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Porto vs Club Brugge Odds & Picks – Champions League Group Stage Matchday 2

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Sep 12, 2022 · 10:40 AM PDT

Club Brugge
BRUGES, BELGIUM - SEPTEMBER 07: Club Brugge celebrates during the Champions League Group stage B match between Club Brugge and Bayer Leverkusen in the Jan Breydel stadium on September 7, 2022 in Bruges, Belgium. (Photo by Photonews/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS---NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****
  • Porto hosts Club Brugge in Champions League Group B on Tuesday
  • The home team are -240 favorites to win the match
  • Read below for the latest Porto vs Club Brugge odds and our betting preview

Porto are searching for their first points of the 2022-23 Champions League on Tuesday as they welcome Club Brugge to Estádio do Dragão. The visitors are massive underdogs for their trip to Portugal. This is Brugge’s first match against Portuguese opposition since they faced Porto in the 2016-17 group stage.

Both teams will have been relatively happy with their group stage draw, having been placed alongside struggling Bayer Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid. Porto are aiming to improve on their first-round exit in 2021-22. The visitors, meanwhile, are looking to improve on their fourth-placed finish last season and got off to an ideal start by beating Leverkusen.

Porto vs Club Brugge Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Porto -240
Club Brugge +675
Draw +360

Odds as of Sep 12 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this week’s Champions League fixtures.

Champions League odds place Porto as massive favorites for this match at a price of -240 on the moneyline. Brugge are listed at +675.

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Over/Under and Spread

The hosts are +110 on the -1.5 spread, despite winning two of their last six home matches in UEFA competition. The total is set at 2.5 with the over slightly favored at -125.

Porto vs Club Brugge Preview

It seems premature on Matchday 2, but this is pretty much a must-win for Porto after a group-opening defeat to Atletico Madrid. On paper, this should be the easiest fixture in the group stage for the Portuguese club, who have made it into the last 16 or better in four of the last six seasons. As the betting markets suggest, the hosts are expected to win on Tuesday, with a home win given an implied probability of 70.6%.

Brugge have struggled in the Champions League in the 21st century, but they come into this match full of confidence after an impressive victory over Leverkusen. They have also won six in a row in all competitions, including a dominant 2-0 victory over Seraing at the weekend with 77% possession. Porto had their own domestic success at the weekend too, recording a 3-0 win over Chaves.

Brugge went toe-to-toe with Leverkusen, earning an almost equal share of possession and registering nine shots to Leverkusen’s 14. Getting such an even share of the match on the road is a bigger ask, particularly facing this Porto team. While the hosts lost to Atletico last week, they have been in better domestic form than Leverkusen, who have had a rocky time in the Bundesliga.

Evanilson to Score Odds

Brugge struggled mightily in a tough group last year, suffering heavy defeats to Leipzig, Manchester City and PSG. Porto will be eyeing a similar result to kickstart their Champions League campaign, and they have been in strong goal-scoring form in 2022-23, netting 15 times in six league matches.

One player at the center of that attacking success has been Evanilson — the 22-year-old is expected to start on Tuesday with Mehdi Taremi suspended. Evanilson scored off the bench at the weekend, taking him to three goals in just over 300 league minutes. Add in a Super Cup goal and Evanilson has started the season very well after netting 14 times in 25 league starts in 2021-22.

Unsurprisingly, the Brazilian is the favorite to score anytime at +105. This is a price worth considering for bettors, and the same can be said for +600 on the youngster to score at least two goals.

Porto vs Club Brugge Statistics

Porto
VS
Club Brugge
WWLWLW Form WWWWWW
Third in Group Champions League Last Season Fourth in Group
Winners (1987, 2004) Best Champions League Performance Finalists (1978)
117 All-Time Champions League Wins 40

FC Porto vs Club Brugge Lineups and Injuries

Porto Projected Lineup: Costa; Mario, Pepe, Marcano, Sanusi; Otavio, Uribe, Grujic, Galeno; Martinez, Evanilson.

Porto Injuries: Manafa, Taremi.

Club Brugge Projected Lineup: Mignolet; Odoi, Mechele, Boyata, Sobol; Nielsen, Vanaken, Balanta; Olsen, Jutgla, Sowah.

Club Brugge Injuries: Mata, Rits, Buchanan, Lang, Sylla.

Porto vs Club Brugge Pick

With Porto at such a short price to win this one straight up, a same-game parlay is the best place to find some value. Brugge might have leaked goals in this competition last season, but they managed to score in five of their six matches.

Both teams to score is a good way to go here as a result — the price of +100 is solid value on its own.

We’re going to add that with a Porto win and Evanilson to score anytime in a same-game parlay for odds of +400. Alternatively, Porto to win and BTTS is tempting at +225.

Pick: Porto to win, BTTS and Evanilson to score (+400)

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