putting him on pace for 66 points over a full 38-game campaign.

And a full season of Kane, who missed nine games, and Son Heung-Min, who missed eight, would go a long way to helping achieve that pace, if not exceed it. Particularly when you consider that Kane and Son, Spurs’ two leading scorers, accounted for 29, or more than half, of Tottenham’s 56 Premier League goals.

If Mourinho can pick up some goal-scoring cover before the transfer window closes on October 5, look out.

Pick: Over 62.5 (+100)

More EPL Season Preview Coverage

Author Image