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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Odds & Preview: DFL-Supercup Final Sept 30

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Sep 29, 2020 · 9:27 AM PDT

Bayern
Bayern celebrate a goal in their Bundesliga win over FC Schalke 04 on September 18, and will be hoping for more of the same on Wednesday in their German Super Cup clash with Borussia Dortmund. Photo by kolbert-press/Imago/Icon Sportswire.
  • It’s the DFL-Supercup on Wednesday, September 30, KO 2:30 pm ET
  • Bayern Munich play Borussia Dortmund in the Allianz Arena, looking for a fifth trophy of the year
  • We’ll preview the game, look at the odds, some stats, and offer a pick below

The Allianz Arena plays host to the DFL-Supercup on Wednesday, September 30, KO 2:30 pm ET, with Bayern Munich again facing their old foes Borussia Dortmund. The Bavarians have already won four trophies this calendar year, but they lost to Dortmund in this equivalent fixture last season and unusually come into this one off the back of a heavy defeat.

We’ll preview the game, list the odds, compare some stats, and offer a pick.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund DFL-Supercup Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Bayern Munich -1.5 (+135) -195 Ov 2.5 (+117)
Borussia Dortmund +1.5 (-162) +440 Un 2.5 (-152)
Draw N/A +360 N/A

Odds from FanDuel taken Sept 29

Surprise Defeat for Bayern

Bayern’s apparent invincibility took a massive hit at the weekend when, on Matchday 2 of the new Bundesliga season, they were soundly beaten in Hoffenheim. There was some part-mitigation in the form of a heavy early-season workload for the Bavarians, but no-one predicted the 4-1 humbling they suffered in the Rhein-Neckar-Arena, and it was a weakened Bayern team that took the field in Hoffenheim with record-breaking striker Robert Lewandowski starting the game on the bench.

Bayern’s loss in Hoffenheim ended their outstanding 32-game unbeaten run – one that goes all the way back to December 2019 – during which they won the Bundesliga, the DFB-Pokal, the Champions League and the UEFA Super Cup.

YouTube video

Lewandowski Back for Bayern

Manager Hansi Flick was quick to point out the need to rotate his squad – hence Lewandowski being a substitute – with the Hoffenheim game coming just three days after them being taken to extra-time by Sevilla in the European Super Cup, and he’ll be keen this was merely a blip and his team gets back to winning ways as soon as possible.

Interestingly, BVB also go into Sunday’s game off the back of a defeat after surprisingly losing 2-0 in Augsburg at the weekend. Despite having 80 percent of possession in the match, Dortmund came unstuck courtesy of a goal either side of half-time, with some sterling defending from the hosts sufficient for a hard-earned shut-out and win.

The Kings of German Soccer

While BVB have been Bayern’s biggest rivals for over a decade now, rarely have they been able to regularly go toe-to-toe with them, and only on odd occasions have they been able to come out on top.

Bayern remain the Kings of German football, but ahead of this BVB will definitely look back to last season’s Super Cup, which was one of their good days in this ongoing battle. On the day, goals from Paco Alcacer and Jadon Sancho were enough to send the trophy back to Dortmund – the sixth time they had lifted the trophy – and a win this week would pull them level with Bayern, who have won it seven times.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund  Head-to-Head Stats

Bayern Munich
VS
Borussia Dortmund
30 Number of Bundesliga titles 8
20 DFB-Pokal wins (German Cup) 4
7 DFB/DFL Super Cup wins 6
6 Champions League/European Cup wins 1
1 Europa League/UEFA Cup wins 1
2 UEFA/European Super Cup wins 0
1st Position in Bundesliga 2019-20 2nd
7th Current position in Bundesliga (after 2 games) 10th

Bad News for BVB

The bad news for BVB is that Lewandowski is almost certain to be recalled by Hansi Flick in place of Joshua Zirkzee, and will be looking to add to his DFL-Supercup record tally of five goals. Champions League final match-winner Kingsley Coman is also expected to be recalled after new-signing Leroy Sane – who has started all three matches for Bayern so far – picked up a knock at the weekend.

No-one predicted the 4-1 humbling they suffered in the Rhein-Neckar-Arena, but it was a weakened Bayern team that took the field in Hoffenheim

Leon Goretzka and Alphonso Davies are also expected to be fit to start against Dortmund after both missing the Hoffenheim game through injury.

YouTube video

Brandt and Reus Back for BVB

Dortmund, like Bayern, were without a few key players last weekend, and it’s likely that Julian Brandt and Marco Reus – both of whom missed the Augsburg game – will be available for Wednesday; both with the ability to provide the ammunition for Sancho and Erling Braut Haaland in the BVB attack. And with Lukasz Piszczek and Dan-Axel Zagadou still missing through injury, it looks likely that Manuel Akanji will line up in defense alongside Mats Hummels and Emre Can.

Both Looking for a Reaction

Last season, Bayern were triumphant in both Bundesliga games between these two, but with both teams stung from defeats last weekend, it’s who reacts the best who will win this trophy. Neither team is used to losing two games on the spin but something has to give, and Flick’s ability to be able to bring in a goalscorer of Lewandowski’s quality tilts the balance in Bayern’s favor. There’s little value in the straight Bayern win, but there is in trying to predict the scoreline, with Bayern’s recent success in this fixture the best guide.

Pick: Bayern to win 3-1 (+900)

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