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LAFC vs Minnesota United Odds & Prediction – MLS July 28

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer News

Updated Jul 28, 2021 · 6:54 AM PDT

LAFC vs Minnesota United
Los Angeles FC forward Carlos Vela (10) drives the ball past Vancouver Whitecaps midfielder Deiber Caicedo (7) during the second half of an MLS soccer match in Los Angeles, Saturday, July 24, 2021. The game ended in a 2-2 draw. (AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu)
  • Minnesota United is unbeaten in its last three games against LAFC and has won six of its last 10 matches in MLS
  • LAFC is unbeaten in its last four home games, but Minnesota leads the all-time series between the teams
  • Read on for a preview, full odds and a best bet for this midweek Western Conference clash

Minnesota United will be looking to make history against Los Angeles FC when the two teams meet on Wednesday, July 28. No Major League Soccer team has ever won twice at Banc of California Stadium, but the Loons will attempt to be the first, hoping to build on their 2-0 win there back in September 2019.

However, Bob Bradley’s team has shown flashes of its home resilience of late, including battling back from an 0-2 deficit on Saturday to force a draw, pushing its unbeaten home streak up to four games.

LAFC vs Minnesota Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
LAFC vs Minnesota LA -1.5 (+115) | MIN +1.5 (-195) LA -220 | MIN +550
DRAW +390
Ov 2.5 (-230) | Un 2.5 (+190)

Odds as of July 28 at DraftKings

Loons On Top

Minnesota United is one of just five MLS teams with a winning record against LAFC over its four largely dominant seasons in MLS and is unbeaten in its last three matches against Bradley’s club. MNUFC is 2-1-1 in four meetings with Los Angeles.

However, Wednesday’s match will be the first time the two sides have met in almost two years, since September 29, when they played to a 1-1 draw at Allianz Field in Minneapolis. That marked the second meeting in a matter of weeks, coming shortly after the Loons ran out 2-0 winners in LA on September 1.

Vela In Form

The Mexican striker got off to a slow start in 2021, scoring just once in his first nine games, but has rounded into form of late. The former Arsenal forward has now found the net in three straight games after beginning LAFC’s rally on Saturday against Vancouver.

YouTube video

And the former MLS MVP is likely good value to continue that rich vein of form tonight against Minnesota. LAFC players have gone on four-game scoring streaks on four different occasions, and Vela has accounted for three of those.

https://twitter.com/InfoLafc/status/1419991172328656911?s=20

In addition, he scored the only goal for LAFC the last time the two teams met in 2019 for a total of one goal in two career appearances against Minnesota.

Road Woes for Minnesota

The Loons’ 0-4 run to start the season has been left firmly in the rearview mirror, as Adrian Heath’s team has rebounded to win six of its last 10 games. On top of that, the team has lost just once and has averaged an otherworldly 2.1 points per game over that streak. (For context, LAFC averaged 2.12 points during its MLS record-setting 72-point 2019 season)

However, of those six, only one has been on the road, namely Minnesota’s 1-0 win at Portland in record heat on June 26. It’s something of a surprising development for a team that went 4-4-4 on the road last season.

LAFC vs Minnesota United Key Stats

LAFC
VS
Minnesota United
6-5-4 (5th in West) MLS Record 6-5-3 (6th in West)
20 Goals For 15
17 Goals Against 17
24.7 Expected Goals 22.9
13.9 Expected Goals Against 17.6
WWWLD Form in Last Five Matches WDLWW

Miller Time

There is something of a controversy brewing amongst the forward ranks in Minnesota, with highly paid striker Ramon Abila again not part of the match-day squad.

The former Boca Juniors attacker hasn’t played since July 7, when he got a late red card against Colorado, and though he was available following suspension for the Loon’s win over Portland on the weekend, Heath elected not to include him. He also chose not to bring the Argentine on this two-game road trip to LA and then Salt Lake City this weekend.

However, any controversy upfront is balanced out by the stability presented by Tyler Miller in the Minnesota goal. The Loons’ goalkeeper is second in MLS with a goals-against-average of 0.7, having stopped 29 of the 37 shots fired his way. The former LAFC stopper has also posted five clean sheets in 10 starts this season, giving Minnesota a platform for success on any given night.

Best bet: Draw (+390)

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