Fulham vs Leeds Odds & Prediction – Premier League Matchday 29

• Matchday 29 of the Premier League season gets underway with Fulham vs Leeds on Friday
• Fulham can move out of the relegation zone with a victory
• Get the latest odds, betting preview and a pick below

Fulham vs Leeds kicks off at Craven Cottage on Friday, March 19th. This starts off a shortened Premier League Matchday 29 with the west London club looking to move out of the relegation zone. Leeds have struggled of late and will be hoping to bounce back against their fellow promoted side. Marcelo Bielsa’s team are at no threat of relegation, but hopes of a top-half finish are fading.

Bielsa is expecting to have top scorer and star man Patrick Bamford available despite him limping off last weekend. Liam Cooper, Pablo Hernandez and Adam Forshaw are all out for the visitors, however. Bobby De Cordova-Reid is sidelined for Fulham, while Tom Cairney and Marek Rodak are doubts.

Fulham vs Leeds Odds

All odds taken Mar 18

Hard to Beat Fulham

Fulham looked doomed early in the season. Scott Parker hasn’t pulled off a great escape just yet, but the improvement is clear. It’s just three defeats in their last eight league matches, and only six teams have picked up more points since the start of February. Leeds, in contrast, have struggled since the turn of the year. Bielsa’s team have four wins since New Year’s Day. Only West Brom, Newcastle, Sheffield United and Southampton have gathered fewer points in 2021.

The early-season meeting between the two ended in a 4-3 Leeds win. With the Yorkshire club failing to score in four of their last five, and Fulham having made progress defensively, a repeat of that thriller is unlikely here.

Pep Guardiola on style comparisons with Scott Parker: "He is younger. He has hair. He is better than me. I accept a draw."

— Simon Stone (@sistoney67) March 12, 2021

Fulham will be reluctant to get involved in an end-to-end game like that one. As many teams have found, though, they may have no choice. Parker’s team are happy to attack at pace and could generate some good opportunities on the break. Fulham ranks in the top half in completed passes into the box, and have more live-ball passes leading to a shot attempt than Leicester and Tottenham.

Parker Hits Effective Formula

Leeds’ last three defeats have come to nil. They have had 59-percent or more possession in each of those matches. Wolves, Aston Villa and West Ham were happy to let Bielsa’s side have possession. Fulham followed a similar formula to take three points against Liverpool not so long ago, but it isn’t their standard approach. They had almost 60-percent possession when they faced Crystal Palace and 65-percent against Sheffield United.

🔥 @MeslierIllan has been named in WhoScored’s U21 Team of the Week across Europe’s top 5 leagues pic.twitter.com/oj9CIK2Lza

— Leeds United (@LUFC) March 16, 2021

Fulham are middle of the pack when it comes to pressures. Ranking third in tackles and interceptions, though, this isn’t a passive team out of possession. Parker’s side hustle across the field, but it will be interesting to see how they tweak the approach for the visit of Leeds. They are not going to have 60-plus possession as they have had against other bottom half sides – will they set up similarly to Wolves, Aston Villa and West Ham?

Leeds are at their most dangerous when the game gets stretched. Their six counter-attacking goals this season leads the Premier League, per WhoScored.

Preparing to come back stronger. 👊

It all starts on the training pitches!#FFC pic.twitter.com/LnK9ZdugSP

— Fulham Football Club (@FulhamFC) March 16, 2021

Impressively, Fulham have shown flexibility. They can dictate against their peers and stay relatively secure against stronger opponents. Being able to do either of those things against Leeds is tricky, however, and getting sucked into an open match favors the visitors.

Fulham vs Leeds Premier League Statistics

Fulham vs Leeds Best Bets

Leeds’ attacking performances have been better than their goalscoring returns. Both teams to score at -132 is a worthwhile bet despite recent form. Patrick Bamford is among the league leaders in expected goals, and he continues to get chances despite scoring just once in his last six starts. He’s a good price at +190 to score anytime.

Over 2.5 total goals has hit in the last three meetings between these sides. It’s fair to expect Leeds’ barren run to end, which makes it a great value bet for this matchup.

Pick: Over 2.5 goal (+100)