Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid: UCL Matchday 4 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview

• Bayer Leverkusen need a win next week to avoid elimination from this season’s UEFA Champions League
• German side is winless in their past two UCL contests on home turf
• See the odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid on Matchday 4 below

Bayer Leverkusen will be desperate for a win to remain in contention to advance out of the group stage of the UEFA Champions League when they host Atletico Madrid on Wednesday as narrow +165 home favorites.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid UCL Matchday 4 Odds

Odds taken Nov. 1

Bayer Winless in UCL Play

Bayer have stumbled through the group stage at this season’s tournament, falling to defeat in each of their first three outings, leaving the club buried at the bottom of the Group D table going into Wednesday afternoon’s Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid matchup at BayArena.

Alvaro Morata's late header gives Atletico Madrid the lead at Bayer Leverkusen #UCL

(via @TUDNUSA) pic.twitter.com/sidjSTA3yf

— SI Soccer (@si_soccer) October 22, 2019

The German side dropped a 1-0 decision when these two clubs met in Madrid on October 22. That marked Bayer’s second straight shutout loss in this competition, including a 3-0 beating by Juventus on October 1, which kicked off a dismal run that has seen them post just one victory in their past six outings across all competitions.

Bayer Looking to Regain Past Form at Home

Things have gone particularly bad for Bayer in recent road contests, with the club suffering four clean sheet defeats in its past five overall outings, getting outscored by an 11-3 margin. Now on the verge of freefall in UCL play, Bayer has tumbled to a lengthy +2500 bet to advance to the knockout stage, and a distant +50000 wager in outright Champions League odds.

https://youtu.be/F7GY7i84YCc

The club has regularly come away with points when playing on home turf, going undefeated in their past four overall matches, and compiling a 3-3-1 win-draw-loss record in their past seven home dates across all competitions.

However, Bayer currently rides a two-match losing streak in Champions League action on home turf, capped by their recent 2-1 loss to Lokomotiv Moscow, and ending a steady run of success that saw the club go 7-4-1 in their previous 12 UCL home dates.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid Stats

Atletico Unbeaten in 10 Straight

Atletico Madrid has enjoyed far better success than their upcoming opponents in recent weeks. Pegged as slim +170 road underdogs in Wednesday’s contest, Atletico currently enjoys a ten-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, including a 2-1-0 record so far in UCL group stage action.

18 – Jan Oblak has saved 18 of the last 19 shots on target he has faced for Atletico de Madrid in all competitions, conceding only a direct free-kick goal by Dani Parejo in the last matchday. Titan. pic.twitter.com/HDqbC8QNFM

— OptaJose (@OptaJose) October 26, 2019

In addition to blanking Bayer in their recent meeting in Madrid, the Rojiblancos also held Lokomotiv Moscow off the scoresheet in a 2-0 win after playing Juventus to a 2-2 draw to open their group stage schedule. Now poised to all but assure themselves of a berth in the round of 16 with a win, Atletico is perched as heavy -10000 favorites to advance, and sport intriguing +165 odds of finishing atop the Group D table.

Rojiblancos Struggling to Finish Opponents

But while Atletico have avoided defeat since falling 2-0 to Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash that snapped an impressive nine-match win streak, the club has struggled to close the door on opponents during their current surge, settling for the draw in six of their past 10. That trend includes draws in their past two road outings, against league rivals Deportivo Alaves and Real Valladolid.

Atlético Madrid have scored 13 goals in their first 12 games this season. That’s a rate of 1.1 goal per game.

Monaco (14th in Ligue 1) are scoring 1.8 goals / game.

Sassuolo (17th in Serie A) are scoring 1.9 goals / game.

Aves (last in Liga NOS) are scoring 1.1 goals / game.

— Zach Lowy (@ZachLowy) October 22, 2019

Atletico have also been far from dominant in Champions League play over the past two years, failing to get past the group stage in 2017/2018, and getting bounced from the round of 16 last season. However, the club’s fast start has left them positioned just short of the favorites in the Champions League futures, where they sport +2000 odds.

Atletico Attack Impacted by Joao Felix

However, the club has felt the loss of Joao Felix, who remains sidelined by an ankle injury that will keep him off the pitch til later in November. The playmaking teen phenom had quickly emerged as key to Atletico’s attack, and was sorely missed when these two clubs met in Madrid 10 days ago. With Felix out of action, Atletico has tallied just four total goals in three matches, extending a worrisome trend that has seen the club pot just 13 total goals over their past 11 contests.

#AtleticoMadrid attacking concerns grow as Joao Felix ruled out for three weeks with an ankle injury https://t.co/cSvnb1NvGr pic.twitter.com/EwrK5CRSMl

— Football España (@footballespana_) October 20, 2019

Despite those struggles, Atletico look positioned to extend their domination over Bayer in recent meetings. Los Rojiblancos have racked up a 3-1-0 record in their past four meetings with Bayer, including a 4-2 victory in their last visit to BayArena during the round of 16 at this tournament three seasons ago.

Picks: Atletico Madrid to win (+170); Under 2.5 (-140)