Atalanta vs Roma Odds & Pick on Serie A Matchday 24: Over 2.5 Goals Has Cashed in 3 of 4 Meetings

• Fourth-place Atalanta hosts fifth-place Roma on Serie A Matchday 24
• Roma are winless in their last four games, having conceded three or more goals in three of those contests
• See the odds, analysis and best bet for Saturday’s match below

Goals have been pretty easy to come by when these two sides have matched up in Serie A of late. In three of their last four contests – a run which included a pair of 3-3 draws – the teams have combined to go “Over” 2.5 goals.

When you factor in that Atalanta come into Saturday’s game on February 15 as Serie A’s leading goal scorers with 61 strikes, and Roma the fifth-leading side with 42, goals may well be sprinkled liberally throughout this match.

Atalanta vs Roma Odds

Odds taken on Feb. 13.

Atalanta Streaking

With fourth place seemingly up for grabs, and the all-important UEFA Champions League berth that goes with it, both teams will fully acknowledge the importance of this game.

Thanks to a recent three-game unbeaten streak, coinciding with Roma picking up just one point from the last nine available to them, the Bergamo club has seized a three-point advantage in the race for that fourth spot.

And Atalanta games have been anything but dull affairs in the goal-scoring stakes, with both sides combining for 2.5 goals or more in each of Atalanta’s past five matches. In addition, both teams have found the back of the net in five of the club’s last six games as well.

💥 Josip #Iličić 👨🏼‍🏫

Coordinazione | Coordination 7️⃣2️⃣
Potenza | Power 7️⃣2️⃣
Precisione | Accuracy 7️⃣2️⃣#GoAtalantaGo ⚫️🔵 pic.twitter.com/ZrR9PcR8wR

— Atalanta B.C. (@Atalanta_BC) February 11, 2020

With regards to squad strength, Atalanta will largely have their full roster available, including 14-goal top scorer Josip Ilicic, with only defender Bosko Sutalo out with an injury.

Capital Crisis

Having left eight points on the table in their last three games – with just the 1-1 draw with Lazio in the Rome derby to show for their troubles – Roma has thrown away any advantage it once had in the chase for the Champions League. As a result, with 39 points they now sit closer to sixth-placed Verona (34 points) than they do to third-placed Lazio (53 points).

But despite going winless in four and without a clean sheet in five games, Roma’s games are almost guaranteed to produce goals. Their games have gone above the 2.5-goal threshold in four of their last five contests, with both clubs scoring in each of their last five matches.

Where does Dzeko’s goal tally for Roma stack up against the club's greats?#SerieA #Futaa pic.twitter.com/H78cChEFKp

— Futaa.com (@Futaacom) February 6, 2020

However, Roma will be missing midfielder Bryan Cristante through suspension, with Amadou Diawara, Nicolo Zaniolo and Davide Zappacosta also all missing through injury.

Going Head-to-Head

Atalanta is undoubtedly the form team between the two sides, with a goals for/against differential of 30-10 over their last 10 games as the team went 6-2-2 in that time. Meanwhile, Roma has managed to put up just 19 goals for and 16 against in registering four wins, four defeats and two draws.

Atalanta vs Roma Stats

But when comparing the two teams’ head-to-head contests over the last few seasons, Atalanta is unbeaten in their last four meetings, while Roma has won just once in their last 10 matches, back in August 2017. They may take a slight boost from knowing that was also an away victory.

Of those 10 games four finished in Atalanta victories, with five draws, including three 3-3 draws over that spell. And only three times during that run has one of the teams registered a clean sheet, so there will almost certainly be goals, lots of them.

Best bet: Atalanta -120